Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 16 February 2006 at 23:52:57 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.57     4.30    52.16    98.67    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.66     4.36    38.50     1.27    78.58    99.38    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.78     4.68    22.50     0.05    19.00    92.48    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   45  +13      63.84     4.80    16.52     0.01     0.86    35.67    76.52     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.11     4.68    26.44     0.00     0.69    32.03    75.41     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.83     4.68     5.09     0.00     0.04     4.95    27.05     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      58.05     4.91     4.63     0.00     0.01     5.58    29.30     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.68     5.30    14.36     0.00     0.85    27.38    68.19     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.77     4.71    -3.06     0.00     0.01     1.28    10.78     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.77     4.72     6.65     0.00     0.00     1.03     9.07     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.85     4.41   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.14R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.62     4.86    -9.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.11     0.06R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.80     4.77    -0.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.08     0.08R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.68     4.96    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.03     0.20R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.21     4.68    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.64     0.20R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.97     4.95   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.98R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.40     4.32   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.50R    0.00  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.49     4.54   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.86R    0.54  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.20     3.89   -41.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   10.73  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.45     3.98   -43.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   88.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Southampton vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          34   83  +53     109.84     4.11    69.68    99.47    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      34   71  +27      94.57     4.66    38.60     0.53    90.02   100.00    92.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            33   62  +20      83.99     4.83    26.66     0.01     6.09    99.21    30.30P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   61  +22      82.29     4.65    29.81     0.00     2.60    98.14    23.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   56  +15      77.73     4.98    21.09     0.00     0.66    89.91    18.51P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.72     4.77    29.56     0.00     0.65    93.77    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   49   +7      66.54     4.82     8.55     0.00     0.00     7.09     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   +8      66.91     4.87    11.13     0.00     0.00     9.11     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   47   -7      62.61     4.65    -8.49     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            34   45   -1      60.53     4.78    -3.17     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Coventry         34   44   -4      59.31     4.80    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.03P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.77     4.84    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          34   43   -7      57.01     4.60   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.15R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.39     4.59   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Plymouth         33   40   -8      55.67     4.85   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.71     4.73   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.72R    0.00  
Hull             34   38   -5      52.07     4.55    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.10R    0.01  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.61     4.75    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.01  
Leicester        34   36   -8      49.32     4.59   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.14R    0.08  
Derby            34   35   -8      49.69     4.63   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.70R    0.06  
Sheffield_W      34   34  -15      45.87     4.37   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.32R    0.74  
Brighton         34   29  -23      41.82     4.59   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.44R    7.25  
Millwall         34   28  -22      40.26     4.55   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.39R   12.16  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.76     4.23   -46.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   79.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Chesterfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        33   60  +20      83.78     4.94    29.32    37.12    62.95    99.44    74.05P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.86     5.36    22.38    22.62    45.28    98.03    59.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.22     5.56    24.96    25.66    49.77    98.34    62.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         33   56  +22      78.72     5.11    29.80    10.28    26.07    95.18    46.71P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    33   56   +8      76.61     5.08    12.15     2.86    10.63    88.14    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        32   52  +15      72.91     5.42    17.61     1.45     5.02    70.79    22.31P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    33   48   +4      66.48     5.09     5.08     0.03     0.17    19.39     3.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Oldham          33   47   -3      65.13     5.18    -2.42     0.00     0.06    12.13     2.23P    0.28R    0.00  
Doncaster       31   43   -1      62.76     5.52    -2.19     0.00     0.04     6.63     1.22P    1.46R    0.04  
Port_Vale       32   43   -3      61.41     5.25    -3.82     0.00     0.01     3.81     0.75P    2.02R    0.10  
Tranmere        33   41   +2      60.17     5.11     4.18     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.60P    2.67R    0.11  
Bradford        33   41   +1      60.27     5.03     3.33     0.00     0.00     2.28     0.56P    2.47R    0.11  
Nottingham      33   41   -1      59.21     4.97    -0.17     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.26P    4.00R    0.19  
