Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 30 January 2006 at 23:52:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2006, West_Ham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.37     4.69    59.43    98.91    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.13     5.07    38.79     0.68    58.39    96.69    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.99     5.80    29.48     0.41    34.30    90.86    99.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.78     5.52    18.20     0.00     1.64    32.78    80.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.90     5.64    30.13     0.01     4.03    45.21    85.57     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      56.80     5.46    -2.02     0.00     0.04     2.10    17.73     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.61     6.04    15.61     0.00     1.63    26.57    72.52     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.68     5.88     6.49     0.00     0.09     4.76    29.75     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.33     5.30    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.29     4.97     0.05R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.09     5.44     5.42     0.00     0.00     0.54     6.96     0.03R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.38     5.82    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.17     2.17     0.43R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.86     5.04   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.54R    0.01  
Fulham          23   26   -5      44.44     5.35    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.99R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.18     5.71    -7.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.65     1.33R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.30     5.47    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.56     1.19R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.55     5.10   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.76R    0.57  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.67     5.60   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    14.61R    0.27  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.81     5.25   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.41R    2.04  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.18     4.52   -40.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.40R   21.64  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.46     5.15   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.27R   75.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2006, Watford vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.46     4.79    69.43    95.22    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      96.95     5.64    43.86     4.78    93.07   100.00    94.97P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   55  +16      78.64     5.45    20.61     0.00     0.84    87.07    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      82.94     5.92    25.79     0.01     4.51    96.01    29.52P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   49  +15      78.35     5.93    24.46     0.00     1.24    85.66    22.50P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.88     5.81    24.56     0.00     0.34    81.02    25.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.33     5.78     6.99     0.00     0.01    16.16     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      68.70     5.61    13.77     0.00     0.01    23.84     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.70     5.73     1.36     0.00     0.00     4.41     0.67P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.69     5.85     0.07     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.44P    0.08R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.80     5.57   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09P    0.70R    0.01  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.50     5.54   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.10P    0.54R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.43     5.45   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P    1.69R    0.01  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      56.80     5.65   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    1.15R    0.01  
Southampton      30   35   -3      55.49     5.60    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    1.83R    0.03  
Coventry         30   35   -4      55.92     5.80    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    1.73R    0.03  
Plymouth         29   35   -8      55.13     5.87   -11.76     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    2.64R    0.03  
Hull             30   33   -5      52.92     5.68    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.58R    0.10  
Derby            30   32   -7      50.94     5.67   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   10.00R    0.28  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.29     5.37   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.35R    2.15  
Brighton         30   28  -17      46.98     5.68   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.70R    2.19  
Leicester        30   26  -11      43.19     5.47   -17.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.16R    5.62  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.66     5.47   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.05R    9.23  
Crewe            31   22  -33      33.92     4.70   -50.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.72R   80.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2006, Huddersfield vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        30   54  +18      82.47     5.68    28.20    29.83    54.82    97.17    67.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      28   52  +16      83.14     6.31    25.86    34.95    58.08    96.23    68.92P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    30   50   +6      73.73     5.88     8.62     2.36     7.59    63.62    18.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         29   49  +21      80.05     6.17    33.23    18.89    41.36    91.87    57.62P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        29   48  +15      75.16     6.16    20.68     5.27    14.55    73.75    31.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.39     6.39    15.47     7.44    18.45    78.36    31.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    30   47   +6      71.55     5.92    10.05     1.10     4.30    49.81    13.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          30   43   -5      64.48     5.87    -5.61     0.04     0.18    10.50     1.94P    0.81R    0.00  
Nottingham      29   40   +4      65.02     6.15     6.69     0.07     0.41    14.44     3.90P    0.69R    0.01  
Bradford        30   39   +3      62.34     5.71     5.31     0.01     0.09     6.14     1.74P    1.38R    0.04  
Bournemouth     29   39   +1      60.93     6.11    -1.11     0.02     0.07     4.89     1.07P    3.38R    0.09  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.57     6.28    -6.04     0.01     0.05     3.63     0.74P    6.40R    0.25  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.03     6.10   -11.73     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.34P   10.48R    0.66  
