Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 January 2006 at 23:52:39 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2006, West_Ham vs Fulham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.26     4.72    59.35    98.89    99.89   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.22     5.07    38.97     0.69    60.37    96.99    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.67     5.84    29.02     0.41    32.29    90.14    98.87     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.65     5.56    18.03     0.00     1.62    32.12    79.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.69     5.71    29.83     0.01     3.90    44.18    84.52     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      56.70     5.51    -2.20     0.00     0.06     2.45    18.02     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.60     6.15    15.54     0.00     1.72    27.73    72.32     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.75     5.89     6.66     0.00     0.14     5.20    30.92     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham        23   32   -1      52.32     5.37    -2.11     0.00     0.00     0.39     5.05     0.07R    0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.09     5.55     5.37     0.00     0.00     0.57     7.49     0.01R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.35     5.82    -9.32     0.00     0.01     0.19     2.29     0.36R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.94     5.16   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     2.90R    0.01  
Fulham          23   26   -5      44.42     5.41    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26     2.23R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.58     5.86    -6.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.69     1.44R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.36     5.44    -6.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     1.42R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.65     5.16   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.09R    0.50  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.67     5.71   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    15.18R    0.32  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.94     5.28   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.66R    1.97  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.25     4.60   -40.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.03R   21.27  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.40     5.06   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   75.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Stoke vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.34     4.88    69.32    94.71    99.94   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.21     5.61    44.21     5.25    92.87   100.00    95.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      83.17     5.94    26.17     0.04     4.50    96.36    30.27P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +13      77.78     5.60    19.24     0.00     0.58    83.36    15.85P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      78.92     6.31    24.87     0.00     1.76    86.31    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.76     5.84    24.39     0.00     0.34    80.48    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.41     5.77     7.11     0.00     0.00    17.11     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      68.82     5.66    13.90     0.00     0.00    25.34     6.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.87     5.86     1.58     0.00     0.00     4.92     0.79P    0.07R    0.01  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.73     5.87     0.06     0.00     0.00     3.10     0.57P    0.11R    0.01  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.76     5.54   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.07P    0.64R    0.00  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.39     5.50   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.07P    0.55R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.34     5.47   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P    1.90R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      57.03     5.68   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.06P    1.26R    0.00  
Coventry         30   35   -4      55.88     5.86    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.10P    1.90R    0.04  
Southampton      29   34   -3      55.39     5.89    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P    2.46R    0.05  
Hull             30   33   -5      52.96     5.70    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    4.74R    0.15  
Derby            30   32   -7      50.82     5.64   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   10.85R    0.41  
Plymouth         28   32   -9      53.25     6.11   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    6.48R    0.12  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.25     5.36   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.37R    2.58  
Brighton         30   28  -17      47.03     5.79   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.18R    2.72  
Leicester        29   26  -10      44.72     5.77   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.37R    4.61  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.78     5.49   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.91R   10.09  
Crewe            30   22  -30      34.35     4.80   -49.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.24R   79.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Yeovil vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.61     6.44    25.08    29.96    54.78    95.53    65.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        29   51  +16      81.59     5.94    27.37    24.57    49.05    95.64    63.22P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   49  +22      82.66     6.37    36.42    33.41    58.59    95.92    70.45P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.33     6.45    15.39     6.93    18.29    78.66    32.35P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   47   +5      72.73     6.13     8.53     1.80     6.39    58.51    16.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        28   45  +13      72.46     6.43    17.18     2.27     7.83    58.84    21.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    29   44   +5      69.15     6.15     7.90     0.56     2.39    35.62     9.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham          29   43   -4      65.49     6.11    -5.21     0.07     0.46    15.49     3.06P    0.58R    0.02  
Nottingham      28   40   +6      67.44     6.38    10.24     0.27     1.36    27.93     8.09P    0.32R    0.00  
Bournemouth     28   39   +2      63.27     6.47     1.35     0.09     0.49    11.47     2.87P    1.53R    0.01  
Bradford        29   38   +3      62.98     5.99     5.71     0.03     0.15     9.04     2.38P    1.39R    0.04  
