Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 January 2006 at 23:53:11 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2006, West_Ham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.40     4.71    59.56    98.94    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.18     5.02    38.91     0.72    59.38    97.04    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.83     5.91    29.26     0.33    33.22    90.08    98.88     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.76     5.51    18.11     0.00     1.76    32.03    79.62     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.95     5.63    30.16     0.00     3.90    45.66    85.93     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      57.04     5.48    -1.66     0.00     0.03     2.42    19.07     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.57     6.10    15.57     0.00     1.66    26.66    71.57     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.66     5.86     6.44     0.00     0.15     5.05    29.79     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.17     5.29    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.29     4.45     0.07R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.08     5.49     5.36     0.00     0.00     0.55     6.99     0.04R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.34     5.85    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.40     0.39R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.91     5.16   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.77R    0.00  
Fulham          23   26   -5      44.28     5.39    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19     2.26R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.27     5.75    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.72     1.28R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.32     5.42    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     1.20R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.70     5.10   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    33.85R    0.56  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.97     5.72   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    14.06R    0.24  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.64     5.30   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.20R    2.10  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.13     4.51   -40.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.27R   21.25  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.31     5.06   -39.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R   75.83  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 January 2006, Southampton vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.58     4.82    69.66    95.16    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.06     5.65    44.07     4.82    93.06   100.00    94.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      83.26     5.94    26.31     0.03     4.75    96.61    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +13      77.63     5.58    19.00     0.00     0.74    82.78    16.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   49  +15      78.43     5.93    24.59     0.00     1.11    86.12    22.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.50     5.78    24.03     0.00     0.38    79.91    23.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.17     5.74     6.77     0.00     0.01    16.50     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      69.02     5.65    14.19     0.00     0.00    26.92     6.33P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.85     5.73     1.61     0.00     0.00     5.04     0.86P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.48     5.84    -0.32     0.00     0.00     2.77     0.44P    0.13R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      58.00     5.56    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.09P    0.58R    0.01  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.48     5.49   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.10P    0.46R    0.00  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.21     5.44   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.01P    1.78R    0.01  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      57.07     5.73   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.06P    1.17R    0.01  
Southampton      30   35   -3      55.66     5.57    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    1.54R    0.04  
Coventry         30   35   -4      56.01     5.85    -5.56     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.05P    1.63R    0.01  
Plymouth         29   35   -8      54.83     5.86   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P    2.74R    0.04  
Hull             30   33   -5      53.20     5.72    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    4.30R    0.10  
Derby            30   32   -7      50.80     5.56   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.96R    0.25  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.33     5.43   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.31R    2.48  
Brighton         30   28  -17      46.99     5.75   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   29.70R    2.67  
Leicester        30   26  -11      43.18     5.49   -17.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.23R    6.46  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.55     5.39   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.30R    9.80  
Crewe            30   22  -30      34.24     4.80   -49.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.12R   78.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Blackpool vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.93     6.42    25.49    32.19    57.29    95.79    68.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        29   51  +16      81.61     5.95    27.43    24.54    48.99    95.88    63.45P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   49  +22      82.40     6.27    35.95    31.30    57.19    96.20    69.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.17     6.42    15.12     6.74    17.56    78.61    30.78P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   47   +5      72.51     6.20     8.23     1.71     6.11    57.22    16.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        28   45  +13      72.55     6.51    17.40     2.56     8.17    59.80    22.54P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    29   44   +5      69.38     6.07     8.28     0.53     2.42    37.89     9.98P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham          29   43   -4      65.37     6.15    -5.38     0.07     0.46    15.96     3.02P    0.67R    0.01  
Nottingham      28   40   +6      67.31     6.35    10.07     0.25     1.20    27.36     7.74P    0.30R    0.01  
Bournemouth     28   39   +2      63.39     6.48     1.56     0.08     0.35    12.36     2.95P    1.69R    0.02  
Bradford        29   38   +3      62.92     5.95     5.61     0.01     0.15     8.78     2.33P    1.41R    0.04  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.53     6.24    -6.11     0.01     0.03     3.60     0.69P    6.25R    0.23  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.17     6.03   -11.50     0.00     0.01     1.76     0.28P    9.62R    0.62  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.68     6.02    -8.55     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.27P   13.39R    0.89  
