Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 2 February 2006 at 23:52:54 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 February 2006, Manchester_C vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         24   63  +37      94.61     4.57    56.91    99.25    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    24   48  +21      76.10     4.90    36.88     0.51    60.13    96.77    99.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       22   45  +17      73.81     5.78    26.73     0.25    33.43    89.22    98.01     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   41  +11      63.95     5.31    16.41     0.00     1.51    31.44    71.01     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           24   38   -1      55.88     5.31    -2.89     0.00     0.07     2.74    15.32     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         23   37  +17      63.64     5.52    26.20     0.00     2.59    32.99    70.62     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          22   37   +7      63.07     5.90    13.78     0.00     1.71    26.45    63.65     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       23   37   +3      61.43     5.64     9.29     0.00     0.55    16.55    52.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        24   35   +0      55.51     5.16     1.60     0.00     0.03     1.86    13.29     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    24   34   +6      55.09     5.21     9.14     0.00     0.01     1.76    13.55     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        22   30   -4      48.12     5.59   -10.53     0.00     0.01     0.16     1.50     0.59R    0.00  
Everton         24   30  -15      44.18     4.94   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.31R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29   -4      46.74     5.18    -6.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.46     1.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     24   27   -6      47.15     5.35    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.52     1.16R    0.00  
Newcastle       23   26   -8      44.65     5.50   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     3.29R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   25  -10      42.06     5.52   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     9.35R    0.02  
West_Bromwich   24   23  -11      35.90     4.86   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.48R    0.14  
Birmingham      23   20  -11      35.05     5.28   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.72R    0.66  
Portsmouth      24   18  -23      27.81     4.43   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.34R   10.65  
Sunderland      23    9  -26      19.08     4.64   -44.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.75R   88.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 February 2006, Derby vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          31   76  +50     110.33     4.63    72.34    95.31    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      31   69  +30      98.48     5.28    44.69     4.68    96.89   100.00    97.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            30   55  +17      82.03     5.71    25.08     0.01     2.08    95.28    28.32P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   55  +16      78.22     5.42    19.92     0.00     0.39    85.83    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          30   50  +17      78.54     5.50    26.59     0.00     0.34    88.95    28.34P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   49  +13      76.91     5.73    22.33     0.00     0.32    81.07    18.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   45   +5      66.01     5.46     5.56     0.00     0.00    11.05     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            31   44   +4      64.67     5.47     3.96     0.00     0.00     7.12     1.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      69.09     5.60    14.25     0.00     0.00    26.21     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   40   -1      61.11     5.55    -0.22     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.36P    0.09R    0.01  
Queens_PR        31   39   -8      56.75     5.26   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.82R    0.01  
Norwich          31   39   -9      57.18     5.38   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.76R    0.00  
Coventry         31   38   -3      58.00     5.57    -4.02     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.09P    0.47R    0.01  
Plymouth         30   38   -7      56.75     5.58   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    1.10R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.20     5.49   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    1.89R    0.00  
Ipswich          31   38  -10      57.19     5.49   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.04P    1.05R    0.01  
Southampton      31   35   -4      53.97     5.38    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.03R    0.03  
Hull             31   33   -6      51.17     5.40    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.55R    0.27  
Derby            31   32   -8      50.11     5.40   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.60R    0.30  
Sheffield_W      31   30  -15      44.41     5.07   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.70R    4.20  
Leicester        31   29  -10      45.63     5.35   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.52R    2.27  
Brighton         31   29  -17      46.34     5.47   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.76R    2.68  
Millwall         31   27  -20      43.31     5.29   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.88R    7.17  
Crewe            31   22  -33      33.89     4.65   -50.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.78R   83.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Swindon_Town vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        30   54  +18      82.51     5.72    28.23    34.15    60.20    97.23    71.07P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.81     6.42    25.33    36.90    59.98    96.14    69.64P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    30   50   +6      74.03     5.90     8.95     2.91     9.94    66.99    20.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         30   49  +20      77.10     5.88    29.72     9.54    25.32    85.55    44.39P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        29   48  +15      75.26     6.16    20.91     6.30    16.82    75.84    33.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.51     6.39    15.71     8.57    21.45    80.11    34.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    30   47   +6      71.69     5.89    10.25     1.47     5.46    52.78    15.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham          30   43   -5      64.55     5.90    -5.58     0.06     0.32    11.59     2.04P    1.01R    0.04  
Nottingham      30   40   +3      63.00     5.83     4.78     0.01     0.12     8.41     2.15P    1.47R    0.01  
Bradford        30   39   +3      62.43     5.73     5.44     0.03     0.13     6.56     1.70P    1.74R    0.05  
Bournemouth     29   39   +1      61.14     6.24    -0.76     0.04     0.16     6.08     1.35P    4.18R    0.14  
