Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 15 February 2006 at 23:53:01 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Blackburn vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.71     4.22    52.42    98.79    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.67     4.37    38.54     1.16    78.33    99.31    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.84     4.70    22.53     0.05    19.39    92.99    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   45  +13      63.82     4.73    16.47     0.01     0.81    35.81    76.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.03     4.69    26.41     0.00     0.66    32.09    75.63     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.75     4.73     4.89     0.00     0.03     5.04    26.98     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       26   40   +2      57.87     4.90     4.37     0.00     0.03     5.38    28.27     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.48     5.34    14.05     0.00     0.77    26.62    67.31     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.69     4.72    -3.16     0.00     0.01     1.27    10.84     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.96     4.65     7.02     0.00     0.00     1.15     9.81     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.78     4.41   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.64     0.12R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.77     4.88    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.24     0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.72     4.72    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.01     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.91     5.03    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.29     0.17R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.32     4.66     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.77     0.26R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.82     4.97   -17.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     4.51R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.37     4.33   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    29.75R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.69     4.62   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.27R    0.58  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.34     3.91   -41.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.73R    9.45  
Sunderland      26   10  -30      18.23     3.93   -43.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R   89.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Southampton vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          34   83  +53     109.85     4.17    69.77    99.42   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      34   71  +27      94.62     4.69    38.63     0.58    90.22   100.00    92.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            33   62  +20      84.01     4.85    26.74     0.00     6.10    99.19    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   61  +22      82.13     4.68    29.49     0.00     2.52    97.81    23.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   56  +15      77.82     5.00    21.26     0.00     0.60    89.93    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          33   55  +21      78.60     4.77    29.37     0.00     0.55    93.63    31.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   49   +7      66.52     4.77     8.54     0.00     0.00     7.08     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   +8      67.01     4.91    11.25     0.00     0.00     9.35     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   47   -7      62.67     4.68    -8.41     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton            34   45   -1      60.55     4.73    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         34   44   -4      59.23     4.86    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.77     4.86    -1.52     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          34   43   -7      57.05     4.63   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.32     4.54   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.32R    0.00  
Plymouth         33   40   -8      55.45     4.77   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.61R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.74     4.74   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.62R    0.01  
Hull             34   38   -5      52.18     4.65    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.09R    0.01  
Southampton      34   37   -6      52.61     4.70    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.21R    0.03  
Leicester        34   36   -8      49.36     4.58   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.21R    0.07  
Derby            34   35   -8      49.78     4.70   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.12  
Sheffield_W      34   34  -15      45.92     4.42   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.95R    0.78  
Brighton         34   29  -23      42.03     4.59   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.33R    6.64  
Millwall         34   28  -22      40.27     4.49   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.75R   12.07  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.64     4.23   -46.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.66R   80.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Chesterfield vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        33   60  +20      83.71     4.86    29.18    36.33    63.00    99.59    74.32P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.87     5.37    22.39    22.55    44.93    98.18    59.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.27     5.66    25.00    26.03    49.40    98.06    62.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         33   56  +22      78.67     5.17    29.63    10.52    26.02    94.78    46.46P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    33   56   +8      76.61     5.13    12.21     3.02    10.80    88.00    25.54P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        32   52  +15      72.97     5.42    17.65     1.53     5.52    70.78    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    33   48   +4      66.55     5.10     5.19     0.01     0.20    19.91     4.21P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham          33   47   -3      64.82     5.18    -2.83     0.01     0.09    11.40     2.02P    0.26R    0.01  
Doncaster       31   43   -1      62.95     5.52    -1.90     0.01     0.04     7.21     1.38P    1.27R    0.04  
Port_Vale       32   43   -3      61.13     5.28    -4.23     0.00     0.01     3.40     0.59P    2.40R    0.10  
Tranmere        33   41   +2      60.50     5.10     4.60     0.00     0.00     2.70     0.60P    2.40R    0.12  
Bradford        33   41   +1      60.27     5.08     3.39     0.00     0.00     2.44     0.60P    2.45R    0.10  
Nottingham      33   41   -1      59.12     5.00    -0.36     0.00     0.00     1.36     0.24P    4.21R    0.20  
Bournemouth     32   40   -2      58.04     5.32    -3.44     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.24P    7.57R    0.48  
