Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 January 2006 at 01:12:46 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2006, Manchester_U vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.25     4.74    59.33    98.91    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.11     5.05    38.82     0.74    59.68    96.73    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.69     5.81    29.06     0.34    32.66    90.25    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.90     5.57    18.32     0.01     1.84    33.24    80.19     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.82     5.66    29.96     0.00     3.94    44.88    85.33     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      56.90     5.46    -1.84     0.00     0.05     2.35    18.59     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.59     6.10    15.61     0.01     1.82    26.51    72.22     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.65     5.88     6.46     0.00     0.10     5.07    29.91     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.12     5.44     5.48     0.00     0.00     0.54     7.18     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      50.95     5.62    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.22     3.71     0.17R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.23     5.81    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.13     2.31     0.41R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.66     5.19   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     3.12R    0.01  
Fulham          22   26   -4      45.54     5.69    -7.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.51     1.71R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.29     5.82    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.62     1.39R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.39     5.48    -6.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.51     1.25R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.64     5.13   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.96R    0.61  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.87     5.73   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    14.29R    0.24  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.89     5.30   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.70R    2.20  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.33     4.52   -40.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.41R   19.92  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.33     5.09   -39.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   76.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Stoke vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.47     4.81    69.44    95.13    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.00     5.63    43.91     4.85    92.56   100.00    94.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      83.07     6.00    25.98     0.01     4.92    95.94    30.58P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +13      77.61     5.57    18.96     0.01     0.66    82.81    15.88P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      78.93     6.26    24.82     0.00     1.50    86.67    23.24P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.73     5.81    24.31     0.00     0.38    80.53    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.25     5.71     6.78     0.00     0.01    16.18     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      69.05     5.68    14.23     0.00     0.00    26.68     6.36P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.89     5.74     1.69     0.00     0.01     4.83     0.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.56     5.89    -0.19     0.00     0.00     3.06     0.51P    0.11R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.80     5.54   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.07P    0.64R    0.00  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.58     5.57   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.10P    0.52R    0.01  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.29     5.49   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.84R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      57.02     5.67   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.04P    1.20R    0.01  
Coventry         30   35   -4      56.05     5.83    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.06P    1.76R    0.04  
Southampton      29   34   -3      55.92     5.92    -5.02     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    2.07R    0.03  
Hull             30   33   -5      53.01     5.64    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.35R    0.11  
Derby            30   32   -7      51.09     5.67   -12.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     9.98R    0.28  
Plymouth         28   32   -9      53.28     6.13   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    6.39R    0.17  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.04     5.34   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.29R    2.94  
Brighton         30   28  -17      46.87     5.81   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.80R    2.89  
Leicester        29   26  -10      44.34     5.68   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.10R    4.95  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.84     5.48   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.74R    9.79  
Crewe            30   22  -30      34.35     4.85   -49.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.16R   78.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Yeovil vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.61     6.38    25.08    30.24    55.41    95.61    66.60P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        29   51  +16      81.59     5.90    27.34    24.86    49.31    95.70    63.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   49  +22      82.37     6.32    35.85    32.47    57.47    95.64    69.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.37     6.34    15.37     6.96    18.23    79.00    32.03P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   47   +5      72.77     6.14     8.59     1.80     6.34    58.26    16.66P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        28   45  +13      72.50     6.46    17.32     2.54     8.22    58.74    22.54P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield    29   44   +5      69.32     6.12     8.09     0.65     2.46    36.49     9.66P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham          29   43   -4      65.63     6.20    -5.00     0.07     0.47    16.39     2.97P    0.54R    0.00  
Nottingham      28   40   +6      67.26     6.39     9.98     0.29     1.29    26.29     7.42P    0.27R    0.01  
Bournemouth     28   39   +2      63.33     6.45     1.49     0.06     0.36    11.59     2.85P    1.56R    0.04  
Bradford        29   38   +3      62.86     6.06     5.49     0.03     0.14     8.85     2.40P    1.35R    0.04  
