Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 6 February 2006 at 23:52:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 February 2006, Tottenham vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         25   66  +39      96.30     4.25    59.33    99.80   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    25   51  +23      76.64     4.66    37.35     0.20    69.50    97.92    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   45  +15      72.20     5.58    24.35     0.01    23.11    84.72    97.30     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44  +13      64.95     5.04    17.47     0.00     2.12    37.48    79.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   40  +19      65.37     5.22    28.31     0.00     3.95    45.56    82.94     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           25   39   -1      56.19     5.02    -1.84     0.00     0.04     2.25    15.81     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   38   +7      62.37     5.52    13.30     0.00     1.11    22.01    62.31     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   38   +2      56.38     4.93     2.16     0.00     0.04     2.14    17.02     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   37   +1      59.04     5.35     5.69     0.00     0.13     7.21    34.74     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    25   34   +5      52.97     4.91     6.91     0.00     0.00     0.60     6.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   33  -14      46.49     4.68   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.84R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   30   -2      50.10     4.96     1.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.80     0.17R    0.00  
Charlton        23   30   -6      47.23     5.35   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.85     0.75R    0.00  
Fulham          25   29   -6      46.18     4.93    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     1.12R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   29   -6      46.01     5.24    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     1.44R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   25   26   -9      38.42     4.67   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.02R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -14      39.30     5.00   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01    18.23R    0.02  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      33.70     4.91   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.72R    0.61  
Portsmouth      25   18  -25      26.96     4.17   -40.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.81R   10.35  
Sunderland      24    9  -28      18.58     4.36   -44.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   89.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 February 2006, Sheffield_U vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          32   79  +51     109.99     4.56    69.81    98.19   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      32   69  +27      95.34     5.17    38.76     1.80    90.09   100.00    92.56P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   58  +19      81.67     5.18    26.08     0.00     2.44    96.60    22.87P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            31   58  +19      83.38     5.43    26.60     0.01     6.05    98.14    30.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +14      77.94     5.51    22.37     0.00     0.92    87.98    19.88P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   51  +17      77.65     5.25    25.80     0.00     0.50    88.72    28.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   45   +4      65.24     5.26     5.49     0.00     0.00     6.77     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            32   44   +3      62.38     5.33     1.30     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   43   +7      66.91     5.44    12.12     0.00     0.00    13.79     3.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          32   43   +0      62.87     5.31     1.03     0.00     0.00     2.98     0.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         32   41   -1      59.40     5.32    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich          32   41   -9      59.09     5.19   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.06P    0.24R    0.00  
Stoke            31   39   -9      55.59     5.25   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    1.49R    0.01  
Norwich          32   39  -10      55.32     5.13   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.70R    0.00  
Queens_PR        32   39  -10      55.63     5.08   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.57R    0.01  
Plymouth         31   38   -8      55.71     5.39   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    1.54R    0.00  
Southampton      32   36   -4      53.08     5.00    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.56R    0.04  
Hull             32   36   -5      53.60     5.16    -7.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    2.87R    0.04  
Derby            32   33   -8      49.82     5.11   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.85R    0.27  
Sheffield_W      32   33  -14      46.63     4.87   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.17R    1.50  
Leicester        32   32   -9      47.92     5.11   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.20R    0.73  
Brighton         32   29  -19      45.15     5.16   -23.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.52R    3.79  
Millwall         32   27  -21      41.30     5.05   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.15R   13.59  
Crewe            32   22  -34      34.32     4.68   -47.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.98R   80.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Yeovil vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        31   57  +20      84.44     5.38    30.78    36.72    65.74    99.08    75.89P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      29   55  +18      84.80     6.09    28.06    39.55    65.38    98.47    74.31P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   52  +21      77.94     5.64    29.44     7.28    22.18    90.07    43.41P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        30   51  +17      76.35     5.91    21.95     4.95    15.08    83.01    34.37P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   51  +15      78.70     6.17    21.47    10.34    25.97    90.49    41.46P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    31   50   +5      72.52     5.63     7.84     0.76     3.62    59.15    13.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    31   48   +6      70.37     5.61     8.87     0.40     1.90    44.51    10.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          31   43   -6      62.62     5.67    -7.33     0.00     0.03     6.12     0.97P    1.71R    0.04  
Nottingham      31   41   +3      62.94     5.60     5.18     0.01     0.04     8.01     1.91P    1.00R    0.03  
Tranmere        31   39   +2      61.94     5.51     5.61     0.00     0.01     5.33     1.25P    1.65R    0.06  
Bradford        31   39   +1      60.95     5.48     3.23     0.00     0.01     3.88     0.88P    2.65R    0.07  
