Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 February 2006 at 23:53:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Wigan vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         26   66  +36      92.63     4.24    52.30    98.75    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    26   54  +25      77.50     4.42    38.17     1.22    80.77    99.11    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   48  +14      71.01     4.98    21.34     0.03    13.86    83.30    97.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44  +13      65.06     5.06    17.73     0.01     2.09    42.90    82.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   41  +19      64.53     4.97    27.69     0.00     2.28    41.15    82.80     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          24   39   +7      62.64     5.33    14.20     0.00     0.98    24.62    68.59     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           26   39   -2      54.78     4.76    -3.00     0.00     0.01     1.09    10.91     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   38   +2      56.48     4.96     2.42     0.00     0.03     2.76    20.14     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       25   37   +0      57.12     5.06     3.77     0.00     0.03     3.94    23.50     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         26   36  -13      48.65     4.46   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.21R    0.00  
Manchester_C    25   34   +5      52.82     4.98     6.75     0.00     0.00     0.83     7.38     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        24   33   -4      49.63     5.11    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.14     2.27     0.16R    0.00  
Fulham          26   32   -1      48.82     4.70    -0.22     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.14     0.09R    0.00  
Newcastle       25   32   -5      48.86     5.04    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.40     0.21R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     26   30   -3      48.17     4.65    -0.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.37R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   28  -11      42.81     4.97   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     5.63R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   26   26  -14      36.52     4.35   -22.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.65R    0.04  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      33.63     4.92   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.67R    0.56  
Portsmouth      26   18  -27      26.38     3.94   -40.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.06R   11.13  
Sunderland      24    9  -28      18.39     4.37   -44.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.92R   88.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Wolverhampton vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          33   82  +53     110.63     4.39    70.30    99.08   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      33   70  +27      94.65     4.87    38.21     0.92    89.17   100.00    91.86P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   61  +23      83.37     4.85    30.31     0.01     4.37    98.70    25.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            32   59  +19      82.62     5.20    26.07     0.00     4.91    98.28    29.25P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          32   54  +21      79.36     4.98    30.04     0.00     0.96    95.12    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   53  +14      76.92     5.27    21.41     0.00     0.59    87.20    18.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          33   48   +7      66.72     5.08     8.28     0.00     0.00    10.15     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    32   44   +7      64.95     5.15     9.70     0.00     0.00     6.23     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            33   44   -1      60.93     5.01    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Ipswich          33   44   -8      61.10     4.95    -9.39     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.11P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          33   43   -1      61.59     4.99     0.16     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Queens_PR        33   42   -9      56.83     4.81   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.52R    0.00  
Coventry         33   41   -5      57.88     5.11    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.03P    0.28R    0.00  
Norwich          33   40  -10      55.40     4.88   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    1.22R    0.00  
Plymouth         32   39   -8      56.02     5.13   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.94R    0.00  
Stoke            32   39  -12      54.51     5.03   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    2.06R    0.01  
Hull             33   37   -5      52.59     4.84    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.05  
Southampton      33   36   -6      52.58     4.90    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    3.92R    0.01  
Leicester        33   35   -8      49.93     4.85   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.63R    0.16  
Derby            33   34   -8      49.69     4.87   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.40R    0.25  
Sheffield_W      33   34  -14      46.82     4.63   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.25R    1.07  
Brighton         33   29  -20      43.52     4.95   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.85R    6.66  
Millwall         33   27  -22      40.32     4.77   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.20R   17.91  
Crewe            33   23  -34      34.96     4.58   -46.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.42R   73.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Walsall vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        32   60  +22      85.33     5.16    31.71    44.16    70.16    99.62    79.44P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      31   58  +17      83.21     5.56    24.00    26.08    52.45    98.44    64.64P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         32   55  +22      79.94     5.37    31.07    12.61    31.89    96.08    51.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   54  +16      80.22     5.89    22.38    13.70    32.45    95.03    48.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    32   53   +7      74.74     5.42    10.79     1.31     5.57    76.94    18.66P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        31   51  +15      74.09     5.68    18.73     2.05     6.95    74.82    25.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    32   48   +5      68.54     5.38     7.14     0.10     0.46    32.14     6.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Oldham          32   44   -6      62.71     5.41    -6.56     0.00     0.03     5.41     0.81P    1.43R    0.05  
Port_Vale       31   42   -3      60.71     5.43    -5.37     0.00     0.01     3.36     0.53P    2.90R    0.11  
Nottingham      32   41   +2      61.19     5.27     3.65     0.00     0.01     3.56     0.80P    1.86R    0.06  
Tranmere        32   40   +2      61.71     5.27     5.75     0.00     0.00     4.41     1.05P    1.57R    0.04  
