Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 29 January 2006 at 23:52:45 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2006, West_Ham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.29     4.75    59.24    98.80    99.88   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.01     5.09    38.56     0.81    58.36    96.83    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.86     5.83    29.28     0.40    34.40    90.53    98.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.63     5.56    17.94     0.00     1.67    31.66    79.32     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.90     5.58    30.08     0.00     3.83    45.80    85.71     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      57.11     5.48    -1.53     0.00     0.03     2.59    19.48     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.48     6.07    15.44     0.00     1.75    27.05    71.84     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.56     5.84     6.35     0.00     0.07     4.67    29.43     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.32     5.29    -2.18     0.00     0.00     0.30     4.62     0.05R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      52.82     5.49     5.02     0.00     0.01     0.38     6.83     0.04R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.35     5.88    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.41     0.35R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.89     5.15   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.76R    0.01  
Fulham          23   26   -5      44.60     5.41    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     2.16R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.43     5.81    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.69     1.39R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.23     5.53    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48     1.45R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.57     5.12   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.83R    0.69  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.75     5.75   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    15.10R    0.32  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.97     5.29   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    49.73R    2.17  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.32     4.60   -40.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.69R   20.65  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.36     5.09   -39.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R   76.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2006, Watford vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.44     4.83    69.44    95.00    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.01     5.61    43.92     4.96    93.12   100.00    95.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   55  +16      78.25     5.45    20.01     0.00     0.81    85.41    16.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      83.03     6.01    25.99     0.04     4.57    95.66    30.37P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   49  +15      78.28     5.97    24.41     0.00     1.09    85.44    21.88P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.77     5.77    24.40     0.00     0.42    80.27    25.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.47     5.69     7.20     0.00     0.01    16.74     2.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      69.10     5.60    14.28     0.00     0.01    26.17     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.72     5.75     1.40     0.00     0.00     4.29     0.81P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.67     5.86     0.05     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.47P    0.10R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.73     5.49   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.57R    0.00  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.51     5.54   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.10P    0.47R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.02     5.41   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    1.94R    0.01  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      57.00     5.70   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    1.27R    0.01  
Southampton      30   35   -3      55.65     5.65    -4.78     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    1.67R    0.01  
Coventry         30   35   -4      56.01     5.84    -5.59     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P    1.69R    0.04  
Plymouth         29   35   -8      54.86     5.83   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    2.84R    0.04  
Hull             30   33   -5      53.22     5.66    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    4.13R    0.10  
Derby            30   32   -7      50.96     5.69   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    9.76R    0.25  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.10     5.37   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.85R    2.23  
Brighton         30   28  -17      47.09     5.80   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.16R    2.04  
Leicester        30   26  -11      43.20     5.44   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.48R    5.63  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.68     5.45   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.25R    8.60  
Crewe            31   22  -33      33.81     4.67   -50.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.75R   81.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2006, Huddersfield vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        30   54  +18      82.65     5.63    28.47    30.61    56.23    97.19    68.24P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.94     6.41    25.55    33.56    56.30    95.53    66.77P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    30   50   +6      73.98     5.93     8.91     2.47     8.06    64.34    18.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         29   49  +21      80.12     6.08    33.39    19.25    41.24    92.08    57.62P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        29   48  +15      75.19     6.15    20.72     4.89    14.15    73.92    31.41P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.57     6.43    15.76     7.80    18.85    78.83    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    30   47   +6      71.71     5.91    10.31     1.27     4.42    50.68    13.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham          30   43   -5      64.52     5.92    -5.56     0.04     0.20    10.20     1.80P    0.80R    0.01  
Nottingham      29   40   +4      65.03     6.10     6.72     0.07     0.30    14.03     3.54P    0.55R    0.01  
Bradford        30   39   +3      62.28     5.78     5.28     0.01     0.07     6.06     1.80P    1.51R    0.01  
Bournemouth     29   39   +1      60.93     6.17    -1.09     0.01     0.07     4.88     1.11P    3.23R    0.10  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.54     6.26    -6.19     0.01     0.04     3.35     0.64P    6.42R    0.26  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.17     6.12   -11.45     0.00     0.01     1.73     0.32P    9.71R    0.54  
