Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 7 February 2006 at 23:52:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 February 2006, Tottenham vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         25   66  +39      96.22     4.26    59.21    99.83   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    25   51  +23      76.75     4.60    37.62     0.15    71.36    98.11    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   45  +15      72.10     5.45    24.15     0.02    21.55    84.70    97.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44  +13      65.13     4.98    17.72     0.00     1.97    38.72    80.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   40  +19      65.28     5.29    28.18     0.00     3.98    44.49    82.09     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           25   39   -1      56.19     5.02    -1.79     0.00     0.01     2.21    15.53     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   38   +7      62.36     5.56    13.36     0.00     0.98    21.61    62.33     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   38   +2      56.24     4.93     1.88     0.00     0.03     2.12    16.74     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   37   +1      59.07     5.33     5.79     0.00     0.13     7.34    34.79     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    25   34   +5      53.00     4.92     6.99     0.00     0.00     0.52     6.94     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         25   33  -14      46.66     4.70   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.81R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   30   -2      50.17     4.93     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.94     0.15R    0.00  
Charlton        23   30   -6      47.31     5.29   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.88     0.79R    0.00  
Fulham          25   29   -6      46.29     4.95    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.85R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   29   -6      46.00     5.22    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     1.48R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   25   26   -9      38.54     4.68   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.20R    0.03  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -14      39.28     5.07   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.36R    0.00  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      33.58     4.93   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.73R    0.64  
Portsmouth      25   18  -25      26.91     4.18   -40.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R    9.56  
Sunderland      24    9  -28      18.33     4.29   -44.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.93R   89.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 February 2006, Sheffield_U vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          32   79  +51     110.09     4.57    69.96    98.17   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      32   69  +27      95.30     5.12    38.69     1.81    90.62   100.00    92.92P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   58  +19      81.54     5.16    25.87     0.00     2.23    96.69    22.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            31   58  +19      83.20     5.47    26.35     0.01     5.75    97.92    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +14      78.12     5.47    22.66     0.00     0.98    89.41    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   51  +17      77.48     5.30    25.59     0.00     0.42    88.11    27.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   45   +4      65.19     5.37     5.38     0.00     0.00     7.25     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            32   44   +3      62.42     5.21     1.44     0.00     0.00     2.67     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   43   +7      66.69     5.44    11.74     0.00     0.00    12.80     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   43   +0      62.62     5.38     0.62     0.00     0.00     2.96     0.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Coventry         32   41   -1      59.56     5.31    -2.06     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.14P    0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich          32   41   -9      59.41     5.18   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.08P    0.23R    0.00  
Stoke            31   39   -9      55.65     5.34   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.62R    0.01  
Norwich          32   39  -10      55.27     5.09   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.73R    0.00  
Queens_PR        32   39  -10      55.83     5.11   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     1.47R    0.04  
Plymouth         31   38   -8      55.81     5.30   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    1.48R    0.02  
Southampton      32   36   -4      53.01     5.04    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.78R    0.04  
Hull             32   36   -5      53.71     5.16    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.87R    0.04  
Derby            32   33   -8      49.80     5.15   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.95R    0.34  
Sheffield_W      32   33  -14      46.71     4.83   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.09R    1.31  
Leicester        32   32   -9      47.79     5.12   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.18R    0.85  
Brighton         32   29  -19      45.17     5.16   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.63R    3.38  
Millwall         32   27  -21      41.38     5.00   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.89R   12.50  
Crewe            32   22  -34      34.12     4.70   -48.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.94R   81.47  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2006, Colchester vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Colchester      30   58  +19      85.18     5.80    26.82    40.58    67.24    98.96    75.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        31   57  +20      84.50     5.28    30.85    36.43    65.61    99.32    75.95P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   52  +21      77.85     5.69    29.34     6.67    21.14    89.20    41.70P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        30   51  +17      76.49     5.94    22.19     5.06    15.17    83.03    34.63P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   51  +15      78.69     6.12    21.55    10.07    25.18    90.58    40.80P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    31   50   +5      72.61     5.68     7.93     0.75     3.48    59.80    13.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    31   48   +6      70.55     5.63     9.15     0.42     2.02    45.25    10.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          31   43   -6      62.64     5.64    -7.33     0.01     0.04     6.08     0.98P    1.64R    0.03  
Nottingham      31   41   +3      63.04     5.53     5.32     0.00     0.02     7.54     1.75P    0.86R    0.02  
Tranmere        31   39   +2      61.69     5.48     5.28     0.00     0.01     4.92     1.11P    1.93R    0.06  
Bradford        31   39   +1      60.86     5.55     3.09     0.01     0.03     3.60     0.85P    2.76R    0.08  
