Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 4 February 2006 at 23:52:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, West_Ham vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         24   63  +37      94.81     4.60    57.34    99.25    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    25   51  +23      76.75     4.67    37.59     0.56    64.94    98.23    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   45  +17      73.50     5.70    26.33     0.19    29.04    89.40    98.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   41  +11      63.79     5.40    16.21     0.00     1.44    30.87    72.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   40  +19      65.19     5.24    28.01     0.00     3.43    45.52    82.58     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           25   39   -1      56.25     5.05    -1.78     0.00     0.02     2.50    17.06     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          23   38   +7      62.40     5.57    13.38     0.00     1.04    22.63    63.62     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        25   38   +2      56.21     4.91     1.95     0.00     0.01     1.97    17.32     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       24   37   +1      59.04     5.30     5.69     0.00     0.12     7.94    35.75     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    25   34   +5      52.95     4.94     6.92     0.00     0.01     0.67     7.42     0.01R    0.00  
Everton         25   33  -14      46.71     4.69   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.81R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     25   30   -2      50.17     4.95     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.15     0.12R    0.00  
Charlton        22   30   -4      47.97     5.58   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.69     0.58R    0.00  
Fulham          25   29   -6      46.24     4.92    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.35     0.88R    0.00  
Newcastle       24   29   -6      46.12     5.30    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.47     1.26R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   25   26   -9      38.52     4.70   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.29R    0.02  
Middlesbrough   24   25  -14      39.40     5.10   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    18.00R    0.03  
Birmingham      24   20  -13      33.51     4.89   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.19R    0.58  
Portsmouth      25   18  -25      26.83     4.15   -40.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.94R   10.14  
Sunderland      24    9  -28      18.42     4.32   -44.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.91R   89.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Stoke vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          32   79  +51     109.83     4.63    69.62    94.51   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      31   69  +30      98.48     5.33    44.57     5.49    96.15   100.00    97.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            31   58  +19      83.36     5.43    26.66     0.01     2.75    98.29    30.21P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   55  +16      78.57     5.45    20.55     0.00     0.51    90.06    17.46P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +14      77.83     5.52    22.25     0.00     0.44    88.88    21.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   51  +17      77.66     5.20    25.80     0.00     0.16    89.75    27.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          32   45   +4      65.28     5.33     5.58     0.00     0.00     8.62     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            32   44   +3      62.46     5.23     1.55     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    31   43   +7      66.83     5.43    11.99     0.00     0.00    15.13     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   43   +0      62.80     5.39     0.87     0.00     0.00     3.64     0.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         32   41   -1      59.36     5.34    -2.33     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.11P    0.14R    0.00  
Norwich          31   39   -9      57.16     5.38   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.04P    1.08R    0.01  
Stoke            31   39   -9      55.65     5.31   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.56R    0.01  
Queens_PR        32   39  -10      55.74     5.02   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00     1.35R    0.02  
Plymouth         31   38   -8      55.57     5.36   -11.55     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    1.70R    0.01  
Ipswich          31   38  -10      57.01     5.43   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.03P    1.21R    0.01  
Southampton      32   36   -4      53.08     4.99    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.60R    0.05  
Hull             32   36   -5      53.60     5.18    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.04R    0.03  
Derby            32   33   -8      49.96     5.21   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   12.69R    0.28  
Sheffield_W      32   33  -14      46.63     4.89   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.35R    1.45  
Leicester        32   32   -9      47.86     5.11   -13.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.34R    0.76  
Brighton         32   29  -19      45.23     5.22   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.09R    3.71  
Millwall         32   27  -21      41.35     5.05   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.80R   12.60  
Crewe            32   22  -34      34.17     4.65   -48.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.02R   81.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Yeovil vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        31   57  +20      84.38     5.38    30.65    37.12    65.45    99.20    75.77P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      29   55  +18      84.57     6.03    27.64    38.95    64.41    98.36    73.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   52  +21      77.88     5.64    29.36     7.30    22.43    89.49    42.60P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        30   51  +17      76.46     5.93    22.11     5.38    16.16    83.06    34.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   51  +15      78.70     6.04    21.45     9.96    25.55    90.97    41.80P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    31   50   +5      72.74     5.66     8.15     0.89     3.92    60.95    14.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    31   48   +6      70.30     5.69     8.74     0.39     1.97    43.56    10.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          31   43   -6      62.54     5.67    -7.47     0.00     0.02     5.82     0.96P    1.83R    0.06  
Nottingham      31   41   +3      62.87     5.57     5.05     0.01     0.03     7.42     1.60P    1.10R    0.05  
Tranmere        31   39   +2      61.91     5.62     5.53     0.00     0.03     5.53     1.36P    2.06R    0.07  
Bradford        31   39   +1      60.92     5.55     3.17     0.00     0.00     3.95     0.96P    2.56R    0.07  
Bournemouth     30   39   +0      60.41     5.85    -0.58     0.00     0.02     3.80     0.77P    4.02R    0.16  
