Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 3 February 2006 at 23:52:50 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 February 2006, Manchester_C vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         24   63  +37      94.77     4.55    57.19    99.37    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    24   48  +21      76.13     4.88    36.97     0.48    59.91    97.06    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   45  +17      73.93     5.70    26.90     0.15    33.97    90.02    98.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   41  +11      63.73     5.34    16.14     0.00     1.44    30.67    69.81     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           24   38   -1      55.70     5.23    -3.14     0.00     0.01     2.38    14.47     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal         23   37  +17      63.53     5.48    26.06     0.00     2.55    32.36    70.92     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   37   +7      63.02     5.91    13.73     0.00     1.64    26.71    64.01     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +3      61.38     5.62     9.19     0.00     0.49    16.64    51.38     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   35   +0      55.54     5.16     1.59     0.00     0.04     1.91    13.77     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    24   34   +6      55.12     5.29     9.14     0.00     0.01     2.02    14.57     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        22   30   -4      48.01     5.53   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.47     0.64R    0.00  
Everton         24   30  -15      44.20     4.90   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.94R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29   -4      46.95     5.13    -6.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.50     0.81R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   27   -6      47.00     5.32    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.68     1.25R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   26   -8      44.62     5.42   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     3.24R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   23   25  -10      42.15     5.49   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     9.11R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   24   23  -11      35.80     4.86   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.87R    0.15  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      35.07     5.20   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.20R    0.56  
Portsmouth      24   18  -23      27.98     4.43   -38.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.25R   10.03  
Sunderland      23    9  -26      19.08     4.61   -44.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.72R   89.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 February 2006, Derby vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          31   76  +50     110.24     4.62    72.34    95.28    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      31   69  +30      98.41     5.29    44.49     4.71    96.67   100.00    97.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            30   55  +17      82.11     5.65    25.21     0.00     2.14    95.63    27.84P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   55  +16      78.39     5.42    20.16     0.00     0.45    86.30    17.07P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          30   50  +17      78.66     5.55    26.74     0.00     0.42    88.91    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   49  +13      76.71     5.78    22.01     0.00     0.33    80.01    18.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   45   +5      66.32     5.50     6.05     0.00     0.00    12.18     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            31   44   +4      64.67     5.53     3.98     0.00     0.00     7.30     1.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      68.88     5.66    13.96     0.00     0.01    24.80     6.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   40   -1      61.26     5.62     0.01     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.41P    0.11R    0.00  
Queens_PR        31   39   -8      56.65     5.32   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.95R    0.00  
Norwich          31   39   -9      57.15     5.41   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.03P    0.85R    0.00  
Coventry         31   38   -3      58.08     5.68    -3.86     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.10P    0.56R    0.00  
Plymouth         30   38   -7      56.72     5.60   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    1.06R    0.00  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.01     5.47   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    2.19R    0.02  
Ipswich          31   38  -10      57.19     5.42   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    0.82R    0.01  
Southampton      31   35   -4      53.91     5.36    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    2.88R    0.04  
Hull             31   33   -6      50.95     5.32    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.93R    0.30  
Derby            31   32   -8      50.01     5.41   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.78R    0.36  
Sheffield_W      31   30  -15      44.38     5.01   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.81R    4.18  
Leicester        31   29  -10      45.73     5.29   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.93R    2.25  
Brighton         31   29  -17      46.61     5.43   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.14R    2.19  
Millwall         31   27  -20      43.51     5.35   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.01R    6.95  
Crewe            31   22  -33      33.86     4.63   -50.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.96R   83.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 3 February 2006, Tranmere vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        30   54  +18      82.64     5.78    28.46    34.17    60.87    97.50    71.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         31   52  +21      77.91     5.72    29.37    11.02    29.27    89.22    48.05P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      28   52  +16      83.10     6.49    25.73    38.05    62.15    96.28    71.30P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    31   50   +5      72.52     5.68     7.81     1.37     5.61    58.70    15.97P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        29   48  +15      74.98     6.24    20.52     5.38    15.71    75.48    33.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.23     6.36    15.30     8.18    19.79    79.72    32.93P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    30   47   +6      71.86     5.93    10.52     1.68     5.84    54.76    16.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          30   43   -5      64.58     5.93    -5.48     0.04     0.28    11.85     2.33P    0.97R    0.03  
Nottingham      30   40   +3      63.03     5.82     4.83     0.04     0.17     8.88     2.12P    1.31R    0.07  
Bradford        30   39   +3      62.33     5.68     5.36     0.01     0.07     7.08     1.77P    1.70R    0.06  
Tranmere        31   39   +2      61.72     5.58     5.32     0.01     0.06     5.33     1.34P    2.17R    0.10  