Tranmere        30   36   +1      59.95     5.81     4.11     0.01     0.03     2.83     0.68P    4.11R    0.18  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.70     6.06    -8.53     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.20P   13.20R    0.77  
Blackpool       30   35   -5      56.00     5.82    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.16P   14.57R    0.85  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.18     6.28    -9.44     0.00     0.01     1.45     0.25P   12.82R    0.83  
Gillingham      29   35   -9      52.62     5.79   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   35.56R    4.08  
Bristol_City    30   35  -10      54.29     5.72   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P   24.37R    2.35  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.54     6.29   -10.56     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.14P   20.04R    2.10  
Hartlepool      30   33  -10      50.90     5.62   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   45.09R    6.78  
Rotherham       30   29   -8      48.50     5.76   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.63R   13.31  
Swindon_Town    29   28  -12      48.15     5.95   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.39R   16.36  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      42.97     6.01   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.98R   51.45  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 January 2006, Macclesfield vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          29   53  +21      82.76     6.10    31.45    39.61    78.23    98.34    83.43P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         30   51  +17      79.37     5.80    27.07    17.76    59.12    95.56    69.28P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          30   51  +17      78.42     5.83    25.07    13.69    51.74    93.81    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      29   49  +18      79.15     6.02    28.58    19.09    57.45    94.67    69.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.68     6.52    11.96     7.99    31.84    82.67    42.35P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       30   44  +10      67.77     5.90    12.77     0.41     4.54    40.86    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     30   43  +10      69.81     5.85    17.19     0.71     7.69    55.73    21.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.39     6.10     2.29     0.26     2.73    30.20     7.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     30   43   -5      63.07     5.79    -7.56     0.03     0.72    12.87     2.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   41   -7      63.40     6.10    -8.82     0.04     0.79    15.46     3.18P    0.08R    0.01  
Boston           30   40   -2      60.60     5.78    -3.90     0.01     0.20     6.58     1.50P    0.27R    0.02  
Lincoln_C        30   39   +2      62.48     5.91     4.39     0.01     0.41    12.73     3.35P    0.10R    0.03  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.38     6.48    13.61     0.36     3.72    33.93    11.73P    0.07R    0.01  
Rochdale         29   38   +1      61.91     6.18     1.71     0.01     0.47    12.15     2.74P    0.21R    0.01  
Chester          29   36   +2      59.56     6.06     2.42     0.00     0.20     6.23     1.66P    0.47R    0.10  
Shrewsbury       29   36   -1      58.09     6.13    -2.70     0.01     0.07     4.03     0.97P    0.88R    0.23  
Macclesfield     29   35   -7      56.51     6.26   -10.11     0.01     0.05     2.39     0.43P    2.61R    0.56  
Oxford_Utd       30   34  -10      52.64     5.78   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    6.17R    1.46  
Mansfield        30   32   -8      51.17     5.90   -12.55     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P    9.68R    2.71  
Barnet           29   32  -10      50.99     5.85   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   11.26R    3.29  
Bury             27   30  -11      53.47     6.59   -15.18     0.00     0.01     1.12     0.15P    8.17R    2.76  
Torquay          29   27  -17      44.89     5.95   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    46.45R   24.07  
Rushden_&_D      29   26  -18      41.89     5.64   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    68.19R   42.10  
Stockport        28   26  -21      45.38     6.28   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    45.36R   22.64  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2006, Woking vs York; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.49     6.11    28.94    60.38    98.16    68.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.31     5.64    32.26    13.36    88.42    35.08P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         27   47   +8      70.88     5.62    13.09     1.25    48.30    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           25   45  +19      77.53     6.01    35.25    16.05    87.75    32.84P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       27   45  +17      71.60     5.55    25.93     2.05    58.42    17.96P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        25   44  +13      75.05     5.97    24.35     6.62    76.64    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   43   +9      66.15     5.65    13.14     0.20    19.86     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
York            27   38   +9      61.91     5.59    14.07     0.01     6.17     1.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Woking          26   37   +9      62.85     5.87    15.09     0.07     9.84     2.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       26   36   +2      56.84     5.85    -0.13     0.00     1.27     0.17P    0.26R    0.00  
Gravesend       25   36   +0      60.24     6.17     1.54     0.04     4.39     0.78P    0.09R    0.00  
Burton          26   34   -4      52.97     5.74    -8.80     0.00     0.20     0.03P    1.70R    0.03  
Aldershot       25   34  -10      52.85     6.10   -18.65     0.00     0.32     0.04P    2.38R    0.07  
Cambridge_U     26   33   -5      52.79     5.86    -8.12     0.00     0.15     0.04P    2.06R    0.06  
Kidderminster   27   33   -5      50.36     5.46    -9.44     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.85R    0.07  
Canvey_Island   27   31   -8      49.05     5.51   -11.84     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.71R    0.34  
Altrincham      27   30  -19      43.73     5.10   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.44R    2.73  
Scarborough     28   27  -13      42.20     5.17   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.58R    3.69  
Forest_Green    27   26   -7      43.71     5.47   -12.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.61R    3.00  
Tamworth        26   26  -14      42.04     5.38   -23.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.99R    5.51  
Crawley         25   22  -11      42.49     6.04   -16.45     0.00     0.01     0.01P   39.65R    5.79  
Southport       26   20  -28      31.90     5.02   -45.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.67R   78.72