Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 31 January 2006 at 23:53:05 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Fulham vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.40     4.77    59.47    98.95    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.10     5.10    38.77     0.75    59.75    97.59    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.64     5.86    28.90     0.29    33.60    91.44    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   41  +11      63.64     5.30    16.03     0.00     0.58    22.50    72.28     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           24   38   -1      55.76     5.17    -2.97     0.00     0.03     1.67    14.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      67.09     5.60    30.30     0.01     4.36    51.77    88.22     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.18     6.19    14.97     0.00     1.62    27.80    72.73     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.77     5.90     6.67     0.00     0.17     6.05    34.72     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.38     5.33    -2.03     0.00     0.00     0.44     6.04     0.08R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.07     5.40     5.37     0.00     0.01     0.56     8.29     0.04R    0.00  
Charlton        22   30   -4      47.92     5.54   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.53     0.56R    0.00  
Everton         24   30  -15      44.24     4.92   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.60R    0.00  
Fulham          24   29   -4      46.68     5.15    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.61     0.73R    0.00  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.45     5.73    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.83     1.51R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.50     5.42    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.65     1.29R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   23   25  -10      42.27     5.55   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     7.45R    0.02  
West_Bromwich   24   23  -11      35.67     4.84   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.38R    0.20  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.99     5.28   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.96R    0.95  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.15     4.56   -40.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R   13.71  
Sunderland      23    9  -26      19.34     4.59   -43.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.67R   85.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Sheffield_W vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          31   76  +50     110.29     4.63    72.30    96.48    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.10     5.55    44.10     3.52    94.53   100.00    95.96P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            30   55  +17      82.25     5.71    25.39     0.01     3.38    95.53    29.71P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   55  +16      78.34     5.41    20.06     0.00     0.81    86.47    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          30   50  +17      78.65     5.49    26.63     0.00     0.71    89.45    29.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   49  +13      76.73     5.75    22.03     0.00     0.56    80.25    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   45   +5      66.18     5.50     5.88     0.00     0.01    11.40     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            31   44   +4      64.60     5.49     3.83     0.00     0.00     7.04     1.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      68.93     5.64    14.02     0.00     0.01    25.32     5.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   40   -1      61.30     5.64     0.03     0.00     0.00     2.32     0.41P    0.10R    0.00  
Queens_PR        31   39   -8      56.55     5.18   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.81R    0.01  
Norwich          31   39   -9      57.26     5.36   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.03P    0.86R    0.01  
Coventry         31   38   -3      58.05     5.57    -3.95     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.12P    0.55R    0.01  
Plymouth         30   38   -7      56.65     5.56   -11.03     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    1.16R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.51     5.52   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.02P    1.82R    0.01  
Ipswich          31   38  -10      56.97     5.48   -12.48     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P    1.00R    0.01  
Southampton      31   35   -4      53.72     5.37    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.19R    0.06  
Hull             31   33   -6      51.03     5.38    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    8.09R    0.28  
Derby            30   32   -7      51.04     5.66   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    10.21R    0.29  
Sheffield_W      31   30  -15      44.29     5.01   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.86R    4.34  
Leicester        31   29  -10      45.63     5.29   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.74R    2.43  
Brighton         31   29  -17      46.48     5.45   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.05R    2.58  
Millwall         31   27  -20      43.53     5.44   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.83R    7.57  
Crewe            31   22  -33      34.07     4.69   -50.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   82.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Swindon_Town vs Walsall; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        30   54  +18      82.63     5.72    28.43    34.36    60.91    97.50    72.27P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.97     6.43    25.56    37.45    61.05    96.16    70.48P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    30   50   +6      73.73     5.86     8.63     2.81     9.17    65.31    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         30   49  +20      76.98     5.91    29.46     9.24    25.05    84.88    43.80P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        29   48  +15      75.03     6.19    20.56     5.89    16.19    74.91    32.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.49     6.35    15.60     8.44    21.05    80.38    34.17P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    30   47   +6      71.86     5.90    10.49     1.67     5.72    54.20    16.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          30   43   -5      64.69     6.01    -5.36     0.06     0.35    12.44     2.38P    0.97R    0.02  
Nottingham      30   40   +3      62.99     5.86     4.76     0.01     0.15     8.44     2.16P    1.49R    0.07  
Bradford        30   39   +3      62.16     5.77     5.10     0.02     0.12     6.58     1.87P    1.87R    0.06  
Bournemouth     29   39   +1      61.44     6.10    -0.24     0.03     0.10     6.42     1.55P    3.21R    0.13  
