Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 February 2006 at 23:52:52 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 February 2006, West_Ham vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.59     4.27    52.26    98.78    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.76     4.35    38.64     1.19    82.64    99.34    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   48  +14      71.15     4.95    21.50     0.04    13.55    85.45    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   45  +13      63.80     4.74    16.42     0.00     0.93    33.63    76.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   41  +19      64.41     4.94    27.53     0.00     2.02    43.48    82.12     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        26   41   +5      57.67     4.68     4.78     0.00     0.03     4.56    26.27     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.55     5.38    14.09     0.00     0.83    26.46    67.58     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.73     4.75    -3.06     0.00     0.00     1.27    11.01     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.81     4.64     6.74     0.00     0.01     0.92     9.03     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   37   +0      57.30     5.12     4.08     0.00     0.01     4.66    24.49     0.00     0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.85     4.43   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.69     0.09R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.78     4.84    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.20     0.14R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.78     4.71    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.10     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.80     5.01    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.06     0.20R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.22     4.67    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.73     0.21R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.83     5.04   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     4.61R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.47     4.34   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.66R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   20  -16      32.59     4.60   -24.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.09R    0.70  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.23     3.92   -41.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   12.80  
Sunderland      25   10  -28      18.96     4.14   -43.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   86.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          33   82  +53     110.66     4.38    70.38    99.23   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      33   70  +27      94.39     4.92    37.80     0.77    88.19   100.00    91.18P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   61  +23      83.32     4.85    30.15     0.00     5.00    98.58    25.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   59  +19      82.60     5.14    26.04     0.01     5.03    98.14    28.73P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   54  +21      79.50     5.00    30.16     0.00     1.11    95.43    31.57P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   53  +14      76.98     5.23    21.45     0.00     0.68    86.98    19.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   48   +7      66.94     5.10     8.58     0.00     0.00    10.29     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   44   +7      64.98     5.17     9.74     0.00     0.00     6.19     1.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton            33   44   -1      61.05     5.04    -2.79     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Ipswich          33   44   -8      61.00     4.94    -9.49     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          33   43   -1      61.47     5.07    -0.10     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Queens_PR        33   42   -9      56.90     4.77   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.51R    0.00  
Coventry         33   41   -5      58.04     5.09    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.22R    0.00  
Norwich          33   40  -10      55.33     4.86   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.34R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   39   -8      55.79     5.17   -10.62     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.01R    0.01  
Stoke            32   39  -12      54.46     5.00   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     2.10R    0.01  
Hull             33   37   -5      52.65     4.83    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.08R    0.03  
Southampton      33   36   -6      52.49     4.92    -7.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.03R    0.05  
Leicester        33   35   -8      49.88     4.86   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.80R    0.16  
Derby            33   34   -8      49.81     4.87   -12.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.69R    0.21  
Sheffield_W      33   34  -14      46.83     4.61   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.61R    0.94  
Brighton         33   29  -20      43.39     4.93   -24.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.60R    6.90  
Millwall         33   27  -22      40.36     4.74   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.22R   17.20  
Crewe            33   23  -34      35.01     4.50   -45.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.69R   74.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Walsall vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        32   60  +22      85.44     5.12    31.90    45.83    70.98    99.75    79.96P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      31   58  +17      83.11     5.57    23.79    25.32    52.36    98.39    64.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         32   55  +22      79.70     5.32    30.70    11.15    30.00    95.47    50.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   54  +16      80.21     5.88    22.37    13.92    32.20    94.97    47.66P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    32   53   +7      74.88     5.42    10.96     1.49     6.21    77.03    19.53P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        31   51  +15      74.26     5.70    18.93     2.18     7.52    75.34    25.89P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    32   48   +5      68.62     5.41     7.26     0.12     0.69    32.05     6.92P    0.04R    0.00  
Oldham          32   44   -6      62.87     5.43    -6.35     0.00     0.01     5.68     0.78P    1.18R    0.01  
Port_Vale       31   42   -3      60.77     5.55    -5.28     0.00     0.01     3.48     0.69P    2.92R    0.12  
Nottingham      32   41   +2      61.20     5.29     3.66     0.00     0.00     3.41     0.81P    1.78R    0.05  
Tranmere        32   40   +2      61.45     5.28     5.45     0.00     0.01     3.85     0.89P    1.63R    0.07  
Bradford        32   40   +1      59.98     5.33     2.39     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.53P    3.06R    0.14  
Bournemouth     31   40   +0      59.84     5.68    -0.80     0.00     0.01     3.23     0.59P    4.29R    0.18  
