Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 17 February 2006 at 23:53:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.58     4.28    52.30    98.69    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.69     4.34    38.60     1.28    78.00    99.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.83     4.67    22.57     0.03    19.73    92.97    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   45  +13      63.83     4.74    16.50     0.00     0.81    35.98    77.47     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.04     4.71    26.40     0.00     0.75    32.30    75.38     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.80     4.68     5.02     0.00     0.04     4.92    27.10     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      57.97     4.91     4.44     0.00     0.03     5.62    28.92     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.47     5.36    13.91     0.00     0.69    26.12    66.93     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.64     4.77    -3.15     0.00     0.01     1.41    10.57     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.86     4.68     6.83     0.00     0.00     1.04     9.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.85     4.43   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.66     0.13R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.73     4.80    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.12     0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.77     4.74    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.14     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.81     4.97    -6.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.10     0.27R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.28     4.60     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.17R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.78     5.00   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     4.81R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.57     4.33   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.64R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.60     4.61   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.84R    0.58  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.31     3.90   -41.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.98R    9.78  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.32     3.94   -43.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   89.63  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 February 2006, Luton vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          35   83  +52     107.09     3.99    66.57    98.28    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      34   71  +27      94.54     4.66    38.59     1.72    89.73   100.00    92.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            33   62  +20      84.28     4.87    27.09     0.01     6.80    99.28    32.40P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   61  +22      82.16     4.63    29.53     0.00     2.31    98.06    23.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   56  +15      77.63     5.04    20.99     0.00     0.65    88.81    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.62     4.74    29.38     0.00     0.51    93.50    29.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   49   +7      66.63     4.77     8.67     0.00     0.00     7.30     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            35   48   +0      63.46     4.56     0.12     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   +8      66.87     4.91    11.05     0.00     0.00     9.11     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   47   -7      62.56     4.59    -8.61     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry         34   44   -4      59.18     4.87    -5.87     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.89     4.90    -1.33     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Norwich          34   43   -7      57.06     4.63   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.42     4.64   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Plymouth         33   40   -8      55.55     4.88   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.57R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.72     4.77   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.91R    0.00  
Hull             34   38   -5      52.09     4.59    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.08R    0.02  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.60     4.67    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.02  
Leicester        34   36   -8      49.32     4.60   -12.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.30R    0.09  
Derby            34   35   -8      49.65     4.67   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.19R    0.10  
Sheffield_W      34   34  -15      45.94     4.38   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.10R    0.81  
Brighton         34   29  -23      41.94     4.60   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.78R    7.08  
Millwall         34   28  -22      40.34     4.53   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.36R   11.57  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.71     4.26   -46.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   80.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Chesterfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        33   60  +20      83.82     4.86    29.30    37.03    63.91    99.49    74.28P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.67     5.36    22.06    21.26    42.98    97.95    57.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.38     5.56    25.21    26.66    50.63    98.47    63.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         33   56  +22      78.61     5.17    29.62    10.16    25.84    94.76    46.67P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    33   56   +8      76.54     5.12    12.03     3.03    10.37    87.32    24.57P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        32   52  +15      73.19     5.43    17.96     1.79     5.88    71.71    23.53P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    33   48   +4      66.56     5.13     5.22     0.04     0.22    20.01     4.22P    0.06R    0.01  
Oldham          33   47   -3      64.91     5.20    -2.71     0.01     0.07    11.24     1.98P    0.41R    0.00  
Doncaster       31   43   -1      62.81     5.45    -2.12     0.01     0.06     6.95     1.33P    1.17R    0.04  
Port_Vale       32   43   -3      61.30     5.35    -4.02     0.00     0.03     3.83     0.72P    2.29R    0.04  
Tranmere        33   41   +2      60.42     5.12     4.53     0.00     0.00     2.63     0.69P    2.48R    0.09  
Bradford        33   41   +1      60.25     5.06     3.29     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.45P    2.62R    0.15  
Nottingham      33   41   -1      59.33     5.02    -0.03     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.24P    3.69R    0.20  
Bournemouth     32   40   -2      57.94     5.28    -3.56     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.28P    7.86R    0.57  
