Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 5 February 2006 at 23:52:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 February 2006, Tottenham vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         25   66  +39      96.31     4.24    59.33    99.76    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    25   51  +23      76.78     4.53    37.70     0.21    70.50    98.36    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   45  +15      72.14     5.58    24.28     0.03    22.32    84.69    97.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   44  +13      65.00     4.99    17.55     0.00     2.08    38.08    80.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   40  +19      65.26     5.24    28.19     0.00     3.79    44.66    82.29     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           25   39   -1      56.17     4.98    -1.86     0.00     0.02     2.27    15.88     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   38   +7      62.27     5.63    13.24     0.00     1.16    21.29    61.39     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   38   +2      56.25     4.94     2.00     0.00     0.02     2.10    16.82     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   37   +1      59.15     5.41     5.88     0.00     0.12     7.92    35.76     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    25   34   +5      52.91     4.88     6.91     0.00     0.01     0.48     6.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton         25   33  -14      46.64     4.72   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.79R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   30   -2      50.10     4.96     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.95     0.15R    0.00  
Charlton        23   30   -6      47.07     5.28   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.69     0.76R    0.00  
Fulham          25   29   -6      46.43     4.99    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.34     0.83R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   29   -6      46.09     5.22    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.41     1.42R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   25   26   -9      38.53     4.72   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.63R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -14      39.32     5.08   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.27R    0.02  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      33.60     4.97   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.62R    0.67  
Portsmouth      25   18  -25      26.97     4.21   -40.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.56R    9.87  
Sunderland      24    9  -28      18.46     4.35   -44.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   89.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 5 February 2006, Norwich vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          32   79  +51     109.81     4.59    69.61    94.52   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      31   69  +30      98.36     5.35    44.47     5.48    96.11   100.00    97.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            31   58  +19      83.35     5.40    26.63     0.01     2.85    98.27    29.79P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   55  +16      78.56     5.42    20.48     0.00     0.50    89.85    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +14      77.98     5.45    22.44     0.00     0.33    89.12    20.70P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   51  +17      77.56     5.34    25.71     0.00     0.22    89.17    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   45   +4      65.05     5.34     5.24     0.00     0.00     8.04     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton            32   44   +3      62.62     5.25     1.79     0.00     0.00     3.67     0.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   43   +7      66.99     5.44    12.27     0.00     0.00    15.82     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   43   +0      62.72     5.36     0.82     0.00     0.00     3.52     0.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         32   41   -1      59.31     5.30    -2.50     0.00     0.00     1.06     0.14P    0.18R    0.00  
Ipswich          32   41   -9      59.14     5.21   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.07P    0.26R    0.00  
Stoke            31   39   -9      55.76     5.27   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.60R    0.01  
Norwich          32   39  -10      55.05     5.04   -14.76     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    2.03R    0.01  
Queens_PR        32   39  -10      55.57     5.06   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    1.63R    0.02  
Plymouth         31   38   -8      55.42     5.40   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    2.19R    0.01  
Southampton      32   36   -4      53.11     5.05    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.87R    0.04  
Hull             32   36   -5      53.63     5.22    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.21R    0.04  
Derby            32   33   -8      49.78     5.17   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.87R    0.40  
Sheffield_W      32   33  -14      46.88     4.91   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.77R    1.43  
Leicester        32   32   -9      48.05     5.11   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.66R    0.83  
Brighton         32   29  -19      45.23     5.23   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.42R    3.86  
Millwall         32   27  -21      41.50     5.05   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.21R   12.66  
Crewe            32   22  -34      34.28     4.69   -48.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.06R   80.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Yeovil vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        31   57  +20      84.49     5.39    30.82    37.62    66.08    99.20    76.01P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      29   55  +18      84.68     6.08    27.89    38.53    65.30    98.36    74.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   52  +21      77.88     5.66    29.38     7.37    22.23    89.69    42.22P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        30   51  +17      76.31     6.02    21.91     5.26    15.41    82.51    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   51  +15      78.64     6.10    21.43     9.96    25.34    90.44    41.08P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    31   50   +5      72.74     5.67     8.16     0.85     3.67    60.52    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    31   48   +6      70.41     5.61     8.92     0.40     1.81    44.59    10.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          31   43   -6      62.79     5.64    -7.05     0.01     0.04     6.34     1.10P    1.54R    0.04  
Nottingham      31   41   +3      62.90     5.56     5.08     0.01     0.05     7.39     1.65P    1.09R    0.04  
Tranmere        31   39   +2      61.78     5.58     5.42     0.00     0.01     5.12     1.27P    2.07R    0.09  
Bradford        31   39   +1      60.97     5.53     3.25     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.95P    2.54R    0.06  