Doncaster       30   40   -2      60.41     5.68    -4.44     0.00     0.01     3.40     0.48P    3.79R    0.16  
Gillingham      32   40   -8      56.11     5.20   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   15.39R    1.18  
Scunthorpe      31   37   -5      56.53     5.58    -7.26     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.14P   13.80R    1.25  
Hartlepool      32   37   -9      52.67     5.04   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    33.89R    4.62  
Yeovil          31   37  -11      55.19     5.56   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.04P   21.55R    2.46  
Blackpool       32   36   -8      53.31     5.27   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   28.84R    3.99  
Walsall         31   36  -11      53.06     5.37   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   32.84R    4.84  
Swindon_Town    32   35  -10      51.74     5.21   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.06R    7.17  
Bristol_City    32   35  -13      51.81     5.21   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    41.62R    8.05  
Rotherham       32   30  -10      46.76     5.23   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.13R   29.34  
Milton_Keynes   31   30  -13      46.25     5.27   -19.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.19R   36.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Wycombe vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Grimsby          32   57  +19      81.25     5.34    26.38    31.21    74.32    98.55    81.03P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   55  +22      81.01     5.23    32.62    32.80    75.84    98.68    82.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   55  +19      79.53     5.34    27.42    20.43    64.78    96.93    73.55P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      32   53  +18      77.19     5.21    25.80    10.97    45.94    93.78    60.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   51   +7      72.62     5.68     8.58     2.52    16.09    71.09    26.57P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   46  +10      66.42     5.35    11.94     0.11     2.42    31.36    10.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   46  +10      69.49     5.39    16.31     0.57     6.39    54.48    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       31   46   +3      68.19     5.70     5.51     0.36     4.38    41.59    11.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   46   -6      64.70     5.31    -7.05     0.03     0.82    17.95     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   45   +5      65.40     5.31     6.89     0.06     1.25    23.62     6.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     32   43   -7      59.87     5.23   -10.29     0.00     0.09     4.09     0.72P    0.18R    0.01  
Wrexham          29   41  +10      68.85     6.16    16.97     0.94     7.24    49.95    18.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           32   41   -3      59.36     5.32    -4.14     0.00     0.04     3.47     0.72P    0.34R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       32   40   -1      57.50     5.25    -3.54     0.00     0.01     1.88     0.43P    0.67R    0.11  
Rochdale         30   39   +1      61.08     5.95     0.94     0.01     0.32     9.43     2.29P    0.31R    0.08  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.42     5.70    -8.94     0.00     0.04     1.51     0.30P    2.35R    0.59  
Chester          31   36   -4      54.94     5.52    -6.66     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.13P    2.83R    0.67  
Barnet           30   35   -9      53.07     5.61   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    6.60R    1.89  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.46     5.43   -14.25     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P    7.36R    2.17  
Mansfield        32   34   -8      51.13     5.34   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.04P   10.36R    2.98  
Bury             29   31  -12      51.05     6.03   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   15.57R    5.92  
Torquay          32   31  -17      46.16     5.15   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.26R   20.05  
Rushden_&_D      32   30  -19      43.16     4.99   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.59R   42.30  
Stockport        31   30  -21      45.96     5.45   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.58R   23.18  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2006, York vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      27   61  +22      87.82     5.58    32.13    83.18    99.83    86.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        27   50  +17      77.68     5.34    27.51     9.51    90.69    34.48P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       29   49  +11      68.64     5.04    13.87     0.22    34.20     6.92P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           27   48  +19      75.14     5.51    30.34     4.85    81.09    22.46P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       29   48  +18      71.11     5.03    25.86     0.86    57.36    16.85P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         29   48   +7      68.75     5.16    11.38     0.20    34.63     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          28   47  +15      72.20     5.22    24.50     1.05    64.49    16.32P    0.00     0.00  
York            28   41  +10      62.86     5.41    14.01     0.01     8.60     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          27   40  +14      65.21     5.66    21.42     0.08    19.12     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          29   40   -3      57.72     5.13    -3.26     0.00     0.66     0.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend       26   39   +2      62.53     5.84     4.58     0.04     8.39     1.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       27   36   +1      56.30     5.63     0.34     0.00     0.81     0.12P    0.20R    0.00  
Altrincham      29   36  -17      47.94     4.65   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.25R    0.15  
Kidderminster   29   34   -7      48.62     4.90   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.96R    0.17  
Aldershot       27   34  -12      51.56     5.60   -17.93     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.87R    0.14  
Cambridge_U     28   33   -9      49.77     5.39   -12.75     0.00     0.02     0.01P    4.65R    0.26  
Canvey_Island   28   31  -10      46.95     5.21   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.85R    0.70  
Forest_Green    28   29   -3      45.67     5.26    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.03R    1.23  
Scarborough     30   27  -18      38.61     4.50   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.27R   15.02  
Tamworth        27   26  -19      40.62     5.15   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.60R   11.40  
Southport       27   23  -26      34.13     4.69   -42.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.12R   63.55  
Crawley         26   22  -12      42.43     5.86   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.16R    7.39