Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 23 January 2006 at 00:27:21 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2006, Manchester_U vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         23   62  +37      96.28     4.74    59.42    98.88    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    23   48  +22      78.19     5.08    38.92     0.69    59.22    96.89    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   44  +17      75.72     5.88    29.10     0.41    33.09    90.02    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   41  +12      65.78     5.55    18.15     0.01     1.86    33.09    79.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   37  +18      66.94     5.63    30.16     0.00     3.98    45.55    85.58     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           23   37   -1      56.82     5.49    -1.89     0.00     0.04     2.46    18.41     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          21   36   +7      64.41     6.12    15.28     0.00     1.75    25.66    71.58     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   34   +2      58.76     5.91     6.57     0.00     0.14     5.36    30.73     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    23   31   +3      53.12     5.49     5.50     0.00     0.00     0.52     7.29     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      50.91     5.65    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.26     3.64     0.18R    0.00  
Charlton        21   29   -4      49.37     5.88    -9.25     0.00     0.01     0.15     2.48     0.28R    0.00  
Everton         23   29  -15      43.83     5.17   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     3.01R    0.00  
Fulham          22   26   -4      45.41     5.68    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.51     1.73R    0.01  
Newcastle       22   26   -5      46.41     5.79    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.71     1.34R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     23   26   -6      46.18     5.44    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     1.44R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   23   22  -11      35.68     5.17   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.52R    0.55  
Middlesbrough   22   22  -13      39.94     5.73   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06    13.91R    0.26  
Birmingham      22   19  -11      33.86     5.28   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.73R    2.06  
Portsmouth      23   17  -23      27.25     4.59   -40.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.29R   21.29  
Sunderland      22    9  -23      21.41     5.14   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.54R   75.83  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Stoke vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          30   73  +46     109.71     4.78    69.87    95.56    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      30   66  +29      97.07     5.63    43.97     4.42    92.95   100.00    95.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            29   54  +17      83.11     5.96    26.07     0.02     4.64    96.22    30.59P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +13      77.66     5.67    19.02     0.00     0.65    83.00    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      78.69     6.24    24.53     0.00     1.45    85.67    22.15P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   47  +15      76.43     5.86    23.87     0.00     0.34    79.16    24.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   44   +5      67.35     5.76     7.04     0.00     0.00    17.30     3.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    30   43   +8      69.02     5.68    14.23     0.00     0.00    27.46     6.80P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            30   41   +2      62.72     5.73     1.44     0.00     0.00     4.73     0.82P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          30   39   -1      61.78     5.91     0.14     0.00     0.00     3.34     0.63P    0.12R    0.00  
Norwich          30   39   -5      57.65     5.43   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.07P    0.61R    0.01  
Queens_PR        30   39   -7      58.44     5.49   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.09P    0.57R    0.00  
Stoke            30   38   -9      55.25     5.54   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    2.04R    0.00  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      57.05     5.67   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P    1.22R    0.02  
Coventry         30   35   -4      56.10     5.78    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.05P    1.47R    0.01  
Southampton      29   34   -3      55.82     5.89    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P    2.28R    0.04  
Hull             30   33   -5      53.14     5.67    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.44R    0.12  
Derby            30   32   -7      50.98     5.66   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.44R    0.39  
Plymouth         28   32   -9      53.42     6.17   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.01P    6.53R    0.14  
Sheffield_W      30   30  -13      46.22     5.33   -20.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.51R    2.59  
Brighton         30   28  -17      46.93     5.74   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.18R    2.77  
Leicester        29   26  -10      44.57     5.78   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.64R    4.88  
Millwall         30   26  -20      42.63     5.47   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.70R   10.17  
Crewe            30   22  -30      34.32     4.83   -49.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.18R   78.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Yeovil vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Colchester      28   52  +16      82.58     6.30    25.03    29.76    54.74    95.76    66.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        29   51  +16      81.78     5.93    27.67    25.67    49.99    95.98    63.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         28   49  +22      82.46     6.24    36.14    32.24    57.60    96.04    69.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   48  +10      76.31     6.37    15.29     6.87    18.12    78.56    31.64P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   47   +5      72.76     6.21     8.61     1.89     6.62    57.80    16.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        28   45  +13      72.64     6.39    17.52     2.52     8.03    59.72    22.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    29   44   +5      69.31     6.13     8.16     0.53     2.30    36.62     9.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Oldham          29   43   -4      65.48     6.12    -5.16     0.16     0.56    15.18     3.06P    0.53R    0.01  
