Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 25 January 2006 at 23:52:38 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2006, West_Ham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.45     4.68    59.64    99.00    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.20     4.99    38.94     0.68    59.74    97.28    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.79     5.84    29.23     0.30    33.15    90.44    98.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.65     5.54    17.96     0.00     1.51    31.79    79.21     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.87     5.68    30.02     0.01     3.94    45.20    85.47     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      56.84     5.40    -1.94     0.00     0.03     2.30    17.88     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.54     6.13    15.54     0.01     1.56    26.78    71.95     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.64     5.91     6.45     0.00     0.12     5.12    30.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.29     5.35    -2.27     0.00     0.01     0.34     5.13     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.02     5.51     5.30     0.00     0.00     0.50     7.32     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.49     5.91    -9.19     0.00     0.01     0.20     2.71     0.33R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.69     5.20   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.98R    0.01  
Fulham          23   26   -5      44.49     5.39    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     2.21R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.27     5.84    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.65     1.46R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.58     5.41    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.91R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.54     5.13   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.26R    0.60  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.81     5.73   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    14.57R    0.32  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.81     5.25   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.78R    1.78  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.21     4.57   -40.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.87R   21.01  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.35     5.08   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   76.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 January 2006, Southampton vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.36     4.86    69.29    94.89    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.07     5.64    44.08     5.09    93.25   100.00    95.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      82.94     5.92    25.85     0.01     4.47    96.02    29.25P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +13      77.69     5.66    19.10     0.00     0.61    82.84    16.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   49  +15      78.32     5.99    24.38     0.00     1.26    85.62    22.74P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.60     5.88    24.15     0.00     0.42    79.53    24.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.37     5.73     7.07     0.00     0.01    17.13     3.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      69.04     5.70    14.25     0.00     0.00    27.34     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.89     5.80     1.69     0.00     0.00     5.12     0.87P    0.06R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.76     5.88     0.15     0.00     0.00     3.20     0.57P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.81     5.50   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.08P    0.55R    0.00  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.56     5.51   -11.38     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.10P    0.50R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.36     5.45   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    1.66R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      56.99     5.75   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.08P    1.14R    0.01  
Southampton      30   35   -3      55.64     5.67    -4.83     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    1.91R    0.04  
Coventry         30   35   -4      55.95     5.82    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    1.72R    0.01  
Plymouth         29   35   -8      54.84     5.86   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    2.85R    0.03  
Hull             30   33   -5      53.16     5.69    -7.48     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    4.35R    0.15  
Derby            30   32   -7      50.95     5.59   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.62R    0.25  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.05     5.36   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.27R    2.92  
Brighton         30   28  -17      46.96     5.73   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.84R    2.42  
Leicester        30   26  -11      43.27     5.55   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.05R    6.57  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.57     5.51   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.63R   10.18  
Crewe            30   22  -30      34.33     4.88   -49.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.80R   77.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Blackpool vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.88     6.34    25.39    31.39    56.11    96.09    67.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        29   51  +16      81.42     5.93    27.09    23.38    47.31    95.53    61.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   49  +22      82.51     6.32    36.14    32.31    58.12    96.04    70.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.42     6.42    15.46     7.08    18.39    79.30    32.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    29   47   +5      72.90     6.22     8.75     2.12     6.96    59.48    17.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        28   45  +13      72.69     6.50    17.55     2.67     8.53    60.23    23.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    29   44   +5      69.25     6.14     8.02     0.56     2.17    36.85     9.17P    0.10R    0.00  
Oldham          29   43   -4      65.21     6.11    -5.61     0.07     0.40    14.60     2.47P    0.70R    0.01  
Nottingham      28   40   +6      67.14     6.37     9.84     0.28     1.23    26.14     7.28P    0.36R    0.01  
Bournemouth     28   39   +2      63.46     6.43     1.69     0.07     0.41    12.07     2.98P    1.49R    0.02  
Bradford        29   38   +3      62.95     6.05     5.65     0.04     0.21     9.19     2.75P    1.58R    0.04  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.47     6.18    -6.17     0.01     0.04     3.55     0.80P    6.18R    0.27  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.24     6.07   -11.41     0.01     0.01     1.80     0.33P    9.53R    0.53  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.65     6.01    -8.53     0.00     0.01     1.22     0.25P   13.29R    0.78  
