Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 February 2006 at 23:53:22 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2006, Sunderland vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.61     4.30    52.16    98.77    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.53     4.35    38.21     1.22    82.27    99.28    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   48  +14      71.05     4.93    21.41     0.01    13.79    85.04    97.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       26   45  +13      63.82     4.77    16.49     0.00     0.96    34.14    78.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   41  +19      64.56     4.89    27.71     0.00     2.17    45.30    83.67     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.45     5.32    13.91     0.00     0.77    25.80    68.06     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.80     4.76    -3.00     0.00     0.01     1.36    11.48     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   38   +2      56.51     4.96     2.45     0.00     0.05     3.21    20.62     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    26   37   +6      53.92     4.67     6.90     0.00     0.01     1.19    10.10     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       25   37   +0      57.05     5.13     3.66     0.00     0.01     4.41    24.50     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.91     4.50   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.75     0.21R    0.00  
Charlton        25   33   -5      48.93     4.90    -8.87     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.58     0.13R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.67     4.70    -0.49     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.02     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.85     5.03    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.26     0.35R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.02     4.63    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.40R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.90     5.00   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     5.45R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.56     4.37   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.62R    0.01  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      33.57     4.81   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.82R    0.55  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.32     3.97   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.04R   12.70  
Sunderland      25   10  -28      18.97     4.15   -43.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   86.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          33   82  +53     110.55     4.43    70.21    99.08   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      33   70  +27      94.57     4.92    38.00     0.92    88.83   100.00    91.59P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   61  +23      83.27     4.90    30.10     0.00     4.58    98.57    25.64P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   59  +19      82.73     5.16    26.21     0.00     4.85    98.25    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   54  +21      79.44     5.01    30.12     0.00     1.22    95.37    31.48P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   53  +14      76.74     5.27    21.12     0.00     0.54    86.30    18.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   48   +7      66.87     5.07     8.47     0.00     0.00    10.47     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   44   +7      64.93     5.16     9.66     0.00     0.00     6.38     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            33   44   -1      61.11     5.06    -2.67     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Ipswich          33   44   -8      61.04     4.95    -9.41     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.15P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          33   43   -1      61.61     5.08     0.12     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Queens_PR        33   42   -9      57.08     4.83   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.46R    0.01  
Coventry         33   41   -5      58.00     5.03    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.24R    0.00  
Norwich          33   40  -10      55.24     4.81   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.22R    0.01  
Plymouth         32   39   -8      55.95     5.12   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.96R    0.01  
Stoke            32   39  -12      54.33     5.00   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     2.19R    0.03  
Hull             33   37   -5      52.60     4.90    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.26R    0.04  
Southampton      33   36   -6      52.60     4.96    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.16R    0.04  
Leicester        33   35   -8      49.87     4.87   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.89R    0.12  
Derby            33   34   -8      49.82     4.89   -12.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.70R    0.23  
Sheffield_W      33   34  -14      46.76     4.63   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.20R    1.08  
Brighton         33   29  -20      43.38     4.95   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.41R    6.81  
Millwall         33   27  -22      40.41     4.79   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.64R   17.18  
Crewe            33   23  -34      34.93     4.50   -46.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.58R   74.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Walsall vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        32   60  +22      85.34     5.09    31.69    44.60    70.44    99.67    79.50P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      31   58  +17      83.29     5.56    24.15    26.78    52.88    98.59    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         32   55  +22      79.76     5.35    30.85    11.59    30.60    95.33    50.28P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   54  +16      80.15     5.86    22.29    13.52    31.80    95.08    47.91P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    32   53   +7      74.99     5.36    11.12     1.36     6.17    78.17    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        31   51  +15      74.19     5.64    18.85     2.04     7.41    75.14    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    32   48   +5      68.51     5.37     7.04     0.10     0.61    30.92     6.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham          32   44   -6      62.94     5.39    -6.20     0.00     0.02     5.83     0.81P    1.11R    0.06  
Port_Vale       31   42   -3      60.71     5.50    -5.34     0.01     0.01     3.49     0.66P    3.02R    0.10  
Nottingham      32   41   +2      61.12     5.27     3.51     0.00     0.01     3.35     0.76P    1.93R    0.06  
Tranmere        32   40   +2      61.52     5.37     5.55     0.00     0.00     4.48     0.98P    1.75R    0.09  
Bradford        32   40   +1      59.79     5.28     2.11     0.00     0.01     2.11     0.47P    3.29R    0.12  