Tranmere        29   35   +1      59.93     6.08     3.69     0.01     0.04     3.96     1.06P    4.58R    0.23  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.29     6.19    -9.33     0.00     0.03     1.56     0.28P   12.57R    0.76  
Gillingham      28   34   -9      53.31     6.01   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   31.64R    3.79  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.43     6.28   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.09P   20.10R    2.21  
Hartlepool      29   33   -7      53.79     6.05   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.08P   27.05R    3.03  
Blackpool       29   32   -8      52.94     6.07   -12.14     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   31.48R    4.25  
Bristol_City    29   32  -11      51.66     5.96   -17.32     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   41.30R    6.67  
Rotherham       29   28   -8      49.08     6.00   -11.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   54.94R   12.17  
Swindon_Town    28   28  -10      49.21     6.15   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    55.94R   13.14  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      42.96     6.00   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.98R   51.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Torquay vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          28   52  +21      85.08     6.28    35.24    44.41    84.76    99.18    88.75P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   51  +20      82.56     5.98    33.01    26.93    74.42    98.66    81.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          29   51  +18      80.65     6.03    27.22    15.70    61.98    96.97    72.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.64     6.45    11.92     4.75    27.11    83.64    38.76P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +16      77.00     6.20    25.84     7.40    37.63    90.24    54.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.48     6.12     2.46     0.12     2.10    32.42     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       29   41   +6      65.07     6.14     7.24     0.10     1.43    26.17     7.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   41   -6      64.50     6.35    -8.22     0.10     1.25    21.57     4.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     29   40   +9      67.58     6.16    15.54     0.24     3.58    42.48    15.04P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     29   40   -7      59.89     5.90   -11.86     0.00     0.12     6.03     1.09P    0.17R    0.01  
Boston           29   39   -2      60.34     6.00    -5.01     0.00     0.24     7.29     1.48P    0.12R    0.01  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.38     6.53    13.64     0.16     3.03    35.55    11.93P    0.04R    0.00  
Rochdale         28   37   +1      62.95     6.53     2.76     0.04     0.94    17.94     4.38P    0.10R    0.01  
Chester          28   36   +4      62.49     6.32     6.95     0.03     0.74    16.04     4.51P    0.11R    0.01  
Lincoln_C        29   36   +1      61.20     6.12     3.91     0.01     0.26    10.07     2.44P    0.16R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   36   +0      60.84     6.31     0.27     0.01     0.30     9.94     2.50P    0.20R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd       29   34   -7      55.28     6.05    -9.57     0.00     0.04     1.51     0.33P    1.75R    0.32  
Mansfield        29   32   -4      53.14     6.07    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.13P    3.52R    0.65  
Macclesfield     28   32  -10      52.77     6.33   -16.59     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.20P    5.64R    1.32  
Barnet           29   32  -10      50.90     5.76   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    7.04R    1.46  
Bury             26   30   -9      55.37     6.92   -12.18     0.01     0.07     2.66     0.60P    3.50R    0.80  
Stockport        27   25  -21      43.99     6.37   -34.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    45.27R   19.43  
Torquay          28   24  -18      42.27     6.07   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.55R   27.18  
Rushden_&_D      28   23  -21      39.16     5.73   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.80R   48.79  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, York vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.52     6.20    28.97    56.85    97.94    65.16P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.33     5.71    32.25    12.88    87.61    34.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           24   44  +19      78.57     6.21    36.26    20.36    90.06    37.09P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         26   44   +7      69.86     5.92    12.99     1.00    41.43     8.91P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        24   43  +13      74.91     6.27    23.47     7.00    74.53    26.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       26   43  +11      68.48     5.87    16.63     0.58    33.88     7.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       26   42  +15      70.18     5.86    24.23     1.25    47.47    14.63P    0.00     0.00  
York            26   38  +11      64.07     5.89    17.22     0.04    13.51     3.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       24   35   +0      60.59     6.42     1.26     0.02     5.53     0.90P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking          25   34   +7      60.28     6.23    11.56     0.01     5.32     1.29P    0.07R    0.00  
Aldershot       24   34   -6      56.30     6.41   -10.73     0.01     1.42     0.21P    0.61R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red       25   33   +1      54.95     6.05    -1.68     0.00     0.71     0.10P    0.72R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     25   32   -5      53.44     6.20    -7.81     0.00     0.42     0.06P    1.56R    0.08  
Canvey_Island   26   31   -6      51.94     5.81    -7.59     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.35R    0.10  
Burton          25   31   -6      50.00     5.98   -13.06     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.79R    0.25  
Kidderminster   26   30   -8      47.57     5.64   -14.04     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.13R    0.61  
Scarborough     27   27  -12      44.08     5.41   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.48R    2.56  
Altrincham      26   27  -23      40.06     5.11   -36.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.44R   12.46  
Forest_Green    26   26   -6      44.42     5.75   -12.22     0.00     0.01     0.00    21.39R    2.67  
Tamworth        25   23  -16      38.51     5.54   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.32R   18.32  
Crawley         24   22   -9      44.15     6.39   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.96R    4.91  
Southport       25   20  -25      33.99     5.38   -40.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.08R   58.00