Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 January 2006 at 23:52:41 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2006, West_Ham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.14     4.77    59.15    99.01    99.92   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.14     5.05    38.77     0.66    58.84    96.78    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.84     5.82    29.28     0.32    33.78    90.53    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.67     5.59    18.06     0.01     1.55    31.75    78.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.94     5.62    30.12     0.01     4.04    45.51    85.81     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      56.91     5.47    -1.86     0.00     0.06     2.56    18.04     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.62     6.16    15.66     0.01     1.67    26.55    72.31     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.70     5.85     6.52     0.00     0.12     5.25    29.96     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.44     5.35    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     5.01     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.22     5.47     5.65     0.00     0.01     0.53     7.38     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.26     5.87    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.17     2.35     0.41R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.66     5.14   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.12R    0.00  
Fulham          23   26   -5      44.44     5.36    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.12R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.49     5.79    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.75     1.22R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.50     5.49    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.46     1.17R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.60     5.12   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.43R    0.61  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.81     5.74   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    14.46R    0.28  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.80     5.28   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.69R    1.86  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.10     4.51   -40.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.58R   21.21  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.25     5.03   -39.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.75R   76.00  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Plymouth vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.38     4.81    69.32    95.11    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      96.97     5.64    43.85     4.87    92.67   100.00    94.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      83.05     5.95    25.95     0.01     4.65    95.96    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +13      77.72     5.68    19.13     0.01     0.74    82.59    16.66P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      78.92     6.24    24.81     0.00     1.60    86.24    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.75     5.79    24.38     0.00     0.35    80.45    25.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.50     5.78     7.24     0.00     0.01    17.59     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      68.98     5.67    14.12     0.00     0.01    25.83     6.29P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.75     5.77     1.45     0.00     0.00     4.78     0.73P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      62.02     5.89     0.51     0.00     0.00     3.41     0.47P    0.12R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.79     5.52   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09P    0.60R    0.00  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.41     5.50   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.12P    0.57R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.25     5.45   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.01P    1.84R    0.02  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      56.95     5.72   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.10P    1.27R    0.03  
Coventry         30   35   -4      55.98     5.85    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    1.58R    0.04  
Plymouth         29   35   -8      54.98     5.97   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    2.95R    0.07  
Southampton      29   34   -3      55.57     5.88    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    2.27R    0.09  
Hull             30   33   -5      53.00     5.65    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.45R    0.17  
Derby            30   32   -7      51.06     5.65   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     8.88R    0.28  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      45.94     5.33   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.67R    2.67  
Brighton         30   28  -17      46.86     5.80   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.90R    2.80  
Leicester        30   26  -11      43.41     5.55   -17.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.63R    6.66  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.72     5.53   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.60R    9.53  
Crewe            30   22  -30      34.39     4.88   -49.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.59R   77.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Blackpool vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.81     6.41    25.37    31.03    55.98    95.75    67.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        29   51  +16      81.59     6.00    27.37    24.60    48.80    95.59    62.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   49  +22      82.33     6.24    35.87    31.12    56.48    95.95    69.08P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.62     6.37    15.85     7.45    19.24    80.32    33.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   47   +5      72.79     6.15     8.63     1.95     6.60    58.20    16.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        28   45  +13      72.43     6.49    17.18     2.67     7.84    58.13    21.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    29   44   +5      69.50     6.16     8.43     0.69     2.52    38.10    10.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham          29   43   -4      65.51     6.12    -5.23     0.12     0.45    15.64     2.81P    0.58R    0.01  
Nottingham      28   40   +6      67.73     6.33    10.60     0.30     1.47    28.89     8.43P    0.20R    0.00  
Bournemouth     28   39   +2      63.12     6.36     1.14     0.06     0.38    10.42     2.56P    1.69R    0.04  
Bradford        29   38   +3      63.11     5.98     5.85     0.01     0.15     9.14     2.46P    1.12R    0.03  
Doncaster       28   37   -3      59.52     6.16    -6.20     0.01     0.02     3.46     0.65P    6.12R    0.20  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.12     6.04   -11.43     0.00     0.03     1.80     0.39P    9.48R    0.51  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.50     6.05    -8.81     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.24P   13.65R    0.76  
