Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 27 January 2006 at 23:52:48 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2006, West_Ham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.23     4.75    59.19    98.92    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.29     5.05    39.17     0.70    60.77    97.05    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.70     5.90    29.05     0.37    31.99    90.30    99.02     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.81     5.53    18.19     0.00     1.75    33.41    80.25     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.72     5.67    29.86     0.00     4.00    44.41    85.25     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      56.77     5.47    -1.98     0.00     0.02     2.25    18.15     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.35     6.11    15.24     0.00     1.46    26.13    71.19     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.62     5.86     6.32     0.00     0.09     5.37    29.88     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.27     5.32    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.35     4.84     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.09     5.54     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.54     7.47     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.28     5.93    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.59     0.42R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.85     5.17   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.99R    0.01  
Fulham          23   26   -5      44.56     5.47    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     2.01R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.31     5.74    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.65     1.22R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.60     5.46    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     1.03R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.57     5.03   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.45R    0.61  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.77     5.70   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    14.88R    0.28  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.84     5.30   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.63R    2.20  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.28     4.59   -40.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.91R   21.78  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.52     5.14   -38.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R   75.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 January 2006, Southampton vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.38     4.83    69.23    94.89    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.11     5.61    44.05     5.09    93.63   100.00    95.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      82.94     5.95    25.81     0.02     4.27    96.00    29.68P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +13      77.54     5.63    18.93     0.00     0.64    82.55    16.44P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   49  +15      78.28     6.05    24.36     0.00     1.09    85.29    22.27P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.64     5.85    24.20     0.00     0.39    80.28    24.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.35     5.74     7.01     0.00     0.01    17.46     2.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      69.09     5.64    14.26     0.00     0.00    27.17     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.93     5.72     1.75     0.00     0.00     5.00     0.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.73     5.83     0.14     0.00     0.00     3.20     0.49P    0.10R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.87     5.45    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P    0.64R    0.00  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.44     5.56   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.10P    0.56R    0.00  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.23     5.43   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.01P    1.71R    0.01  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      57.03     5.65   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    1.09R    0.01  
Southampton      30   35   -3      55.55     5.58    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P    1.71R    0.03  
Coventry         30   35   -4      55.95     5.79    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.03P    1.64R    0.04  
Plymouth         29   35   -8      55.08     5.87   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    2.67R    0.04  
Hull             30   33   -5      53.13     5.69    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.38R    0.15  
Derby            30   32   -7      50.87     5.60   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    9.60R    0.36  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.13     5.40   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.02R    2.72  
Brighton         30   28  -17      46.90     5.74   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.02R    2.79  
Leicester        30   26  -11      43.04     5.48   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.81R    7.14  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.76     5.48   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.13R   10.04  
Crewe            30   22  -30      34.49     4.86   -49.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.88R   76.66  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 27 January 2006, Southend vs Swindon_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        30   54  +18      82.56     5.68    28.41    27.43    53.41    97.36    67.02P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.93     6.43    25.54    30.02    54.32    95.94    65.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   49  +22      82.39     6.35    35.92    30.02    54.37    95.70    67.37P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        29   48  +15      74.97     6.20    20.48     4.31    12.69    73.23    29.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.29     6.43    15.33     6.14    16.50    78.50    30.32P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   47   +5      72.64     6.17     8.46     1.43     5.44    57.50    15.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    29   44   +5      69.37     6.15     8.23     0.43     2.03    37.20     9.51P    0.09R    0.00  
Oldham          29   43   -4      65.43     6.13    -5.35     0.07     0.41    14.96     2.78P    0.61R    0.01  
Nottingham      29   40   +4      64.88     6.12     6.49     0.07     0.30    14.78     3.56P    0.67R    0.01  
Bournemouth     28   39   +2      63.37     6.50     1.52     0.07     0.30    11.89     2.90P    1.83R    0.03  
Bradford        29   38   +3      63.04     6.04     5.72     0.01     0.15     9.38     2.31P    1.37R    0.01  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.59     6.17    -6.04     0.01     0.04     3.31     0.70P    5.82R    0.26  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.17     6.04   -11.45     0.00     0.01     1.74     0.28P    9.28R    0.45  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.85     6.03    -8.24     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.23P   11.92R    0.65  
