Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 18 February 2006 at 23:53:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.48     4.21    52.00    98.72    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.69     4.38    38.55     1.23    78.56    99.30    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.69     4.69    22.37     0.06    19.02    92.31    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   45  +13      63.84     4.77    16.48     0.00     0.81    35.63    76.73     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.03     4.72    26.36     0.00     0.71    31.89    74.86     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.80     4.68     5.07     0.00     0.06     4.90    27.45     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      57.91     4.86     4.43     0.00     0.03     5.27    28.11     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.61     5.38    14.18     0.00     0.82    28.08    67.81     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.89     4.73    -2.85     0.00     0.01     1.38    11.30     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.98     4.63     7.03     0.00     0.00     0.99     9.81     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.93     4.44   -17.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.62     0.09R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.74     4.80    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.08     0.10R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.60     4.72    -0.61     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.06     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.89     4.97    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.09     0.17R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.21     4.69    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.23R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.75     5.01   -17.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     4.54R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.58     4.27   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.10R    0.03  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.46     4.59   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.78R    0.64  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.31     3.92   -41.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.97R   10.39  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.35     3.97   -43.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   88.94  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.20     3.98    66.71    98.05   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      35   74  +28      95.54     4.40    38.72     1.96    93.62   100.00    95.23P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   64  +23      83.32     4.36    29.84     0.00     2.38    98.72    24.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            34   63  +20      83.40     4.66    26.39     0.00     3.46    98.81    28.70P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   57  +15      76.67     4.76    20.15     0.00     0.20    84.36    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.42     4.81    29.18     0.00     0.34    91.52    29.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   52   +8      67.79     4.51     9.08     0.00     0.00     9.96     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    34   50   +9      68.40     4.60    11.96     0.00     0.00    13.66     3.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.49     4.56     0.14     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          35   47   -8      61.56     4.40    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   46   -5      58.61     4.31    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         35   44   -6      57.59     4.63    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.94     4.84    -1.26     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    0.04R    0.00  
Plymouth         34   43   -6      57.70     4.56    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.15     4.54   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.26R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.82     4.77   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.28R    0.00  
Hull             35   38   -6      51.05     4.32    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.01  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.65     4.69    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.87R    0.00  
Leicester        35   37   -8      49.43     4.39   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.84R    0.03  
Derby            35   35  -10      48.22     4.39   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.57R    0.11  
Sheffield_W      35   34  -16      45.18     4.17   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.99R    1.04  
Millwall         35   29  -22      40.43     4.26   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.57R   10.45  
Brighton         35   29  -24      40.98     4.35   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.72R    9.27  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.78     4.25   -46.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R   79.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Walsall vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        34   63  +21      85.50     4.58    30.59    46.22    72.97    99.86    80.53P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.87     5.44    22.41    19.29    40.09    97.66    55.81P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    34   59  +13      78.45     4.92    17.50     4.67    15.66    93.41    31.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         34   57  +22      77.83     4.87    28.97     5.38    16.70    92.94    38.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.37     5.58    25.11    22.23    46.59    97.81    59.18P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        33   55  +16      75.15     5.23    19.40     2.21     7.78    81.17    27.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham          34   50   -1      67.10     4.92     0.16     0.01     0.11    15.86     2.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield    34   48   +3      64.99     4.82     3.84     0.00     0.04     8.70     1.70P    0.11R    0.00  
Doncaster       32   46   +1      64.19     5.24    -0.44     0.00     0.07     7.25     1.29P    0.30R    0.01  
Nottingham      34   44   +1      61.72     4.79     2.98     0.00     0.00     2.12     0.45P    0.81R    0.01  
Port_Vale       33   43   -5      59.21     5.00    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.14P    4.01R    0.10  
Bradford        34   42   +1      59.41     4.81     2.62     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.20P    2.60R    0.06  
Tranmere        34   41   +1      58.68     4.83     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.12P    3.56R    0.17  
Bournemouth     33   41   -2      56.99     5.07    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.11P    8.46R    0.38  