Bradford        32   40   +1      59.82     5.28     2.19     0.00     0.01     2.11     0.53P    3.19R    0.10  
Bournemouth     31   40   +0      59.93     5.61    -0.71     0.00     0.01     3.19     0.68P    4.04R    0.23  
Doncaster       30   40   -2      60.25     5.66    -4.60     0.00     0.01     3.24     0.57P    3.88R    0.17  
Gillingham      32   40   -8      56.11     5.18   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P   14.95R    1.14  
Scunthorpe      31   37   -5      56.74     5.54    -6.91     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.07P   13.18R    1.30  
Hartlepool      32   37   -9      52.63     5.07   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   34.60R    4.42  
Yeovil          31   37  -11      55.21     5.55   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P   21.48R    2.50  
Blackpool       32   36   -8      53.43     5.26   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   28.39R    3.48  
Walsall         31   36  -11      53.00     5.35   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   33.87R    4.82  
Swindon_Town    32   35  -10      51.78     5.15   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   40.15R    7.37  
Bristol_City    32   35  -13      51.80     5.19   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.89R    8.04  
Rotherham       32   30  -10      46.71     5.22   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.52R   30.66  
Milton_Keynes   31   30  -13      46.34     5.24   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.09R   35.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Wycombe vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Grimsby          32   57  +19      81.18     5.33    26.28    31.41    73.95    98.45    81.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         32   55  +22      80.88     5.21    32.40    31.97    75.23    98.57    82.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          32   55  +19      79.58     5.32    27.57    21.11    65.25    96.92    73.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      32   53  +18      77.12     5.18    25.69    11.11    46.05    93.53    60.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   51   +7      72.49     5.63     8.39     2.31    15.69    70.08    26.32P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       32   46  +10      66.55     5.40    12.05     0.14     2.58    32.91    10.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   46  +10      69.65     5.39    16.59     0.60     6.84    55.33    20.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       31   46   +3      68.14     5.71     5.47     0.43     4.44    40.87    11.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   32   46   -6      64.71     5.32    -7.12     0.04     0.80    17.53     3.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_C        32   45   +5      65.41     5.27     6.89     0.04     1.08    23.41     6.25P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     32   43   -7      59.92     5.25   -10.16     0.00     0.11     4.13     0.83P    0.12R    0.01  
Wrexham          29   41  +10      68.93     6.10    17.10     0.82     7.50    50.63    19.18P    0.01R    0.01  
Boston           32   41   -3      59.32     5.31    -4.19     0.01     0.09     3.38     0.67P    0.33R    0.08  
Shrewsbury       32   40   -1      57.68     5.29    -3.22     0.00     0.02     1.88     0.34P    0.66R    0.11  
Rochdale         30   39   +1      60.96     5.92     0.75     0.01     0.33     9.20     2.14P    0.20R    0.04  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.37     5.69    -8.99     0.00     0.01     1.47     0.29P    2.09R    0.54  
Chester          31   36   -4      54.96     5.54    -6.58     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.16P    2.55R    0.61  
Barnet           30   35   -9      52.89     5.55   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.02P    6.99R    2.08  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.50     5.42   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    7.20R    1.85  
Mansfield        32   34   -8      51.15     5.36   -11.15     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.03P   10.29R    3.12  
Bury             29   31  -12      51.13     6.03   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   15.32R    6.01  
Torquay          32   31  -17      46.10     5.12   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.76R   20.68  
Rushden_&_D      32   30  -19      43.22     4.90   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.52R   41.01  
Stockport        31   30  -21      45.92     5.51   -29.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   45.95R   23.84  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2006, Woking vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      27   61  +22      87.91     5.57    32.26    83.83    99.78    87.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        27   50  +17      77.51     5.43    27.37     8.79    89.80    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       29   49  +11      68.51     5.08    13.64     0.17    33.10     6.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           27   48  +19      75.24     5.58    30.49     5.06    81.11    22.68P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       29   48  +18      71.15     5.08    25.92     0.83    58.08    16.53P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         29   48   +7      68.59     5.19    11.21     0.10    33.31     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          28   47  +15      72.60     5.23    25.18     1.09    67.14    17.37P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          27   40  +14      65.20     5.68    21.40     0.10    19.73     5.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton          29   40   -3      57.71     5.13    -3.28     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Gravesend       26   39   +2      62.64     5.95     4.79     0.02     9.27     1.51P    0.01R    0.00  
York            27   38   +9      62.02     5.69    14.28     0.01     7.16     1.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       27   36   +1      56.17     5.60     0.24     0.00     0.77     0.10P    0.20R    0.00  
Altrincham      29   36  -17      48.10     4.69   -26.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.04R    0.14  
Kidderminster   29   34   -7      48.66     4.93   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.20R    0.11  
Aldershot       26   34  -11      52.05     5.76   -18.46     0.00     0.16     0.01P    2.55R    0.10  
Cambridge_U     28   33   -9      49.71     5.34   -12.89     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.40R    0.20  
Canvey_Island   28   31  -10      46.78     5.19   -15.16     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.71R    0.74  
Forest_Green    28   29   -3      45.73     5.24    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.40R    1.35  
Scarborough     30   27  -18      38.63     4.46   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.41R   14.57  
Tamworth        27   26  -19      40.68     5.15   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.51R   10.96  
Southport       27   23  -26      34.04     4.69   -42.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.55R   64.19  
Crawley         26   22  -12      42.41     5.88   -14.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.99R    7.64