Doncaster       27   37   -1      61.59     6.56    -2.92     0.03     0.19     7.38     1.76P    3.62R    0.16  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.04     6.12   -11.56     0.00     0.01     1.70     0.32P    9.76R    0.49  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.73     5.95    -8.45     0.01     0.01     1.15     0.24P   11.64R    0.68  
Tranmere        29   35   +1      59.93     6.06     3.67     0.01     0.05     3.61     0.97P    4.37R    0.14  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.33     6.28    -9.12     0.01     0.02     1.77     0.36P   11.81R    0.70  
Gillingham      28   34   -9      53.41     6.07   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.04P   29.47R    3.52  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.80     6.25   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.14P   17.64R    1.83  
Hartlepool      29   33   -7      53.73     5.98   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P   25.68R    2.56  
Bristol_City    29   32  -11      51.56     5.91   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   40.09R    6.12  
Blackpool       28   29  -10      50.53     6.29   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   45.60R    8.85  
Rotherham       29   28   -8      48.81     5.98   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    55.38R   12.53  
Swindon_Town    28   28  -10      48.97     6.15   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   55.28R   13.14  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      43.05     6.08   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    85.88R   49.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Wrexham vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          28   52  +21      85.30     6.19    35.55    38.79    83.06    99.45    87.58P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   51  +20      82.56     6.00    33.01    21.52    69.97    98.64    79.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   51  +19      83.60     6.24    30.65    26.95    74.17    98.88    82.05P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.47     6.39    11.66     3.54    22.08    83.61    34.83P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      27   45  +16      78.32     6.48    27.15     8.80    41.13    92.50    58.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.34     6.08     2.27     0.07     1.53    32.44     7.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       29   41   +6      65.11     6.15     7.31     0.06     1.17    27.49     7.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   41   -6      64.87     6.32    -7.66     0.04     0.92    24.55     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     29   40   +9      67.17     6.14    14.91     0.09     2.38    41.44    13.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Boston           29   39   -2      60.39     6.00    -4.98     0.01     0.15     8.04     1.52P    0.16R    0.01  
Notts_County     28   39   -7      59.73     6.08   -12.44     0.01     0.16     6.64     1.18P    0.20R    0.00  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.21     6.49    13.40     0.09     2.19    35.47    10.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   36   +1      61.14     6.11     3.83     0.00     0.17    10.71     2.69P    0.14R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       28   36   +0      60.67     6.29     0.04     0.01     0.21     9.90     2.27P    0.20R    0.01  
Rochdale         27   34   -1      60.68     6.73    -0.36     0.00     0.29    11.46     2.42P    0.35R    0.08  
Oxford_Utd       29   34   -7      55.32     6.04    -9.58     0.00     0.01     1.61     0.27P    1.52R    0.21  
Chester          27   33   +3      60.27     6.72     4.99     0.03     0.36    11.14     3.07P    0.38R    0.04  
Mansfield        28   32   -3      54.82     6.38    -6.02     0.00     0.02     1.85     0.39P    2.00R    0.26  
Macclesfield     28   32  -10      52.82     6.42   -16.44     0.00     0.01     0.92     0.15P    5.39R    1.21  
Barnet           29   32  -10      51.14     5.87   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    6.49R    1.32  
Bury             26   30   -9      55.55     6.85   -11.92     0.00     0.03     2.90     0.47P    3.05R    0.60  
Torquay          27   24  -16      44.40     6.43   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.59R   16.14  
Rushden_&_D      28   23  -21      38.94     5.75   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.19R   45.48  
Stockport        26   22  -22      40.83     6.51   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.27R   34.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, York vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.42     6.03    28.95    54.94    97.55    63.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.41     5.66    32.65    12.23    85.58    31.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           24   44  +19      78.48     6.18    36.25    19.04    87.25    34.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        24   43  +13      75.28     6.25    24.12     7.36    71.73    26.13P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       25   42  +18      74.09     5.85    31.03     4.78    69.42    24.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       25   42  +11      68.94     6.06    16.75     0.84    31.95     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         25   41   +6      68.22     6.19    11.95     0.59    26.80     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
York            25   37  +11      65.88     6.11    19.58     0.17    17.99     4.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       24   35   +0      60.70     6.37     1.57     0.03     4.17     0.69P    0.03R    0.00  
Woking          24   33   +7      60.25     6.43    10.88     0.03     4.66     1.03P    0.07R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       25   33   +1      54.64     6.10    -2.22     0.00     0.54     0.12P    0.42R    0.01  
Aldershot       23   33   -6      57.36     6.73    -9.63     0.01     1.78     0.17P    0.41R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     25   32   -5      53.51     6.14    -7.69     0.00     0.30     0.08P    0.93R    0.01  
Burton          24   31   -5      51.49     6.20   -11.80     0.00     0.17     0.02P    2.02R    0.07  
Canvey_Island   25   30   -6      51.78     6.10    -8.43     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.25R    0.07  
Kidderminster   26   30   -8      47.40     5.61   -14.36     0.00     0.01     0.01P    6.17R    0.34  
Altrincham      26   27  -23      40.21     5.14   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.35R    6.74  
Forest_Green    25   26   -4      47.36     6.08    -7.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.98R    0.56  
Scarborough     26   24  -15      40.10     5.41   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.12R    6.63  
Crawley         24   22   -9      44.32     6.38   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.91R    2.85  
Tamworth        24   20  -18      35.39     5.59   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.56R   29.09  
Southport       24   19  -25      32.97     5.46   -44.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.79R   53.61