Gillingham      30   38   -8      56.03     5.66   -13.31     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.07P   18.00R    1.44  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.44     6.23    -6.31     0.01     0.07     3.63     0.72P    7.74R    0.46  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.05     6.08   -11.58     0.00     0.03     1.92     0.34P   11.82R    0.95  
Tranmere        30   36   +1      59.67     5.74     3.79     0.00     0.01     2.78     0.60P    5.21R    0.31  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.99     6.00    -8.08     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.26P   14.09R    1.21  
Blackpool       30   35   -5      55.75     5.87    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.14P   18.36R    1.90  
Walsall         29   35   -6      55.61     5.93   -10.61     0.00     0.01     0.68     0.12P   20.00R    1.81  
Bristol_City    30   35  -10      54.08     5.69   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   28.45R    3.82  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.75     6.35   -10.26     0.01     0.01     0.88     0.18P   21.61R    3.18  
Hartlepool      30   33  -10      51.15     5.63   -15.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   47.08R    9.12  
Swindon_Town    30   31  -11      49.73     5.71   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.44R   14.02  
Rotherham       30   29   -8      48.69     5.82   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    60.54R   17.30  
Milton_Keynes   29   27  -14      45.06     5.78   -21.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.25R   44.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Northampton vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          30   54  +21      82.84     5.78    32.05    41.69    81.05    98.75    86.11P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +17      79.29     5.82    26.88    18.57    58.91    95.47    68.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          30   51  +17      78.61     5.86    25.31    15.72    53.78    94.33    65.42P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      30   50  +18      78.57     5.63    28.13    15.44    54.98    94.97    68.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   50   +9      75.15     6.16    11.67     6.55    29.21    81.80    39.34P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       30   44  +10      67.87     5.83    12.90     0.39     4.39    42.10    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   43  +10      69.76     5.85    17.18     0.85     8.01    55.71    21.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.49     6.18     2.49     0.30     3.12    31.28     8.50P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     30   43   -5      62.79     5.73    -8.05     0.04     0.62    12.28     2.38P    0.05R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   30   42   -7      63.30     5.82    -8.38     0.04     0.52    14.13     2.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Boston           30   40   -2      60.48     5.76    -4.15     0.01     0.20     6.50     1.45P    0.23R    0.04  
Lincoln_C        30   39   +2      62.58     5.92     4.61     0.03     0.54    13.06     3.56P    0.06R    0.01  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.41     6.50    13.64     0.33     3.72    35.12    11.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   38   +1      61.66     6.31     1.37     0.01     0.60    12.07     3.00P    0.20R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       30   37   -1      57.08     5.71    -3.59     0.00     0.02     2.08     0.44P    0.91R    0.15  
Chester          29   36   +2      59.62     6.12     2.53     0.01     0.26     6.43     1.75P    0.58R    0.07  
Macclesfield     30   36   -7      56.49     5.99    -9.46     0.00     0.04     2.05     0.42P    1.85R    0.41  
Oxford_Utd       30   34  -10      52.56     5.80   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    6.12R    1.35  
Mansfield        30   32   -8      51.20     5.88   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    9.04R    2.67  
Barnet           29   32  -10      51.16     5.85   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   10.26R    2.97  
Bury             27   30  -11      53.55     6.59   -15.02     0.00     0.01     1.08     0.17P    7.96R    2.77  
Torquay          30   28  -17      44.63     5.58   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   46.63R   22.79  
Stockport        29   27  -21      44.62     5.88   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.30R   24.48  
Rushden_&_D      29   26  -18      41.96     5.64   -29.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.72R   42.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Hereford vs Cambridge_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.38     5.87    33.04    80.36    99.61    84.70P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.85     5.52    28.53     3.97    79.32    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        26   47  +16      76.51     5.70    27.19     7.64    85.61    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         27   47   +8      71.11     5.68    13.42     1.04    51.92    11.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           26   45  +18      74.48     5.86    31.31     5.16    77.57    21.20P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       27   45  +17      71.60     5.54    25.97     1.65    60.07    17.67P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   43   +9      65.87     5.63    12.71     0.10    20.02     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      62.08     5.70    14.28     0.02     7.27     1.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      63.10     5.94    15.43     0.05    11.56     2.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton          27   37   -3      56.20     5.59    -5.10     0.00     0.64     0.09P    0.33R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.81     5.78    -0.17     0.00     1.25     0.24P    0.26R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      60.04     6.22     1.19     0.01     4.65     0.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot       25   34  -10      52.96     6.07   -18.39     0.00     0.37     0.03P    2.54R    0.04  
Kidderminster   27   33   -5      50.25     5.48    -9.59     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.13R    0.09  
Cambridge_U     27   33   -8      51.46     5.66   -11.23     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.21R    0.07  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.12     5.53   -11.69     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.17R    0.27  
Altrincham      27   30  -19      43.67     5.15   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.44R    2.52  
Scarborough     28   27  -13      42.34     5.16   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.25R    3.27  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.45     5.45   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.14R    3.04  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      41.99     5.40   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.31R    5.34  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.64     6.05   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.10R    5.64  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.76     4.91   -45.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.03R   79.72