Tranmere        29   35   +1      59.98     6.09     3.72     0.00     0.02     3.77     0.98P    4.60R    0.21  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.27     6.29    -9.24     0.00     0.01     1.61     0.26P   12.38R    0.77  
Gillingham      28   34   -9      53.46     6.01   -16.44     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   30.09R    3.49  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.78     6.29   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.10P   18.32R    1.80  
Hartlepool      29   33   -7      53.85     6.06   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P   25.49R    2.95  
Blackpool       29   32   -8      52.75     6.01   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P   31.71R    3.99  
Bristol_City    29   32  -11      51.60     5.94   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   40.76R    6.47  
Rotherham       29   28   -8      48.70     5.96   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    56.64R   12.88  
Swindon_Town    29   28  -12      48.07     5.91   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   62.34R   15.39  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      42.99     6.10   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.08R   50.62  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Torquay vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          28   52  +21      85.24     6.19    35.42    45.63    85.67    99.29    89.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   51  +20      82.56     6.01    32.97    25.97    74.04    98.47    81.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          29   51  +18      80.49     6.09    27.00    15.51    61.21    96.53    71.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.47     6.47    11.69     4.45    26.71    82.41    38.26P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +16      77.13     6.25    26.10     7.67    38.83    90.53    55.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.46     6.12     2.45     0.17     2.16    32.14     8.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       29   41   +6      65.13     6.17     7.35     0.07     1.50    26.95     7.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   41   -6      64.56     6.32    -8.17     0.09     1.18    22.21     4.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     29   40   +9      67.47     6.09    15.28     0.20     3.57    42.12    14.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     29   40   -7      60.02     5.95   -11.70     0.01     0.20     6.78     1.28P    0.18R    0.04  
Boston           29   39   -2      60.37     6.04    -4.96     0.00     0.23     7.71     1.57P    0.17R    0.01  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.17     6.45    13.25     0.12     2.52    34.72    11.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         28   37   +1      62.87     6.54     2.60     0.04     0.77    17.45     4.17P    0.10R    0.01  
Chester          28   36   +4      62.38     6.36     6.76     0.04     0.74    16.16     4.54P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   36   +1      61.06     6.15     3.67     0.02     0.27     9.97     2.65P    0.17R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   36   +0      60.97     6.36     0.51     0.01     0.32    10.44     2.60P    0.20R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd       29   34   -7      55.21     6.07    -9.77     0.00     0.01     1.53     0.34P    1.77R    0.28  
Mansfield        29   32   -4      53.10     6.12    -7.62     0.00     0.01     0.72     0.14P    3.55R    0.65  
Macclesfield     28   32  -10      52.76     6.44   -16.56     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.17P    6.20R    1.43  
Barnet           29   32  -10      50.97     5.84   -15.81     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.04P    7.38R    1.43  
Bury             26   30   -9      55.54     6.93   -11.93     0.00     0.07     2.73     0.59P    3.56R    0.80  
Stockport        27   25  -21      44.04     6.39   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   45.52R   19.84  
Torquay          28   24  -18      42.40     6.17   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.23R   27.27  
Rushden_&_D      28   23  -21      39.25     5.71   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.84R   48.22  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, York vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.66     6.17    29.20    58.30    98.14    66.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.19     5.74    32.12    12.19    86.92    33.49P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           24   44  +19      78.55     6.27    36.24    19.84    89.57    37.06P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         26   44   +7      69.95     5.85    13.10     0.88    41.69     8.97P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        24   43  +13      75.03     6.19    23.66     6.87    75.26    26.82P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       26   43  +11      68.49     5.93    16.58     0.66    34.49     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       26   42  +15      70.05     5.85    23.97     1.16    46.41    13.44P    0.00     0.00  
York            26   38  +11      64.17     5.89    17.33     0.08    13.85     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       24   35   +0      60.70     6.41     1.55     0.03     5.75     0.96P    0.08R    0.01  
Woking          25   34   +7      60.47     6.09    11.84     0.01     5.35     1.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Aldershot       24   34   -6      56.14     6.45   -11.05     0.00     1.29     0.17P    0.69R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red       25   33   +1      54.76     6.11    -2.10     0.00     0.61     0.12P    0.91R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     25   32   -5      53.75     6.12    -7.28     0.00     0.45     0.06P    1.33R    0.04  
Canvey_Island   26   31   -6      51.95     5.86    -7.62     0.00     0.14     0.01P    2.31R    0.12  
Burton          25   31   -6      49.95     5.86   -13.09     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.78R    0.29  
Kidderminster   26   30   -8      47.45     5.61   -14.20     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.30R    0.60  
Scarborough     27   27  -12      44.05     5.47   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.22R    2.25  
Altrincham      26   27  -23      40.13     5.16   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.43R   11.65  
Forest_Green    26   26   -6      44.26     5.68   -12.51     0.00     0.01     0.01P   21.65R    2.64  
Tamworth        25   23  -16      38.64     5.49   -27.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.06R   17.79  
Crawley         24   22   -9      44.23     6.34   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.00R    4.22  
Southport       25   20  -25      33.69     5.27   -41.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.20R   60.35