Port_Vale       30   39   -4      59.26     5.73    -6.12     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.38P    6.40R    0.27  
Gillingham      31   39   -8      56.59     5.48   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P   13.84R    0.85  
Doncaster       29   37   -4      57.93     5.92    -7.61     0.00     0.01     1.73     0.38P   10.04R    0.62  
Yeovil          30   37  -10      56.26     5.83   -14.33     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.10P   17.45R    1.53  
Scunthorpe      29   36   -4      57.31     6.10    -8.25     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.23P   13.79R    0.96  
Blackpool       31   36   -5      55.65     5.59    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P   16.56R    1.25  
Walsall         30   35  -11      53.51     5.69   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   31.23R    3.22  
Bristol_City    31   35  -12      53.39     5.52   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   31.52R    3.96  
Swindon_Town    31   34  -10      51.56     5.37   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00    42.55R    6.26  
Hartlepool      31   34  -10      50.77     5.26   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   48.16R    7.50  
Rotherham       31   30   -8      47.61     5.46   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.46R   19.43  
Milton_Keynes   30   27  -16      43.63     5.48   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.42R   53.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Wrexham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Carlisle         31   54  +22      81.23     5.52    32.47    29.47    71.48    98.30    79.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe          31   54  +19      81.30     5.56    29.79    27.53    71.78    98.12    79.22P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   54  +18      80.18     5.58    26.25    20.52    62.23    97.18    72.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      31   53  +20      79.49     5.42    29.10    18.18    58.80    96.56    71.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   50   +7      72.39     5.87     7.66     2.27    13.82    68.34    23.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     31   46  +11      71.18     5.57    17.85     0.82     9.28    65.02    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       31   45  +10      67.28     5.60    12.59     0.24     2.75    37.19    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   45   -6      64.51     5.56    -7.93     0.06     0.70    17.80     3.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       30   43   +1      65.38     5.89     1.85     0.12     1.46    24.75     6.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     31   43   -6      61.65     5.53    -8.66     0.01     0.19     7.94     1.40P    0.04R    0.01  
Lincoln_C        31   42   +3      64.29     5.59     5.65     0.03     0.75    18.05     4.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          29   41  +10      68.87     6.16    17.01     0.73     6.26    49.30    17.68P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           31   41   -2      60.17     5.47    -3.94     0.01     0.05     4.88     0.94P    0.15R    0.03  
Rochdale         30   39   +1      61.24     5.98     1.21     0.01     0.36     9.77     2.12P    0.12R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       31   38   -1      56.83     5.49    -3.48     0.00     0.03     1.68     0.38P    0.73R    0.15  
Macclesfield     31   37   -7      56.18     5.74    -9.41     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.30P    1.76R    0.34  
Chester          30   36   -3      57.49     5.85    -3.74     0.00     0.05     2.71     0.56P    0.89R    0.17  
Oxford_Utd       31   35  -10      52.78     5.45   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    4.85R    1.01  
Mansfield        31   33   -8      50.58     5.49   -12.79     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.01P    9.27R    2.36  
Barnet           30   33  -10      50.62     5.56   -15.69     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   10.74R    3.01  
Torquay          31   31  -15      47.06     5.38   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   28.79R   10.99  
Bury             28   30  -12      52.09     6.35   -16.09     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.10P   10.59R    3.68  
Stockport        30   27  -22      43.46     5.66   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.87R   30.57  
Rushden_&_D      30   26  -20      41.24     5.41   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.17R   47.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2006, Stevenage vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.27     5.87    32.89    79.95    99.56    84.21P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       28   48  +19      72.70     5.36    27.15     2.31    68.09    20.70P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         28   48   +8      70.04     5.37    12.43     0.48    43.40     8.87P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.73     5.48    28.36     3.54    79.33    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        26   47  +16      76.48     5.58    27.06     7.86    85.72    31.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       28   46  +10      66.67     5.40    12.22     0.14    22.65     4.23P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           26   45  +18      74.71     5.84    31.68     5.64    78.13    22.14P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      61.90     5.65    14.08     0.01     6.79     1.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      62.81     5.88    15.01     0.05    10.29     2.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton          28   37   -5      55.43     5.38    -6.29     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.36R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.70     5.93    -0.37     0.00     1.25     0.18P    0.27R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      60.01     6.17     1.16     0.03     4.22     0.78P    0.13R    0.00  
Kidderminster   28   34   -5      50.56     5.31    -8.53     0.00     0.04     0.00     3.31R    0.04  
Aldershot       26   34  -11      52.41     5.81   -17.70     0.00     0.12     0.03P    2.54R    0.05  
Cambridge_U     27   33   -8      51.47     5.57   -11.15     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.13R    0.09  
Altrincham      28   33  -18      46.01     4.91   -27.78     0.00     0.01     0.00    16.66R    0.60  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.26     5.48   -11.39     0.00     0.04     0.01P    6.94R    0.26  
Scarborough     29   27  -14      40.04     4.85   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.90R    6.45  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.71     5.51   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.39R    2.84  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      42.08     5.39   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.33R    5.03  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.80     6.14   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.80R    5.58  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.71     4.95   -45.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.22R   79.06