Tranmere        29   35   +1      60.11     6.09     4.00     0.00     0.04     4.00     1.09P    4.39R    0.23  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.10     6.27    -9.56     0.00     0.01     1.52     0.27P   12.99R    0.84  
Gillingham      28   34   -9      53.25     6.06   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   31.24R    3.68  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.93     6.30    -9.88     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.20P   18.05R    1.81  
Hartlepool      29   33   -7      53.65     6.01   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.09P   26.62R    2.94  
Blackpool       29   32   -8      52.86     5.99   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   31.40R    3.62  
Bristol_City    29   32  -11      51.59     5.91   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00    40.66R    6.15  
Rotherham       29   28   -8      48.89     6.04   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   55.92R   12.39  
Swindon_Town    28   28  -10      48.76     6.08   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    57.77R   13.94  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      42.63     6.01   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   88.01R   52.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, Torquay vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          28   52  +21      85.08     6.27    35.10    45.20    84.90    99.30    88.72P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   51  +20      82.36     5.98    32.70    25.56    73.37    98.51    81.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          29   51  +18      80.50     6.03    27.06    15.78    61.22    96.70    71.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.51     6.49    11.71     5.00    26.96    82.96    38.26P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      28   46  +16      77.16     6.26    26.10     7.76    39.73    90.47    55.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.22     6.09     2.14     0.12     1.89    30.59     7.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington       29   41   +6      65.27     6.13     7.53     0.06     1.62    27.42     8.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   41   -6      64.77     6.34    -7.87     0.08     1.20    22.91     4.43P    0.06R    0.00  
Peterborough     29   40   +9      67.47     6.13    15.31     0.20     3.71    41.56    14.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County     29   40   -7      59.86     5.89   -11.99     0.00     0.17     5.99     1.01P    0.20R    0.01  
Boston           29   39   -2      60.45     6.01    -4.85     0.01     0.21     7.81     1.61P    0.19R    0.03  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.23     6.49    13.43     0.12     2.75    34.92    11.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale         28   37   +1      62.92     6.47     2.68     0.05     0.80    17.43     4.13P    0.07R    0.01  
Chester          28   36   +4      62.48     6.35     6.91     0.04     0.78    16.29     4.62P    0.11R    0.03  
Lincoln_C        29   36   +1      61.29     6.17     4.00     0.01     0.29    10.66     2.61P    0.19R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       28   36   +0      60.98     6.35     0.53     0.01     0.34    10.62     2.45P    0.20R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd       29   34   -7      55.06     6.07    -9.90     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.23P    1.76R    0.28  
Mansfield        29   32   -4      53.26     6.15    -7.36     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.11P    3.59R    0.61  
Macclesfield     28   32  -10      52.92     6.40   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.12P    5.61R    1.32  
Barnet           29   32  -10      50.96     5.79   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    7.21R    1.58  
Bury             26   30   -9      55.29     6.88   -12.32     0.00     0.04     2.79     0.59P    3.60R    0.84  
Stockport        27   25  -21      44.06     6.36   -34.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   45.43R   19.36  
Torquay          28   24  -18      42.49     6.11   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.36R   25.80  
Rushden_&_D      28   23  -21      39.07     5.75   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.37R   50.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 January 2006, York vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.56     6.12    29.00    57.12    97.95    65.44P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.45     5.73    32.52    13.08    88.25    34.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           24   44  +19      78.56     6.20    36.28    19.61    89.89    37.30P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         26   44   +7      70.04     5.92    13.23     1.01    41.98     9.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        24   43  +13      74.96     6.31    23.59     7.12    73.78    26.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       26   43  +11      68.64     5.90    16.83     0.70    35.03     7.75P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       26   42  +15      70.12     5.83    24.12     1.25    46.34    13.53P    0.00     0.00  
York            26   38  +11      63.98     5.92    17.09     0.04    13.07     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       24   35   +0      60.68     6.50     1.54     0.03     5.64     0.97P    0.14R    0.00  
Woking          25   34   +7      60.29     6.23    11.59     0.04     5.38     1.33P    0.06R    0.00  
Aldershot       24   34   -6      56.36     6.53   -10.66     0.00     1.46     0.20P    0.54R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       25   33   +1      54.96     6.12    -1.67     0.00     0.72     0.13P    0.61R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     25   32   -5      53.53     6.15    -7.65     0.00     0.35     0.05P    1.35R    0.05  
Canvey_Island   26   31   -6      51.88     5.86    -7.75     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.52R    0.12  
Burton          25   31   -6      49.80     5.97   -13.36     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.36R    0.35  
Kidderminster   26   30   -8      47.52     5.66   -14.18     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.05R    0.73  
Scarborough     27   27  -12      43.95     5.49   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.68R    2.90  
Altrincham      26   27  -23      40.25     5.15   -36.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.05R   11.52  
Forest_Green    26   26   -6      44.33     5.68   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.07R    2.67  
Tamworth        25   23  -16      38.58     5.54   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.53R   18.09  
Crawley         24   22   -9      43.92     6.32   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.91R    4.83  
Southport       25   20  -25      33.93     5.36   -40.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.12R   58.73