Bournemouth     30   39   +0      60.47     5.83    -0.46     0.00     0.03     4.01     0.83P    3.77R    0.12  
Port_Vale       30   39   -4      59.53     5.80    -5.77     0.01     0.03     2.71     0.55P    5.92R    0.29  
Gillingham      31   39   -8      56.48     5.48   -12.01     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P   14.71R    0.79  
Doncaster       29   37   -4      57.84     6.00    -7.73     0.00     0.01     1.85     0.34P   10.54R    0.73  
Yeovil          30   37  -10      56.18     5.85   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.09P   17.66R    1.61  
Scunthorpe      29   36   -4      57.06     6.13    -8.68     0.00     0.01     1.41     0.21P   14.66R    1.25  
Blackpool       31   36   -5      55.58     5.59    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P   16.86R    1.33  
Walsall         30   35  -11      53.50     5.70   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   31.41R    3.15  
Bristol_City    31   35  -12      53.28     5.53   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   32.26R    4.14  
Swindon_Town    31   34  -10      51.66     5.34   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   40.81R    6.16  
Hartlepool      31   34  -10      50.76     5.33   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   48.23R    7.70  
Rotherham       31   30   -8      47.60     5.49   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.08R   19.33  
Milton_Keynes   30   27  -16      43.68     5.45   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.06R   53.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         31   54  +22      81.64     5.44    33.19    31.84    74.13    98.50    81.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   54  +19      81.08     5.56    29.38    25.69    69.56    97.89    77.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   54  +18      80.25     5.57    26.31    20.68    62.01    97.14    71.88P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      31   53  +20      79.35     5.39    28.90    17.12    57.59    96.59    70.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   50   +7      72.78     5.93     8.13     2.57    15.19    70.39    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     31   46  +11      71.12     5.61    17.79     1.03     9.34    64.25    25.29P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       31   45  +10      67.59     5.55    13.13     0.24     2.85    38.80    12.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   45   -6      64.64     5.57    -7.80     0.04     0.68    18.09     3.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       30   43   +1      65.52     5.87     2.05     0.12     1.47    24.40     5.86P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County     31   43   -6      61.73     5.47    -8.58     0.00     0.14     7.75     1.29P    0.03R    0.01  
Lincoln_C        31   42   +3      64.15     5.55     5.41     0.03     0.58    17.18     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          29   41  +10      68.92     6.17    17.05     0.62     6.04    49.41    17.74P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           31   41   -2      60.18     5.50    -4.01     0.01     0.09     5.12     1.12P    0.17R    0.02  
Rochdale         30   39   +1      60.95     5.96     0.78     0.01     0.26     8.68     1.99P    0.23R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       31   37   -2      55.30     5.41    -5.32     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.18P    1.55R    0.26  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.16     5.72    -9.28     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.27P    1.70R    0.39  
Chester          30   36   -3      57.44     5.80    -3.77     0.00     0.04     2.54     0.53P    1.02R    0.14  
Barnet           30   35   -9      52.99     5.64   -14.23     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P    5.50R    1.45  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.58     5.42   -14.02     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    5.33R    1.18  
Mansfield        31   33   -8      50.31     5.53   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   10.87R    2.79  
Torquay          31   31  -15      47.25     5.30   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.47R   10.18  
Bury             28   30  -12      52.34     6.36   -15.68     0.00     0.01     0.44     0.09P   10.21R    3.40  
Stockport        30   27  -22      43.20     5.59   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.38R   31.56  
Rushden_&_D      30   26  -20      41.10     5.41   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.50R   48.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.32     5.87    32.94    80.42    99.56    84.66P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       28   48  +19      72.86     5.34    27.44     2.39    69.44    21.36P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         28   48   +8      69.91     5.42    12.25     0.57    42.71     8.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.74     5.54    28.45     3.87    79.03    23.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        26   47  +16      76.44     5.66    27.07     7.53    85.42    31.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       28   46  +10      66.54     5.34    12.09     0.15    21.80     3.79P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           26   45  +18      74.54     5.79    31.37     5.00    77.63    21.05P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      61.80     5.69    13.87     0.00     6.88     1.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      63.03     5.98    15.32     0.05    10.99     2.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton          28   37   -5      55.40     5.38    -6.31     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.37R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.86     5.89    -0.04     0.00     1.37     0.23P    0.30R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      60.11     6.19     1.28     0.02     4.71     0.90P    0.14R    0.01  
Kidderminster   28   34   -5      50.74     5.25    -8.32     0.00     0.01     0.01P    2.98R    0.03  
Aldershot       26   34  -11      52.24     5.79   -18.04     0.00     0.12     0.01P    2.62R    0.06  
Cambridge_U     27   33   -8      51.58     5.66   -11.03     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.08R    0.10  
Altrincham      28   33  -18      46.03     4.92   -27.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.48R    0.57  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.02     5.49   -11.84     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.43R    0.24  
Scarborough     29   27  -14      40.16     4.86   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.53R    6.59  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.66     5.51   -11.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.87R    2.96  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      41.94     5.42   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.03R    5.70  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.74     6.11   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.12R    5.45  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.83     4.97   -45.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.02R   78.28