Gillingham      30   38   -8      56.16     5.78   -13.13     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.15P   17.93R    1.45  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.34     6.23    -6.35     0.02     0.06     3.47     0.81P    7.91R    0.43  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      57.92     6.05   -11.78     0.00     0.02     1.52     0.26P   12.34R    0.92  
Tranmere        30   36   +1      59.91     5.83     4.04     0.01     0.03     3.21     0.84P    5.01R    0.24  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.83     6.00    -8.30     0.00     0.01     1.13     0.28P   14.83R    1.34  
Blackpool       30   35   -5      56.04     5.83    -6.83     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.14P   17.09R    1.56  
Walsall         29   35   -6      55.45     5.92   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.17P   20.74R    1.82  
Bristol_City    30   35  -10      54.31     5.74   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   27.23R    3.87  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.71     6.34   -10.40     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.17P   21.30R    3.00  
Hartlepool      30   33  -10      51.02     5.62   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   48.38R    9.16  
Swindon_Town    30   31  -11      49.63     5.68   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.79R   14.39  
Rotherham       30   29   -8      48.62     5.75   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.29R   17.55  
Milton_Keynes   29   27  -14      45.09     5.87   -21.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.60R   43.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Northampton vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          30   54  +21      82.81     5.81    32.02    41.76    80.67    98.71    85.65P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +17      79.40     5.82    27.09    19.32    60.38    95.70    70.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          30   51  +17      78.47     5.85    25.12    14.99    53.34    93.95    65.11P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      30   50  +18      78.38     5.65    27.84    15.02    53.70    94.69    66.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    29   50   +9      75.29     6.21    11.91     6.97    30.02    82.52    40.63P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       30   44  +10      67.88     5.94    12.95     0.49     4.96    42.20    14.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   43  +10      69.58     5.88    16.90     0.72     7.67    54.35    21.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.41     6.06     2.33     0.22     2.71    30.86     8.37P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     30   43   -5      63.01     5.74    -7.64     0.04     0.59    13.41     2.71P    0.06R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   42   -7      63.30     5.91    -8.40     0.04     0.60    14.32     2.62P    0.07R    0.01  
Boston           30   40   -2      60.43     5.76    -4.19     0.01     0.23     6.59     1.43P    0.14R    0.04  
Lincoln_C        30   39   +2      62.52     5.89     4.46     0.01     0.49    12.89     3.33P    0.07R    0.01  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.33     6.46    13.53     0.37     3.75    34.58    11.79P    0.02R    0.01  
Rochdale         29   38   +1      61.79     6.28     1.54     0.02     0.56    12.71     2.92P    0.18R    0.04  
Shrewsbury       30   37   -1      56.94     5.75    -3.80     0.00     0.05     2.27     0.49P    1.08R    0.20  
Chester          29   36   +2      59.70     6.04     2.69     0.01     0.23     6.30     1.64P    0.38R    0.06  
Macclesfield     30   36   -7      56.38     5.97    -9.69     0.00     0.01     1.88     0.38P    2.02R    0.41  
Oxford_Utd       30   34  -10      52.71     5.81   -14.41     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.06P    5.83R    1.41  
Mansfield        30   32   -8      51.29     5.87   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    9.23R    2.73  
Barnet           29   32  -10      51.06     5.90   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   10.69R    3.17  
Bury             27   30  -11      53.60     6.63   -14.91     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.15P    7.68R    2.59  
Torquay          30   28  -17      44.64     5.62   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.80R   23.75  
Stockport        29   27  -21      44.66     5.89   -30.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   49.04R   24.61  
Rushden_&_D      29   26  -18      42.02     5.61   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.70R   40.98  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2006, Hereford vs Cambridge_U; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.27     5.84    32.87    79.97    99.61    84.24P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.79     5.52    28.45     3.94    79.44    23.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        26   47  +16      76.45     5.64    27.04     7.57    85.20    30.98P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         27   47   +8      71.06     5.66    13.39     1.07    50.85    10.65P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           26   45  +18      74.64     5.86    31.50     5.33    77.66    20.98P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       27   45  +17      71.86     5.61    26.27     1.88    61.72    19.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   43   +9      65.83     5.65    12.60     0.14    19.63     4.08P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      61.82     5.67    13.98     0.01     6.79     1.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      62.98     6.02    15.26     0.06    11.70     3.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Burton          27   37   -3      56.44     5.58    -4.72     0.00     0.73     0.16P    0.24R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.89     5.86    -0.01     0.00     1.49     0.28P    0.23R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      60.00     6.24     1.14     0.01     4.78     0.93P    0.11R    0.00  
Aldershot       25   34  -10      52.82     6.02   -18.57     0.00     0.29     0.04P    2.54R    0.07  
Kidderminster   27   33   -5      50.40     5.44    -9.40     0.00     0.04     0.00     3.81R    0.09  
Cambridge_U     27   33   -8      51.29     5.57   -11.46     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.23R    0.13  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.21     5.54   -11.55     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.03R    0.27  
Altrincham      27   30  -19      43.67     5.16   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.84R    2.73  
Scarborough     28   27  -13      42.27     5.23   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.71R    3.54  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.56     5.50   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.49R    3.16  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      41.93     5.39   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.73R    5.62  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.54     6.09   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.04R    6.03  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.89     4.90   -45.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.97R   78.37