Bournemouth     31   40   +0      59.81     5.55    -0.87     0.00     0.01     2.74     0.62P    3.96R    0.14  
Doncaster       30   40   -2      60.44     5.65    -4.33     0.01     0.02     3.42     0.56P    3.75R    0.20  
Gillingham      32   40   -8      56.14     5.23   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P   15.41R    1.18  
Scunthorpe      31   37   -5      56.59     5.59    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P   13.74R    1.35  
Hartlepool      32   37   -9      52.60     5.01   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    34.11R    4.49  
Yeovil          31   37  -11      55.27     5.55   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   20.78R    2.47  
Blackpool       32   36   -8      53.38     5.23   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   28.64R    3.73  
Walsall         31   36  -11      52.97     5.34   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   34.66R    4.65  
Swindon_Town    32   35  -10      51.84     5.18   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   39.81R    7.26  
Bristol_City    32   35  -13      51.82     5.28   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    42.13R    8.08  
Rotherham       32   30  -10      46.76     5.27   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.87R   29.95  
Milton_Keynes   31   30  -13      46.27     5.26   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.00R   36.09  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Wycombe vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Grimsby          32   57  +19      81.29     5.30    26.42    32.05    74.29    98.51    81.15P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   55  +22      80.97     5.26    32.53    32.67    75.72    98.44    83.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   55  +19      79.46     5.37    27.30    20.35    64.82    96.73    73.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      32   53  +18      77.05     5.21    25.58    10.47    45.40    93.42    60.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   51   +7      72.63     5.67     8.48     2.35    16.41    70.88    27.14P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   46  +10      66.32     5.34    11.78     0.11     2.10    31.12     9.50P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   46  +10      69.58     5.40    16.53     0.54     6.75    54.98    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       31   46   +3      68.04     5.72     5.26     0.35     4.36    40.24    11.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   46   -6      64.75     5.36    -6.98     0.04     0.83    18.39     3.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   45   +5      65.52     5.31     7.06     0.10     1.32    23.82     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   43   -7      60.06     5.28   -10.01     0.01     0.07     4.58     0.80P    0.14R    0.01  
Wrexham          29   41  +10      68.90     6.16    16.99     0.93     7.39    50.55    18.79P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           32   41   -3      59.28     5.28    -4.26     0.00     0.07     3.24     0.65P    0.31R    0.07  
Shrewsbury       32   40   -1      57.52     5.30    -3.47     0.00     0.01     2.08     0.47P    0.71R    0.14  
Rochdale         30   39   +1      61.06     5.98     0.94     0.01     0.43     9.54     2.38P    0.32R    0.07  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.35     5.73    -9.09     0.00     0.01     1.55     0.30P    2.29R    0.58  
Chester          31   36   -4      55.04     5.62    -6.48     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.23P    2.96R    0.68  
Barnet           30   35   -9      52.97     5.65   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    7.49R    2.26  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.44     5.44   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    7.25R    2.02  
Mansfield        32   34   -8      51.24     5.37   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    9.91R    3.20  
Bury             29   31  -12      50.93     6.09   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   16.08R    6.41  
Torquay          32   31  -17      46.35     5.19   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.83R   19.47  
Rushden_&_D      32   30  -19      43.17     4.93   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.83R   41.76  
Stockport        31   30  -21      45.91     5.41   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.88R   23.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2006, York vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      27   61  +22      87.96     5.58    32.34    83.55    99.81    87.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        27   50  +17      77.62     5.41    27.39     9.15    90.20    35.28P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       29   49  +11      68.64     5.03    13.89     0.27    33.66     6.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           27   48  +19      75.22     5.58    30.48     5.00    81.22    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       29   48  +18      71.08     5.04    25.84     0.72    57.70    16.68P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         29   48   +7      68.72     5.18    11.37     0.17    34.06     6.64P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          28   47  +15      72.46     5.22    24.95     1.05    66.14    16.90P    0.00     0.00  
York            28   41  +10      62.76     5.33    13.91     0.01     7.86     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          27   40  +14      65.11     5.72    21.27     0.07    19.40     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          29   40   -3      57.66     5.12    -3.34     0.00     0.73     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       26   39   +2      62.34     5.91     4.28     0.02     8.23     1.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       27   36   +1      56.22     5.59     0.31     0.00     0.90     0.17P    0.23R    0.00  
Altrincham      29   36  -17      48.00     4.65   -26.17     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.27R    0.27  
Kidderminster   29   34   -7      48.66     4.95   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.09R    0.11  
Aldershot       27   34  -12      51.51     5.57   -18.05     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.82R    0.14  
Cambridge_U     28   33   -9      49.81     5.37   -12.70     0.00     0.02     0.00     4.51R    0.25  
Canvey_Island   28   31  -10      46.89     5.18   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.82R    0.69  
Forest_Green    28   29   -3      45.79     5.27    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.60R    1.40  
Scarborough     30   27  -18      38.71     4.55   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.69R   14.71  
Tamworth        27   26  -19      40.53     5.12   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.75R   11.60  
Southport       27   23  -26      34.15     4.74   -42.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.30R   63.28  
Crawley         26   22  -12      42.43     5.91   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.91R    7.56