Bournemouth     30   39   +0      60.64     5.97    -0.23     0.00     0.03     4.34     0.83P    4.03R    0.12  
Port_Vale       30   39   -4      59.40     5.83    -5.97     0.00     0.01     2.65     0.54P    6.03R    0.30  
Gillingham      31   39   -8      56.64     5.43   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P   13.34R    0.76  
Doncaster       29   37   -4      57.84     5.90    -7.74     0.00     0.01     1.77     0.32P    9.85R    0.66  
Yeovil          30   37  -10      56.38     5.74   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.10P   16.23R    1.27  
Scunthorpe      29   36   -4      57.06     6.07    -8.67     0.00     0.01     1.26     0.24P   14.49R    1.18  
Blackpool       31   36   -5      55.46     5.53    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P   17.19R    1.38  
Walsall         30   35  -11      53.45     5.63   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   31.45R    3.21  
Bristol_City    31   35  -12      53.26     5.54   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.03R    4.31  
Swindon_Town    31   34  -10      51.60     5.38   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   41.59R    6.46  
Hartlepool      31   34  -10      50.61     5.33   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    49.70R    8.22  
Rotherham       31   30   -8      47.46     5.36   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   69.15R   19.53  
Milton_Keynes   30   27  -16      43.77     5.47   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R   52.40  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         31   54  +22      81.55     5.45    33.09    31.24    73.74    98.54    81.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   54  +19      81.18     5.58    29.50    26.46    70.38    97.85    77.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   54  +18      80.12     5.60    26.08    20.86    61.67    97.05    71.80P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      31   53  +20      79.33     5.46    28.89    17.18    57.64    96.15    70.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   50   +7      72.67     5.96     7.99     2.42    15.04    69.92    24.76P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     31   46  +11      71.11     5.57    17.71     0.82     9.09    64.86    24.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       31   45  +10      67.38     5.64    12.79     0.27     3.10    37.87    11.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   45   -6      64.66     5.57    -7.78     0.04     0.74    18.06     3.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       30   43   +1      65.52     5.87     2.11     0.09     1.50    25.35     6.41P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     31   43   -6      61.77     5.49    -8.52     0.00     0.20     8.17     1.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_C        31   42   +3      64.04     5.58     5.32     0.02     0.67    17.30     4.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Wrexham          29   41  +10      68.80     6.18    16.91     0.59     5.92    48.83    17.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           31   41   -2      60.20     5.44    -3.98     0.00     0.09     4.87     1.00P    0.17R    0.01  
Rochdale         30   39   +1      61.10     5.94     0.98     0.00     0.20     9.01     2.05P    0.23R    0.05  
Shrewsbury       31   37   -2      55.51     5.50    -5.01     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.23P    1.52R    0.28  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.22     5.66    -9.24     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.23P    1.75R    0.33  
Chester          30   36   -3      57.55     5.78    -3.67     0.00     0.01     2.72     0.54P    0.87R    0.17  
Barnet           30   35   -9      52.89     5.56   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    5.35R    1.36  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.52     5.38   -14.01     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.04P    5.28R    1.07  
Mansfield        31   33   -8      50.35     5.54   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.85R    2.76  
Torquay          31   31  -15      47.34     5.34   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   27.66R   10.36  
Bury             28   30  -12      52.29     6.31   -15.63     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.07P   10.36R    3.47  
Stockport        30   27  -22      43.22     5.56   -32.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.66R   31.86  
Rushden_&_D      30   26  -20      41.20     5.38   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.25R   48.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.25     5.86    32.84    79.97    99.67    84.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       28   48  +19      72.87     5.28    27.40     2.37    69.86    21.14P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         28   48   +8      69.83     5.38    12.13     0.43    41.88     8.46P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.79     5.50    28.45     3.82    79.72    23.75P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        26   47  +16      76.43     5.69    27.04     8.01    85.41    31.65P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       28   46  +10      66.70     5.30    12.34     0.14    22.90     4.53P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           26   45  +18      74.44     5.86    31.17     5.19    77.09    21.16P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      61.60     5.65    13.62     0.01     6.28     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      62.86     5.94    15.08     0.04    10.82     2.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton          28   37   -5      55.25     5.41    -6.53     0.00     0.33     0.04P    0.34R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.95     5.84     0.07     0.00     1.46     0.28P    0.27R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      59.98     6.17     1.14     0.02     4.33     0.83P    0.10R    0.00  
Kidderminster   28   34   -5      50.53     5.28    -8.63     0.00     0.04     0.00     3.31R    0.04  
Aldershot       26   34  -11      52.42     5.85   -17.71     0.00     0.12     0.01P    2.78R    0.07  
Cambridge_U     27   33   -8      51.67     5.62   -10.89     0.00     0.08     0.02P    3.03R    0.07  
Altrincham      28   33  -18      46.26     4.89   -27.37     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.03R    0.60  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.22     5.54   -11.56     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.57R    0.29  
Scarborough     29   27  -14      40.30     4.92   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.27R    6.86  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.70     5.46   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.63R    2.69  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      41.87     5.35   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.26R    5.49  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.75     6.08   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.24R    5.77  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.85     4.94   -45.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.16R   78.12