Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 14 February 2006 at 23:53:00 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2006, Liverpool vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.62     4.27    52.20    98.81    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.61     4.39    38.45     1.17    78.32    99.30    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       26   51  +15      72.79     4.67    22.48     0.02    19.43    92.92    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   45  +13      63.62     4.75    16.19     0.00     0.73    34.27    76.60     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         26   41  +18      63.15     4.68    26.53     0.00     0.81    33.62    76.48     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.83     4.68     5.07     0.00     0.06     5.04    28.03     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.45     5.39    13.96     0.00     0.67    27.00    67.06     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.79     4.74    -3.02     0.00     0.00     1.41    11.27     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.92     4.68     6.87     0.00     0.01     1.14    10.23     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   37   +0      57.31     5.09     4.05     0.00     0.01     5.00    26.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.94     4.45   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.75     0.11R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.72     4.82    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.20     0.15R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.79     4.69    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.14     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.83     5.06    -6.30     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.23     0.24R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.01     4.69    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.26R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.81     4.98   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     4.79R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.58     4.34   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.89R    0.03  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.61     4.62   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.89R    0.93  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.35     3.92   -41.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   12.13  
Sunderland      25   10  -28      18.91     4.19   -43.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   86.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2006, Stoke vs Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          34   83  +53     109.79     4.14    69.73    99.46   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      34   71  +27      94.58     4.68    38.58     0.54    89.60   100.00    92.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            33   62  +20      84.15     4.89    26.85     0.01     6.37    99.09    31.38P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   61  +22      82.17     4.68    29.64     0.00     2.38    98.13    22.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   56  +15      77.71     5.09    21.09     0.00     0.70    89.16    18.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   54  +21      79.25     4.94    29.87     0.00     0.95    94.61    30.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   49   +7      66.43     4.76     8.42     0.00     0.00     6.83     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    33   47   +8      66.97     4.88    11.17     0.00     0.00     9.23     2.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          34   47   -7      62.68     4.67    -8.42     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            34   45   -1      60.69     4.80    -2.92     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          34   43   -2      59.91     4.87    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    0.03R    0.00  
Norwich          34   43   -7      57.11     4.63   -10.53     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.17R    0.00  
Queens_PR        34   42  -10      56.21     4.52   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.39R    0.00  
Coventry         33   41   -5      58.00     5.07    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    0.15R    0.00  
Plymouth         33   40   -8      55.54     4.84   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.67R    0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -12      53.77     4.70   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.81R    0.01  
Hull             34   38   -5      52.07     4.65    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.50R    0.03  
Southampton      33   36   -6      52.57     4.99    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.19R    0.04  
Leicester        34   36   -8      49.39     4.63   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.57R    0.07  
Derby            34   35   -8      49.65     4.66   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.62R    0.10  
Sheffield_W      33   34  -14      46.74     4.61   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.92R    0.59  
Brighton         34   29  -23      41.90     4.62   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.94R    7.35  
Millwall         34   28  -22      40.35     4.50   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.37R   12.04  
Crewe            34   23  -35      33.83     4.25   -46.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.64R   79.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2006, Yeovil vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        33   60  +20      83.71     4.89    29.26    36.03    62.34    99.36    73.36P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      32   59  +17      81.98     5.37    22.51    23.33    45.62    97.92    59.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   57  +18      82.19     5.54    24.89    25.05    48.64    98.17    61.49P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         33   56  +22      78.71     5.19    29.68    10.51    26.25    94.33    46.80P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    33   56   +8      76.64     5.17    12.17     3.29    11.02    86.70    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        32   52  +15      72.96     5.48    17.64     1.62     5.29    68.94    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    32   48   +5      68.62     5.40     7.25     0.15     0.81    31.95     6.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Oldham          32   44   -6      62.59     5.47    -6.75     0.01     0.02     5.77     0.92P    1.58R    0.04  
Port_Vale       32   43   -3      61.21     5.23    -4.09     0.00     0.00     3.08     0.57P    2.25R    0.07  
Nottingham      32   41   +2      61.11     5.30     3.55     0.00     0.00     3.44     0.77P    2.12R    0.06  
Tranmere        33   41   +2      60.50     5.11     4.66     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.64P    2.28R    0.09  
Bradford        33   41   +1      60.34     5.12     3.41     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.56P    2.67R    0.14  