Gillingham      33   40   -9      54.71     4.97   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   22.86R    2.67  
Swindon_Town    33   38   -9      53.27     4.91   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    31.04R    4.78  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.74     4.77   -13.18     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   34.29R    5.05  
Bristol_City    33   38  -11      54.51     4.95   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   23.91R    3.27  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.44     5.28   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   25.86R    3.48  
Scunthorpe      32   37   -7      54.19     5.26   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   25.66R    3.52  
Walsall         32   37  -11      53.62     5.18   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   30.66R    4.24  
Blackpool       33   36   -9      51.75     4.95   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.17R    7.92  
Rotherham       33   33   -8      48.69     4.99   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   63.12R   21.04  
Milton_Keynes   32   31  -13      46.18     5.02   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.86R   42.95  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 February 2006, Northampton vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          33   58  +20      81.03     5.07    28.21    34.59    76.20    98.25    82.03P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      34   57  +19      76.76     4.74    24.14     9.61    43.23    93.36    58.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.13     5.07    24.31    21.05    61.80    96.42    71.22P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   56  +22      79.81     5.02    31.40    28.00    70.17    97.81    78.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   52   +7      72.93     5.46     9.62     3.04    17.14    70.62    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     33   49  +11      71.07     5.10    17.25     1.10    10.03    62.90    24.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       32   49   +4      70.17     5.42     7.03     0.90     7.33    52.05    16.29P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        33   48   +6      67.43     5.07     8.42     0.14     2.35    32.41     9.39P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       33   46   +9      65.24     5.17    11.09     0.06     1.23    21.36     6.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   46   -7      63.09     5.04    -8.47     0.01     0.18     8.71     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          30   44  +12      69.93     5.96    18.02     1.48    10.21    54.34    22.16P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     33   43   -8      58.61     4.92   -11.14     0.00     0.03     1.76     0.34P    0.30R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       33   41   -1      57.87     5.06    -2.43     0.00     0.01     1.38     0.27P    0.41R    0.08  
Boston           32   41   -3      59.37     5.31    -4.16     0.00     0.03     2.94     0.56P    0.35R    0.03  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.77     5.68    -3.58     0.01     0.07     3.56     0.72P    0.58R    0.07  
Macclesfield     32   38   -7      56.14     5.46    -8.83     0.00     0.01     0.92     0.20P    2.04R    0.50  
Mansfield        33   37   -7      53.53     5.16    -9.03     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.01P    4.43R    0.87  
Chester          31   36   -4      54.93     5.53    -6.58     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.16P    3.03R    0.68  
Oxford_Utd       32   36  -10      51.87     5.17   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    8.22R    2.15  
Barnet           31   35  -10      51.52     5.33   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   10.30R    3.17  
Stockport        32   33  -18      48.49     5.25   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.41R   10.17  
Bury             30   32  -12      50.90     5.81   -16.55     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.03P   14.99R    5.08  
Torquay          34   32  -18      44.69     4.67   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.27R   26.93  
Rushden_&_D      33   30  -21      42.45     4.79   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.65R   50.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 February 2006, Gravesend vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      28   64  +24      89.91     5.31    34.98    90.67    99.94    92.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        27   50  +17      77.59     5.39    27.35     5.16    90.56    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       29   49  +11      68.65     5.05    13.91     0.14    34.06     6.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           27   48  +19      75.25     5.57    30.57     2.93    81.60    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       29   48  +18      71.10     5.04    25.85     0.41    58.06    16.31P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         29   48   +7      68.82     5.19    11.47     0.10    35.49     6.74P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          28   47  +15      72.37     5.23    24.75     0.59    66.16    16.33P    0.00     0.00  
York            28   41  +10      62.70     5.45    13.74     0.00     8.50     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          27   40  +14      65.15     5.63    21.34     0.01    19.64     4.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          29   40   -3      57.73     5.10    -3.23     0.00     0.62     0.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Gravesend       27   39   +0      60.68     5.63     1.80     0.01     4.39     0.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       27   36   +1      56.22     5.59     0.30     0.00     0.84     0.14P    0.20R    0.00  
Altrincham      29   36  -17      48.09     4.70   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.08R    0.14  
Kidderminster   29   34   -7      48.78     4.97   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87R    0.14  
Aldershot       27   34  -12      51.54     5.58   -18.03     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.75R    0.17  
Cambridge_U     28   33   -9      49.86     5.37   -12.63     0.00     0.03     0.00     4.38R    0.21  
Canvey_Island   28   31  -10      46.99     5.14   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.03R    0.68  
Forest_Green    28   29   -3      45.66     5.29    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.85R    1.44  
Scarborough     30   27  -18      38.62     4.48   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.66R   15.07  
Tamworth        27   26  -19      40.33     5.09   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.41R   12.13  
Southport       27   23  -26      34.22     4.76   -42.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.72R   62.50  
Crawley         26   22  -12      42.25     5.83   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.99R    7.53