Bournemouth     32   40   -2      58.08     5.39    -3.33     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.29P    7.93R    0.53  
Gillingham      33   40   -9      54.75     4.94   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   22.07R    2.40  
Swindon_Town    33   38   -9      53.38     4.94   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.02R    4.60  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.77     4.90   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   34.28R    5.21  
Bristol_City    33   38  -11      54.50     5.03   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.34R    3.25  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.38     5.21   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   26.12R    3.53  
Scunthorpe      32   37   -7      54.10     5.28   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   26.30R    3.86  
Walsall         32   37  -11      53.70     5.25   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   29.93R    4.42  
Blackpool       33   36   -9      51.74     4.97   -12.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   41.40R    8.21  
Rotherham       33   33   -8      48.64     5.00   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.17R   20.52  
Milton_Keynes   32   31  -13      46.19     5.07   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   80.47R   42.91  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          33   58  +20      80.96     5.05    28.14    34.78    76.81    98.50    82.73P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.27     5.08    24.50    22.46    63.15    96.62    72.13P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   56  +22      79.61     5.01    31.10    27.12    70.11    97.82    78.36P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      33   54  +18      76.13     4.96    24.72     8.66    40.24    91.33    55.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   52   +7      72.63     5.54     9.09     3.20    16.76    69.78    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     33   49  +11      71.23     5.11    17.55     1.18    11.11    65.23    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       32   49   +4      69.98     5.43     6.74     0.89     7.60    51.37    16.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        33   48   +6      67.29     5.08     8.22     0.23     2.50    31.79     9.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       33   46   +9      65.12     5.12    10.96     0.07     1.15    21.15     6.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   46   -7      63.00     5.06    -8.63     0.02     0.28     8.88     1.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          30   44  +12      69.88     5.92    17.87     1.37    10.11    54.73    22.22P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     33   43   -8      58.66     4.95   -11.02     0.00     0.03     1.89     0.29P    0.28R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       33   41   -1      58.15     5.06    -2.06     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.40P    0.40R    0.07  
Boston           32   41   -3      59.36     5.38    -4.19     0.01     0.07     3.25     0.76P    0.41R    0.05  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.81     5.65    -3.52     0.00     0.07     3.80     0.70P    0.58R    0.08  
Macclesfield     32   38   -7      56.08     5.42    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    2.17R    0.58  
Mansfield        33   37   -7      53.65     5.16    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    4.02R    0.78  
Chester          31   36   -4      55.07     5.66    -6.40     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.17P    3.25R    0.71  
Oxford_Utd       32   36  -10      51.93     5.16   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.52R    1.96  
Barnet           31   35  -10      51.69     5.35   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   10.84R    3.25  
Stockport        32   33  -18      48.50     5.20   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.68R   10.81  
Bury             30   32  -12      50.73     5.76   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   16.20R    5.34  
Torquay          33   32  -17      45.45     4.88   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.73R   24.27  
Rushden_&_D      33   30  -21      42.44     4.77   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.90R   52.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2006, York vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      27   61  +22      87.91     5.62    32.29    83.36    99.73    86.86P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        27   50  +17      77.82     5.36    27.76     9.56    90.86    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       29   49  +11      68.59     5.01    13.79     0.20    33.31     6.30P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           27   48  +19      75.09     5.59    30.23     4.84    80.79    22.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       29   48  +18      71.22     4.98    26.00     0.77    58.50    16.61P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         29   48   +7      68.65     5.15    11.24     0.09    33.42     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          28   47  +15      72.49     5.26    24.92     1.06    65.98    17.11P    0.00     0.00  
York            28   41  +10      62.83     5.41    13.98     0.02     8.29     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          27   40  +14      65.17     5.65    21.41     0.07    19.04     5.07P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          29   40   -3      57.73     5.07    -3.22     0.00     0.64     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Gravesend       26   39   +2      62.42     5.89     4.42     0.03     8.43     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       27   36   +1      56.32     5.62     0.45     0.00     0.92     0.17P    0.12R    0.00  
Altrincham      29   36  -17      47.84     4.61   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.47R    0.16  
Kidderminster   29   34   -7      48.69     4.94   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.00R    0.14  
Aldershot       27   34  -12      51.55     5.59   -17.94     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.85R    0.18  
Cambridge_U     28   33   -9      49.70     5.36   -12.90     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.62R    0.17  
Canvey_Island   28   31  -10      46.93     5.18   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.27R    0.61  
Forest_Green    28   29   -3      45.76     5.28    -7.40     0.00     0.01     0.01P   14.29R    1.25  
Scarborough     30   27  -18      38.63     4.49   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.72R   14.68  
Tamworth        27   26  -19      40.48     5.12   -28.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.78R   12.00  
Southport       27   23  -26      34.10     4.70   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.89R   63.47  
Crawley         26   22  -12      42.35     5.87   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.95R    7.34