Tranmere        30   36   +1      60.19     5.84     4.46     0.00     0.02     3.19     0.81P    3.85R    0.13  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.96     6.04    -8.15     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.30P   12.53R    0.79  
Blackpool       30   35   -5      55.88     5.92    -7.08     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.14P   15.90R    1.19  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.23     6.25    -9.27     0.01     0.02     1.45     0.23P   12.66R    0.84  
Gillingham      29   35   -9      52.86     5.78   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   33.84R    3.90  
Bristol_City    30   35  -10      54.35     5.75   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   24.36R    2.30  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.71     6.42   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.20P   19.98R    2.15  
Hartlepool      30   33  -10      50.76     5.56   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    46.08R    6.75  
Rotherham       30   29   -8      48.52     5.70   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   58.92R   13.53  
Swindon_Town    29   28  -12      48.16     5.85   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.99R   15.88  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      42.93     6.10   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   51.49  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 January 2006, Macclesfield vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          29   53  +21      82.82     6.04    31.52    40.16    78.50    98.28    83.60P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +17      79.49     5.79    27.23    18.41    59.80    95.83    69.92P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          30   51  +17      78.42     5.92    25.05    13.87    51.16    93.48    63.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      29   49  +18      79.17     5.94    28.64    18.14    57.85    95.00    69.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.55     6.47    11.75     7.46    30.80    81.95    40.74P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       30   44  +10      67.78     5.95    12.80     0.43     4.50    40.96    13.87P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   43  +10      69.70     5.85    17.08     0.62     7.43    54.80    21.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.52     6.12     2.57     0.31     3.02    30.92     8.57P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     30   43   -5      63.02     5.78    -7.70     0.07     0.69    12.66     2.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   41   -7      63.41     6.09    -8.83     0.03     0.82    15.32     2.96P    0.10R    0.01  
Boston           30   40   -2      60.64     5.76    -3.83     0.01     0.15     6.61     1.38P    0.18R    0.02  
Lincoln_C        30   39   +2      62.58     5.86     4.60     0.03     0.46    12.72     3.40P    0.10R    0.01  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.63     6.48    13.97     0.41     3.86    35.52    12.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         29   38   +1      61.71     6.26     1.34     0.04     0.59    11.73     2.74P    0.24R    0.06  
Chester          29   36   +2      59.51     6.07     2.32     0.01     0.20     6.42     1.52P    0.47R    0.06  
Shrewsbury       29   36   -1      57.93     6.05    -2.94     0.01     0.12     3.69     0.96P    0.88R    0.20  
Macclesfield     29   35   -7      56.54     6.24   -10.03     0.00     0.04     2.33     0.52P    2.27R    0.55  
Oxford_Utd       30   34  -10      52.95     5.74   -13.99     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.05P    5.09R    1.11  
Mansfield        30   32   -8      51.22     5.86   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    9.37R    2.59  
Barnet           29   32  -10      51.08     5.82   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   10.52R    3.10  
Bury             27   30  -11      53.43     6.58   -15.23     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.18P    8.34R    2.76  
Torquay          29   27  -17      44.84     5.86   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.80R   23.21  
Rushden_&_D      29   26  -18      41.82     5.66   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.31R   42.35  
Stockport        28   26  -21      45.02     6.23   -31.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   47.31R   23.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 January 2006, Exeter vs Accrington; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      26   58  +21      87.15     5.86    32.66    76.76    99.47    81.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          27   47  +17      74.82     5.51    28.53     3.89    79.56    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         27   47   +8      70.83     5.63    12.98     0.89    49.32     9.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           25   45  +19      77.56     5.97    35.27    11.82    88.72    31.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       27   45  +17      71.59     5.58    25.93     1.48    59.90    17.92P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        25   44  +13      74.94     5.97    24.21     4.91    77.50    25.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   43   +9      66.00     5.61    12.97     0.18    20.46     4.25P    0.01R    0.00  
York            27   38   +9      62.01     5.69    14.23     0.01     7.25     1.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      62.94     5.90    15.17     0.04    10.73     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.99     5.93     0.10     0.00     1.53     0.29P    0.29R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      60.17     6.17     1.37     0.02     4.71     0.82P    0.11R    0.00  
Burton          26   34   -4      52.92     5.76    -8.95     0.00     0.21     0.04P    1.73R    0.03  
Aldershot       25   34  -10      52.92     6.05   -18.46     0.00     0.34     0.02P    2.35R    0.05  
Cambridge_U     26   33   -5      52.85     5.88    -8.05     0.00     0.21     0.04P    2.14R    0.07  
Kidderminster   27   33   -5      50.25     5.45    -9.57     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.92R    0.06  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.30     5.54   -11.47     0.00     0.06     0.01P    6.87R    0.31  
Altrincham      27   30  -19      43.63     5.10   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.38R    2.94  
Scarborough     28   27  -13      42.15     5.18   -19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.64R    3.60  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.55     5.50   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.57R    3.04  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      41.98     5.35   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.34R    5.35  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.72     6.14   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.06R    5.95  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.91     4.96   -45.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.58R   78.60