Doncaster       30   40   -2      60.21     5.74    -4.70     0.00     0.01     3.41     0.55P    4.63R    0.27  
Bournemouth     32   40   -2      58.03     5.34    -3.44     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.23P    7.67R    0.57  
Gillingham      33   40   -9      54.76     4.91   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   22.05R    2.58  
Swindon_Town    33   38   -9      53.33     5.00   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   31.31R    5.00  
Hartlepool      33   38   -9      52.89     4.87   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    32.94R    5.17  
Bristol_City    33   38  -11      54.45     4.98   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.09R    3.57  
Yeovil          32   38  -11      54.26     5.29   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   27.65R    3.76  
Scunthorpe      32   37   -7      54.21     5.32   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   26.05R    4.27  
Walsall         32   37  -11      53.88     5.19   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.70R    4.12  
Blackpool       33   36   -9      51.77     4.94   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   40.76R    7.71  
Rotherham       33   33   -8      48.77     4.97   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.80R   20.40  
Milton_Keynes   32   31  -13      46.28     5.03   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.41R   42.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2006, Wrexham vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          33   58  +20      81.08     5.13    28.36    35.47    76.91    98.41    82.55P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +18      79.29     5.07    24.56    22.02    63.70    96.89    73.18P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         33   56  +22      79.82     4.98    31.33    27.86    71.44    98.07    79.33P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      33   54  +18      76.00     4.98    24.50     8.30    39.23    90.71    55.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   52   +7      72.76     5.48     9.31     2.92    17.08    70.59    27.18P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     33   49  +11      71.09     5.06    17.33     1.15    10.29    65.03    25.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       32   49   +4      69.74     5.43     6.46     0.68     6.98    49.52    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        33   48   +6      67.22     5.09     8.04     0.18     2.52    31.93     8.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       33   46   +9      65.26     5.09    11.14     0.07     1.14    22.49     6.19P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   46   -7      62.96     5.07    -8.67     0.01     0.20     8.64     1.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          30   44  +12      69.89     6.03    17.94     1.32    10.33    55.02    22.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     33   43   -8      58.83     4.98   -10.79     0.00     0.03     2.04     0.34P    0.30R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       33   41   -1      57.96     5.04    -2.30     0.01     0.01     1.53     0.27P    0.49R    0.08  
Boston           32   41   -3      59.30     5.29    -4.21     0.01     0.07     3.04     0.66P    0.33R    0.06  
Rochdale         31   39   -2      58.81     5.63    -3.55     0.01     0.06     3.62     0.70P    0.62R    0.13  
Mansfield        33   37   -7      53.60     5.10    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    4.30R    0.94  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.37     5.66    -9.01     0.00     0.03     1.11     0.23P    2.54R    0.56  
Chester          31   36   -4      55.06     5.52    -6.45     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P    2.85R    0.61  
Barnet           31   35  -10      51.44     5.34   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   11.34R    3.44  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.49     5.42   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    8.00R    2.05  
Stockport        32   33  -18      48.59     5.24   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   28.61R   10.65  
Bury             30   32  -12      50.82     5.75   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   15.63R    5.21  
Torquay          33   32  -17      45.40     4.88   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.66R   25.10  
Rushden_&_D      33   30  -21      42.54     4.73   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.28R   51.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2006, York vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      27   61  +22      87.99     5.59    32.39    83.70    99.76    87.10P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        27   50  +17      77.55     5.39    27.36     8.88    90.16    33.95P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       29   49  +11      68.79     5.05    14.09     0.27    34.12     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           27   48  +19      75.16     5.56    30.42     4.88    80.61    22.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       29   48  +18      71.33     5.04    26.22     0.89    59.09    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         29   48   +7      68.79     5.17    11.44     0.20    34.29     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          28   47  +15      72.39     5.28    24.78     1.06    64.95    16.75P    0.00     0.00  
York            28   41  +10      62.79     5.46    13.85     0.01     8.10     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          27   40  +14      65.28     5.66    21.55     0.07    19.44     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          29   40   -3      57.76     5.06    -3.17     0.00     0.61     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend       26   39   +2      62.23     5.95     4.12     0.04     7.93     1.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       27   36   +1      56.21     5.61     0.24     0.00     0.83     0.14P    0.20R    0.00  
Altrincham      29   36  -17      47.98     4.65   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.27R    0.21  
Kidderminster   29   34   -7      48.70     4.91   -11.27     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.93R    0.14  
Aldershot       27   34  -12      51.39     5.54   -18.28     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.02R    0.19  
Cambridge_U     28   33   -9      49.84     5.37   -12.65     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.46R    0.21  
Canvey_Island   28   31  -10      46.66     5.22   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.01R    0.74  
Forest_Green    28   29   -3      45.67     5.25    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.35R    1.32  
Scarborough     30   27  -18      38.56     4.51   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.38R   15.48  
Tamworth        27   26  -19      40.80     5.11   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.59R   10.70  
Southport       27   23  -26      34.11     4.74   -42.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.93R   63.24  
Crawley         26   22  -12      42.35     5.87   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.82R    7.76