Bournemouth     30   39   +0      60.46     5.88    -0.45     0.00     0.04     4.26     0.90P    3.92R    0.12  
Port_Vale       30   39   -4      59.31     5.77    -6.06     0.00     0.01     2.60     0.53P    5.86R    0.22  
Gillingham      31   39   -8      56.64     5.43   -11.86     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.13P   13.54R    0.79  
Doncaster       29   37   -4      57.69     5.98    -8.05     0.00     0.01     1.66     0.35P   11.15R    0.83  
Yeovil          30   37  -10      56.57     5.86   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.14P   16.08R    1.21  
Scunthorpe      30   36   -5      56.52     5.80    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.16P   14.94R    1.09  
Blackpool       31   36   -5      55.34     5.52    -7.42     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P   17.70R    1.52  
Walsall         30   35  -11      53.69     5.69   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   29.98R    3.25  
Bristol_City    31   35  -12      53.26     5.48   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   32.14R    4.12  
Swindon_Town    31   34  -10      51.63     5.41   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   42.32R    6.34  
Hartlepool      31   34  -10      50.53     5.34   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.93R    8.81  
Rotherham       31   30   -8      47.68     5.38   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    67.57R   19.00  
Milton_Keynes   30   27  -16      43.80     5.47   -23.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R   52.51  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2006, Bury vs Rushden_&_D; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         31   54  +22      81.38     5.53    32.74    30.43    72.48    98.30    80.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   54  +19      81.09     5.57    29.33    26.09    69.99    97.93    77.58P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   54  +18      80.22     5.58    26.28    21.32    62.63    97.17    73.17P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      31   53  +20      79.30     5.46    28.78    17.49    57.18    96.42    69.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   50   +7      72.79     5.94     8.17     2.62    15.30    70.33    25.71P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     31   46  +11      71.13     5.65    17.79     1.09     9.74    64.14    24.50P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       31   45  +10      67.40     5.59    12.83     0.18     3.11    37.80    11.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   45   -6      64.62     5.57    -7.83     0.04     0.88    18.26     3.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       30   43   +1      65.42     5.94     1.89     0.11     1.47    24.29     6.07P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County     31   43   -6      61.68     5.53    -8.65     0.00     0.20     8.19     1.72P    0.06R    0.01  
Lincoln_C        31   42   +3      64.34     5.57     5.73     0.03     0.69    18.16     4.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          29   41  +10      68.81     6.15    16.85     0.59     5.87    49.12    17.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           31   41   -2      59.99     5.46    -4.21     0.01     0.10     4.88     0.95P    0.18R    0.02  
Rochdale         30   39   +1      61.10     5.93     1.00     0.01     0.29     9.07     2.00P    0.19R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       31   37   -2      55.48     5.52    -5.02     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.23P    1.49R    0.32  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.20     5.72    -9.30     0.00     0.01     1.48     0.28P    1.81R    0.39  
Chester          30   36   -3      57.62     5.81    -3.53     0.00     0.04     2.56     0.54P    0.91R    0.14  
Barnet           30   35   -9      52.88     5.57   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    5.35R    1.43  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.58     5.47   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    5.33R    1.24  
Mansfield        31   33   -8      50.50     5.50   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   10.33R    2.67  
Bury             29   31  -12      51.12     6.00   -16.88     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   12.45R    4.05  
Torquay          31   31  -15      47.25     5.30   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    27.88R   10.87  
Rushden_&_D      31   27  -20      41.50     5.25   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.03R   45.48  
Stockport        30   27  -22      43.29     5.67   -32.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.93R   33.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.12     5.93    32.62    79.27    99.53    83.46P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       28   48  +19      72.76     5.34    27.32     2.17    68.19    20.82P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         28   48   +8      69.98     5.40    12.29     0.61    42.98     9.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.83     5.51    28.50     4.00    79.52    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        26   47  +16      76.49     5.65    27.10     8.33    85.27    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       28   46  +10      66.75     5.37    12.38     0.17    23.14     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           26   45  +18      74.59     5.82    31.41     5.36    77.20    21.24P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      61.86     5.69    14.03     0.01     6.78     1.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      63.04     5.90    15.38     0.07    10.96     2.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton          28   37   -5      55.31     5.36    -6.46     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.51R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.87     5.88    -0.12     0.01     1.41     0.26P    0.33R    0.01  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      59.98     6.22     1.09     0.01     4.46     0.74P    0.10R    0.01  
Kidderminster   28   34   -5      50.74     5.31    -8.32     0.00     0.03     0.00     2.97R    0.04  
Aldershot       26   34  -11      52.33     5.84   -17.99     0.00     0.17     0.02P    2.83R    0.07  
Cambridge_U     27   33   -8      51.39     5.69   -11.37     0.00     0.07     0.00     3.39R    0.09  
Altrincham      28   33  -18      46.08     4.95   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.48R    0.60  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.16     5.48   -11.62     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.23R    0.26  
Scarborough     29   27  -14      40.50     4.89   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.32R    5.92  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.49     5.46   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.93R    3.06  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      41.76     5.31   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.63R    5.55  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.70     6.14   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.30R    5.88  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.86     4.94   -45.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.97R   78.51