Gillingham      34   40  -11      53.52     4.68   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.61R    3.29  
Bristol_City    34   39  -11      54.82     4.82   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.39R    1.97  
Scunthorpe      33   38   -7      54.09     5.02   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   23.56R    2.52  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.74     4.90   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    32.34R    4.21  
Swindon_Town    34   38  -10      51.57     4.69   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.09R    6.62  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.27     5.27   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   25.54R    3.21  
Blackpool       34   37   -9      51.96     4.76   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.30R    5.29  
Walsall         33   37  -13      51.61     4.90   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   42.84R    7.12  
Rotherham       34   36   -7      50.94     4.73    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    43.30R    7.72  
Milton_Keynes   33   31  -18      44.65     4.78   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.14R   57.33  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         34   59  +27      81.07     4.84    35.84    36.17    76.36    98.97    83.45P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          34   59  +20      80.50     4.83    28.00    27.12    71.17    98.34    78.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.86     4.76    24.30     9.22    40.58    93.92    56.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.10     5.05    24.25    19.10    58.36    96.38    68.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   55   +9      75.23     5.17    12.55     5.46    26.11    84.54    37.65P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   52  +12      72.80     4.82    18.44     1.75    14.04    76.72    30.25P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       33   50   +4      69.60     5.17     6.80     0.40     4.97    47.33    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        34   49   +6      66.87     4.79     8.17     0.10     1.36    26.88     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   47   -7      62.04     4.71    -9.66     0.00     0.07     4.82     0.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       34   46   +8      63.03     4.89     8.89     0.01     0.18    10.57     2.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          31   45  +12      69.47     5.62    17.91     0.68     6.67    51.08    18.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury       34   44   +0      60.38     4.73    -0.13     0.00     0.04     3.17     0.67P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County     34   43   -9      57.45     4.69   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P    0.27R    0.02  
Boston           33   42   -3      59.10     5.00    -4.07     0.00     0.01     2.10     0.40P    0.15R    0.01  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.89     5.71    -3.43     0.00     0.07     3.63     0.76P    0.47R    0.06  
Macclesfield     33   39   -7      55.78     5.15    -8.76     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.08P    1.70R    0.34  
Mansfield        34   38   -7      53.27     4.88    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    3.40R    0.56  
Oxford_Utd       33   37  -10      51.56     4.87   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     7.01R    1.40  
Chester          32   36   -6      53.16     5.27    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P    4.66R    0.93  
Barnet           32   36  -10      51.41     5.05   -15.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    8.44R    2.06  
Stockport        33   34  -18      48.60     4.93   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.92R    6.84  
Bury             31   33  -12      50.01     5.42   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.63R    4.12  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.81     4.68   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.43R   22.80  
Rushden_&_D      34   30  -26      41.26     4.52   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.89R   60.87  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 February 2006, Tamworth vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      28   64  +24      89.80     5.29    34.82    93.00    99.95    94.61P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       30   51  +19      72.05     4.81    25.88     0.66    66.12    18.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        28   51  +17      76.82     5.13    26.81     4.37    89.53    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         30   51   +8      70.66     4.87    12.76     0.14    49.70     9.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       30   50  +11      68.24     4.80    13.80     0.09    31.48     5.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           28   48  +18      73.80     5.34    29.35     1.56    76.58    18.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          29   47  +13      70.08     5.01    21.31     0.16    48.86    11.42P    0.00     0.00  
York            29   44  +12      65.49     5.13    17.48     0.01    17.56     4.25P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          28   41  +14      64.20     5.42    20.43     0.01    15.02     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          30   41   -3      57.42     4.81    -3.12     0.00     0.44     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       27   39   +0      60.52     5.59     1.49     0.00     4.16     0.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       28   37   +1      55.77     5.32     0.09     0.00     0.56     0.08P    0.14R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     29   36   -8      50.72     5.08   -12.83     0.00     0.03     0.01P    2.33R    0.02  
Altrincham      30   36  -19      46.76     4.35   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.13R    0.28  
Kidderminster   30   35   -7      48.22     4.66   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.94R    0.09  
Aldershot       28   35  -12      51.05     5.31   -18.07     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.91R    0.11  
Canvey_Island   29   32  -10      47.07     5.01   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.03R    0.40  
Forest_Green    29   29   -4      45.14     5.05    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.49R    1.38  
Scarborough     31   28  -18      38.81     4.26   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.43R   11.56  
Tamworth        28   27  -19      40.25     4.88   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.19R   11.43  
Crawley         27   25  -10      43.90     5.64   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.98R    4.00  
Southport       28   23  -27      33.44     4.51   -42.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.42R   70.73