Tranmere        29   35   +1      60.12     6.09     3.95     0.01     0.05     4.21     1.10P    4.43R    0.19  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.47     6.20    -8.93     0.01     0.02     1.71     0.33P   11.65R    0.76  
Gillingham      28   34   -9      53.11     6.15   -17.09     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.09P   33.17R    4.58  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.63     6.40   -10.35     0.01     0.02     0.97     0.18P   19.70R    2.17  
Hartlepool      29   33   -7      53.60     5.98   -10.66     0.01     0.01     0.34     0.09P   27.23R    2.88  
Blackpool       29   32   -8      52.89     5.99   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.06P   31.45R    3.65  
Bristol_City    29   32  -11      51.72     5.93   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   39.97R    6.28  
Rotherham       29   28   -8      48.87     5.93   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    55.83R   12.39  
Swindon_Town    28   28  -10      49.00     6.12   -15.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.50R   13.65  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      42.95     6.02   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.81R   51.80  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Torquay vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          28   52  +21      85.10     6.22    35.26    44.73    84.93    99.17    88.68P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   51  +20      82.53     6.05    32.90    26.40    74.30    98.36    81.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          29   51  +18      80.55     6.04    27.10    15.55    60.75    96.50    71.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.27     6.46    11.40     4.49    25.10    81.69    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +16      77.42     6.18    26.52     8.12    40.95    91.17    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.41     6.10     2.35     0.10     2.07    31.43     7.73P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       29   41   +6      65.29     6.18     7.59     0.10     1.66    27.13     8.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   41   -6      64.68     6.37    -7.93     0.07     1.25    22.61     4.51P    0.04R    0.01  
Peterborough     29   40   +9      67.53     6.12    15.38     0.21     3.54    42.13    14.86P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     29   40   -7      59.97     5.96   -11.79     0.01     0.12     6.38     1.17P    0.16R    0.01  
Boston           29   39   -2      60.53     6.11    -4.71     0.01     0.20     8.15     1.75P    0.15R    0.01  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.31     6.44    13.58     0.14     2.71    35.35    11.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         28   37   +1      62.81     6.50     2.56     0.03     0.90    17.19     4.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Chester          28   36   +4      62.61     6.39     7.14     0.04     0.77    16.48     4.55P    0.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   36   +1      61.23     6.12     4.03     0.00     0.29    10.36     2.71P    0.15R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   36   +0      60.89     6.31     0.36     0.01     0.38    10.07     2.50P    0.17R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd       29   34   -7      55.16     6.02    -9.87     0.00     0.01     1.28     0.28P    1.64R    0.33  
Mansfield        29   32   -4      53.17     6.08    -7.46     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.17P    3.25R    0.47  
Macclesfield     28   32  -10      52.76     6.45   -16.60     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.17P    5.67R    1.21  
Barnet           29   32  -10      50.89     5.75   -15.94     0.00     0.01     0.18     0.04P    6.53R    1.37  
Bury             26   30   -9      55.58     6.99   -11.95     0.00     0.06     3.00     0.65P    3.25R    0.70  
Stockport        27   25  -21      43.69     6.23   -34.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    47.05R   19.77  
Torquay          28   24  -18      42.35     6.14   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.73R   26.07  
Rushden_&_D      28   23  -21      38.88     5.69   -35.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.02R   50.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, York vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.58     6.22    29.01    56.61    98.03    65.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.44     5.73    32.49    13.14    87.83    34.05P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           24   44  +19      78.59     6.19    36.21    19.98    89.62    36.90P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         26   44   +7      69.95     5.86    13.09     0.94    41.30     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        24   43  +13      75.09     6.27    23.74     7.31    74.33    26.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       26   43  +11      68.57     5.92    16.68     0.64    34.55     7.91P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       26   42  +15      70.28     5.82    24.35     1.23    47.72    13.78P    0.00     0.00  
York            26   38  +11      64.08     5.90    17.26     0.10    13.07     3.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       24   35   +0      60.54     6.39     1.32     0.01     5.45     0.95P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking          25   34   +7      60.43     6.23    11.81     0.04     5.29     1.33P    0.07R    0.01  
Aldershot       24   34   -6      56.51     6.46   -10.44     0.01     1.53     0.18P    0.57R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       25   33   +1      54.99     6.17    -1.68     0.00     0.67     0.12P    0.81R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     25   32   -5      53.44     6.23    -7.86     0.00     0.41     0.07P    1.58R    0.06  
Canvey_Island   26   31   -6      51.86     5.86    -7.68     0.00     0.15     0.03P    2.39R    0.10  
Burton          25   31   -6      49.89     5.85   -13.27     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.74R    0.28  
Kidderminster   26   30   -8      47.27     5.65   -14.46     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.93R    0.76  
Scarborough     27   27  -12      43.98     5.51   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.20R    2.51  
Altrincham      26   27  -23      39.92     5.18   -36.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.49R   12.37  
Forest_Green    26   26   -6      44.38     5.72   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.89R    2.52  
Tamworth        25   23  -16      38.55     5.49   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.72R   18.41  
Crawley         24   22   -9      44.20     6.34   -13.81     0.00     0.01     0.00    24.75R    4.38  
Southport       25   20  -25      33.86     5.27   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.77R   58.61