Gillingham      33   40   -9      54.68     4.96   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   22.75R    2.46  
Swindon_Town    33   38   -9      53.31     4.93   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   30.95R    4.79  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.86     4.88   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   33.53R    5.09  
Bristol_City    33   38  -11      54.59     4.99   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   23.43R    3.12  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.34     5.23   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   26.54R    3.34  
Scunthorpe      32   37   -7      54.08     5.31   -11.10     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   26.91R    3.97  
Walsall         32   37  -11      53.76     5.28   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   29.71R    4.40  
Blackpool       33   36   -9      51.71     4.94   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.70R    8.29  
Rotherham       33   33   -8      48.70     5.04   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.35R   20.86  
Milton_Keynes   32   31  -13      46.29     4.99   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.48R   42.62  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 February 2006, Oxford_Utd vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          33   58  +20      80.97     5.08    28.14    35.12    76.42    98.31    81.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.14     5.11    24.35    21.50    62.23    96.39    71.50P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   56  +22      79.76     5.03    31.36    27.90    70.66    97.74    78.73P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      33   54  +18      76.08     4.97    24.64     8.61    40.00    91.25    55.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   52   +7      72.82     5.48     9.36     2.96    17.45    70.90    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     33   49  +11      71.21     5.17    17.54     1.25    10.96    64.88    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       32   49   +4      69.98     5.40     6.82     0.96     7.59    50.88    16.28P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        33   48   +6      67.27     5.10     8.20     0.20     2.46    31.84     9.12P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       33   46   +9      65.31     5.14    11.23     0.07     1.29    22.00     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   46   -7      62.93     5.04    -8.73     0.01     0.28     8.39     1.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          30   44  +12      70.02     5.93    18.12     1.43    10.48    55.35    22.81P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     33   43   -8      58.91     4.95   -10.64     0.00     0.03     2.04     0.32P    0.21R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       33   41   -1      57.98     5.05    -2.23     0.00     0.03     1.54     0.33P    0.56R    0.12  
Boston           32   41   -3      59.36     5.33    -4.16     0.00     0.05     3.02     0.74P    0.43R    0.05  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.67     5.63    -3.77     0.00     0.07     3.50     0.59P    0.67R    0.09  
Macclesfield     32   38   -7      56.03     5.42    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.14P    2.02R    0.51  
Mansfield        33   37   -7      53.52     5.17    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.07P    4.33R    1.06  
Chester          31   36   -4      55.09     5.51    -6.37     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.17P    2.98R    0.68  
Oxford_Utd       32   36  -10      52.03     5.19   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    8.22R    2.06  
Barnet           31   35  -10      51.46     5.33   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   11.55R    3.66  
Stockport        32   33  -18      48.46     5.20   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.11R   10.68  
Bury             30   32  -12      50.80     5.73   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   15.20R    4.75  
Torquay          33   32  -17      45.23     4.84   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.59R   25.49  
Rushden_&_D      33   30  -21      42.52     4.77   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.10R   50.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2006, York vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      27   61  +22      87.93     5.52    32.28    83.58    99.86    87.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        27   50  +17      77.76     5.36    27.65     9.12    90.55    34.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       29   49  +11      68.69     5.07    14.03     0.30    34.12     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           27   48  +19      75.18     5.62    30.31     4.91    81.10    22.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       29   48  +18      71.09     5.03    25.90     0.72    57.44    16.62P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         29   48   +7      68.78     5.19    11.47     0.18    34.84     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          28   47  +15      72.34     5.23    24.67     1.05    65.44    16.95P    0.00     0.00  
York            28   41  +10      62.78     5.35    13.84     0.01     8.19     1.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          27   40  +14      65.09     5.67    21.29     0.10    18.69     4.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          29   40   -3      57.57     5.07    -3.45     0.00     0.49     0.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Gravesend       26   39   +2      62.38     5.89     4.35     0.03     8.46     1.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       27   36   +1      56.14     5.60     0.14     0.00     0.74     0.14P    0.20R    0.01  
Altrincham      29   36  -17      47.96     4.70   -26.25     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.37R    0.25  
Kidderminster   29   34   -7      48.67     4.93   -11.34     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.07R    0.12  
Aldershot       27   34  -12      51.50     5.57   -18.06     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.87R    0.11  
Cambridge_U     28   33   -9      49.78     5.33   -12.74     0.00     0.01     0.01P    4.33R    0.21  
Canvey_Island   28   31  -10      46.87     5.18   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.07R    0.71  
Forest_Green    28   29   -3      45.76     5.30    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.68R    1.41  
Scarborough     30   27  -18      38.69     4.55   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.85R   15.78  
Tamworth        27   26  -19      40.58     5.11   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.90R   11.89  
Southport       27   23  -26      34.37     4.77   -42.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.50R   61.67  
Crawley         26   22  -12      42.32     5.82   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.14R    7.83