Bournemouth     30   39   +0      60.52     5.97    -0.40     0.01     0.06     4.62     1.03P    4.37R    0.17  
Gillingham      30   38   -8      56.07     5.66   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.17P   17.71R    1.46  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.68     6.28    -5.96     0.04     0.08     4.00     0.91P    7.22R    0.45  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      57.73     6.08   -12.04     0.00     0.01     1.75     0.29P   13.02R    0.98  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.86     6.04    -8.27     0.01     0.01     1.32     0.28P   14.62R    1.38  
Blackpool       30   35   -5      55.84     5.85    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.12P   17.54R    1.68  
Walsall         29   35   -6      55.81     6.03   -10.28     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.16P   19.45R    1.72  
Bristol_City    30   35  -10      53.98     5.78   -15.03     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   29.56R    4.08  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.69     6.28   -10.36     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.15P   21.74R    3.06  
Hartlepool      30   33  -10      50.80     5.65   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   49.36R   10.23  
Swindon_Town    30   31  -11      49.79     5.58   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   56.05R   13.29  
Rotherham       30   29   -8      48.67     5.72   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.17R   17.57  
Milton_Keynes   29   27  -14      45.12     5.78   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.03R   43.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Northampton vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          30   54  +21      83.03     5.82    32.29    42.66    81.08    98.77    85.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +17      79.39     5.83    27.02    18.63    59.58    95.58    69.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          30   51  +17      78.67     5.82    25.40    14.90    53.71    94.49    65.16P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      30   50  +18      78.39     5.71    27.87    14.49    53.20    94.20    66.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   50   +9      75.35     6.29    12.03     7.33    30.09    82.49    40.78P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       30   44  +10      67.91     5.94    13.03     0.41     4.64    42.06    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   43  +10      69.93     5.86    17.39     0.80     8.14    56.63    22.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.47     6.21     2.42     0.29     3.04    31.34     8.54P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     30   43   -5      62.83     5.79    -7.91     0.05     0.63    12.25     2.41P    0.04R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   30   42   -7      63.32     5.79    -8.43     0.03     0.48    14.29     2.46P    0.07R    0.00  
Boston           30   40   -2      60.21     5.76    -4.53     0.01     0.23     5.92     1.19P    0.32R    0.03  
Lincoln_C        30   39   +2      62.51     5.91     4.47     0.01     0.47    12.48     3.40P    0.10R    0.01  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.48     6.56    13.78     0.35     3.95    34.66    11.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   38   +1      61.87     6.24     1.59     0.04     0.53    12.42     2.96P    0.21R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       30   37   -1      57.17     5.78    -3.48     0.01     0.04     2.44     0.58P    0.91R    0.15  
Chester          29   36   +2      59.58     6.09     2.49     0.01     0.17     6.50     1.65P    0.47R    0.07  
Macclesfield     30   36   -7      56.22     5.94    -9.92     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.32P    2.10R    0.54  
Oxford_Utd       30   34  -10      52.56     5.69   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    5.92R    1.30  
Mansfield        30   32   -8      51.11     5.80   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    9.01R    2.44  
Barnet           29   32  -10      51.01     5.85   -15.76     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P   10.65R    3.17  
Bury             27   30  -11      53.41     6.62   -15.21     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.17P    8.07R    2.66  
Torquay          30   28  -17      44.68     5.56   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.08R   22.50  
Stockport        29   27  -21      44.58     5.93   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.19R   25.11  
Rushden_&_D      29   26  -18      41.96     5.63   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.83R   41.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Hereford vs Cambridge_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.28     5.79    32.88    80.58    99.58    84.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.81     5.52    28.53     3.80    79.43    23.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        26   47  +16      76.37     5.62    27.02     7.53    85.06    31.03P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         27   47   +8      71.11     5.67    13.38     1.07    52.39    10.97P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           26   45  +18      74.59     5.79    31.44     5.16    77.96    21.62P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       27   45  +17      71.67     5.62    26.02     1.56    60.65    18.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   43   +9      65.81     5.63    12.63     0.20    19.84     4.13P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      61.93     5.65    14.06     0.01     6.96     1.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      62.95     5.90    15.22     0.07    10.88     2.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton          27   37   -3      56.47     5.62    -4.75     0.00     0.82     0.17P    0.24R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.83     5.85    -0.13     0.01     1.40     0.23P    0.21R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      60.10     6.24     1.29     0.01     4.67     0.83P    0.14R    0.00  
Aldershot       25   34  -10      52.87     5.98   -18.47     0.00     0.24     0.01P    2.38R    0.04  
Kidderminster   27   33   -5      50.36     5.48    -9.44     0.00     0.05     0.00     3.96R    0.07  
Cambridge_U     27   33   -8      51.44     5.61   -11.21     0.00     0.06     0.03P    3.00R    0.07  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.03     5.45   -11.81     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.24R    0.29  
Altrincham      27   30  -19      43.68     5.15   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.49R    2.85  
Scarborough     28   27  -13      42.22     5.23   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.81R    3.72  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.54     5.52   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.00R    3.35  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      42.06     5.35   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.70R    5.25  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.54     6.08   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.25R    6.11  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.97     4.99   -45.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.54R   78.25