Doncaster       27   37   -1      61.42     6.55    -3.19     0.03     0.14     7.24     1.71P    3.86R    0.13  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.28     6.04   -11.28     0.00     0.01     1.74     0.28P    8.95R    0.55  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.72     5.90    -8.48     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.18P   11.47R    0.60  
Tranmere        29   35   +1      60.12     6.04     3.93     0.00     0.01     3.94     0.97P    3.90R    0.15  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.24     6.27    -9.33     0.01     0.03     1.68     0.36P   12.18R    0.75  
Gillingham      28   34   -9      53.31     6.05   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P   30.28R    3.56  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.93     6.32    -9.83     0.01     0.01     0.82     0.17P   17.27R    1.92  
Hartlepool      29   33   -7      53.74     5.92   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   25.02R    2.46  
Bristol_City    29   32  -11      51.51     6.00   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   40.03R    6.32  
Blackpool       28   29  -10      50.59     6.25   -15.13     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.04P   44.88R    8.37  
Rotherham       29   28   -8      48.81     5.97   -12.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   54.95R   12.40  
Swindon_Town    28   28  -10      48.66     6.10   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   57.66R   13.58  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      43.01     6.04   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   85.67R   49.14  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Wrexham vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          28   52  +21      85.29     6.27    35.60    39.56    82.85    99.26    87.69P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   51  +20      82.58     5.98    33.02    21.52    71.47    98.47    80.13P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   51  +19      83.52     6.22    30.53    26.55    73.97    98.82    81.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.35     6.46    11.46     3.52    22.48    83.19    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      27   45  +16      78.01     6.45    26.76     8.47    39.63    92.47    56.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.56     6.10     2.62     0.07     1.59    34.17     8.65P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       29   41   +6      65.20     6.16     7.41     0.06     1.30    27.92     7.60P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   41   -6      64.79     6.28    -7.76     0.03     0.94    24.05     4.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     29   40   +9      67.18     6.13    14.94     0.13     2.45    41.26    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           29   39   -2      60.36     6.00    -4.96     0.00     0.12     8.05     1.59P    0.16R    0.03  
Notts_County     28   39   -7      59.69     6.16   -12.58     0.01     0.20     6.83     1.31P    0.23R    0.02  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      65.97     6.42    13.02     0.06     1.78    33.76    10.03P    0.03R    0.01  
Lincoln_C        29   36   +1      61.21     6.18     3.88     0.01     0.23    11.27     2.88P    0.17R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       28   36   +0      60.80     6.30     0.21     0.00     0.20    10.51     2.36P    0.26R    0.03  
Rochdale         27   34   -1      60.66     6.74    -0.32     0.01     0.41    11.87     2.69P    0.33R    0.06  
Oxford_Utd       29   34   -7      55.41     6.02    -9.40     0.00     0.01     1.74     0.29P    1.42R    0.20  
Chester          27   33   +3      60.11     6.62     4.66     0.01     0.31    10.28     2.74P    0.41R    0.01  
Mansfield        28   32   -3      54.94     6.38    -5.89     0.00     0.02     1.85     0.41P    1.92R    0.33  
Macclesfield     28   32  -10      52.88     6.45   -16.45     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.17P    5.32R    1.24  
Barnet           29   32  -10      50.90     5.78   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    6.74R    1.44  
Bury             26   30   -9      55.61     6.89   -11.78     0.00     0.04     2.98     0.56P    3.32R    0.73  
Torquay          27   24  -16      44.42     6.47   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.65R   16.94  
Rushden_&_D      28   23  -21      39.16     5.72   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.58R   44.39  
Stockport        26   22  -22      41.01     6.49   -37.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.47R   34.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, York vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.30     6.13    28.73    54.35    96.97    62.53P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.34     5.74    32.55    12.46    84.54    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           24   44  +19      78.49     6.13    36.43    18.86    87.38    34.85P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        24   43  +13      74.98     6.14    23.64     7.01    69.90    24.33P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       25   42  +18      74.30     5.93    31.38     5.39    70.11    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       25   42  +11      69.13     6.14    17.06     0.98    32.63     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         25   41   +6      68.32     6.21    12.13     0.59    27.00     5.51P    0.00     0.00  
York            25   37  +11      66.34     6.12    20.26     0.27    19.95     5.35P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       24   35   +0      60.60     6.47     1.33     0.04     4.37     0.77P    0.04R    0.01  
Woking          24   33   +7      60.21     6.45    10.86     0.05     4.47     1.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       25   33   +1      54.68     6.04    -2.21     0.00     0.43     0.07P    0.47R    0.00  
Aldershot       23   33   -6      57.24     6.71    -9.78     0.01     1.70     0.18P    0.29R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     25   32   -5      53.54     6.06    -7.68     0.00     0.25     0.07P    0.95R    0.03  
Burton          24   31   -5      51.31     6.18   -12.16     0.00     0.15     0.03P    2.49R    0.08  
Canvey_Island   25   30   -6      51.75     6.12    -8.59     0.00     0.15     0.04P    2.06R    0.06  
Kidderminster   26   30   -8      47.55     5.65   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.17R    0.34  
Altrincham      26   27  -23      40.30     5.19   -36.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.13R    6.88  
Forest_Green    25   26   -4      47.37     5.97    -7.69     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.74R    0.59  
Scarborough     26   24  -15      39.93     5.42   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.40R    6.64  
Crawley         24   22   -9      44.49     6.25   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.93R    2.29  
Tamworth        24   20  -18      35.35     5.60   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.94R   29.28  
Southport       24   19  -25      32.86     5.41   -44.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.34R   53.80