Nottingham      28   40   +6      67.42     6.40    10.23     0.24     1.29    27.59     8.12P    0.23R    0.01  
Bournemouth     28   39   +2      63.22     6.46     1.25     0.06     0.36    11.21     2.75P    1.70R    0.03  
Bradford        29   38   +3      63.04     5.98     5.77     0.01     0.16     9.01     2.42P    1.29R    0.02  
Doncaster       27   37   -1      61.20     6.50    -3.54     0.04     0.13     6.46     1.43P    3.90R    0.15  
Yeovil          29   37   -8      58.29     6.04   -11.24     0.00     0.02     1.70     0.24P    8.71R    0.58  
Port_Vale       29   36   -5      56.72     5.99    -8.46     0.00     0.01     1.17     0.28P   12.01R    0.69  
Tranmere        29   35   +1      59.99     6.07     3.75     0.00     0.02     3.85     0.90P    4.22R    0.19  
Walsall         28   35   -5      57.30     6.27    -9.22     0.01     0.03     1.74     0.36P   11.91R    0.69  
Gillingham      28   34   -9      53.43     6.05   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   29.35R    3.35  
Scunthorpe      28   33   -6      55.81     6.34   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.13P   17.86R    1.83  
Hartlepool      29   33   -7      53.64     5.97   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P   25.89R    2.81  
Bristol_City    29   32  -11      51.34     5.91   -17.95     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   41.39R    6.55  
Blackpool       28   29  -10      50.71     6.24   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   44.12R    8.05  
Rotherham       29   28   -8      48.96     5.98   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   53.62R   11.61  
Swindon_Town    28   28  -10      48.82     6.17   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   56.62R   13.04  
Milton_Keynes   28   24  -15      42.81     5.96   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.57R   50.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, Wrexham vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          28   52  +21      85.08     6.24    35.25    38.03    82.29    99.17    86.97P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         29   51  +20      82.71     5.95    33.27    22.71    71.56    98.81    80.67P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   51  +19      83.45     6.25    30.43    26.69    73.71    98.56    81.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    28   49   +9      75.21     6.44    11.26     3.19    21.72    82.55    33.72P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      27   45  +16      78.20     6.47    26.95     8.90    40.54    92.55    57.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       29   43   +2      66.51     6.11     2.54     0.07     1.49    33.12     7.86P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington       29   41   +6      65.16     6.21     7.38     0.04     1.33    27.69     7.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   28   41   -6      64.84     6.34    -7.72     0.04     1.10    23.84     4.51P    0.01R    0.01  
Peterborough     29   40   +9      67.56     6.09    15.45     0.14     2.53    43.12    14.27P    0.00     0.00  
Boston           29   39   -2      60.11     6.07    -5.37     0.01     0.15     7.41     1.50P    0.20R    0.01  
Notts_County     28   39   -7      59.44     6.08   -12.90     0.00     0.10     5.88     1.12P    0.23R    0.02  
Wrexham          28   38   +8      66.37     6.50    13.69     0.15     2.39    36.36    11.70P    0.02R    0.00  
Lincoln_C        29   36   +1      61.25     6.18     3.98     0.01     0.21    11.02     2.79P    0.18R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       28   36   +0      60.84     6.36     0.32     0.01     0.27    10.55     2.43P    0.20R    0.01  
Rochdale         27   34   -1      60.70     6.78    -0.29     0.00     0.30    11.85     2.57P    0.40R    0.06  
Oxford_Utd       29   34   -7      55.24     6.07    -9.70     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.32P    1.75R    0.31  
Chester          27   33   +3      60.11     6.65     4.71     0.02     0.27    10.29     2.67P    0.48R    0.07  
Mansfield        28   32   -3      54.80     6.36    -6.06     0.00     0.02     1.75     0.38P    2.10R    0.33  
Macclesfield     28   32  -10      52.87     6.36   -16.41     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.16P    5.25R    1.15  
Barnet           29   32  -10      51.04     5.80   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    6.52R    1.41  
Bury             26   30   -9      55.60     6.87   -11.88     0.00     0.02     2.91     0.48P    3.27R    0.87  
Torquay          27   24  -16      44.49     6.46   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.09R   15.96  
Rushden_&_D      28   23  -21      39.36     5.80   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.73R   43.27  
Stockport        26   22  -22      40.77     6.53   -38.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.55R   36.49  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2006, York vs Grays; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      25   55  +19      84.32     6.13    28.69    54.17    97.08    62.61P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          26   47  +19      77.29     5.67    32.38    11.78    84.77    31.45P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           24   44  +19      78.72     6.19    36.70    20.18    87.97    36.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        24   43  +13      74.98     6.17    23.67     6.66    69.99    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       25   42  +18      74.26     5.90    31.27     5.32    69.60    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       25   42  +11      69.36     6.14    17.38     0.95    34.41     7.65P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         25   41   +6      68.29     6.19    12.06     0.63    26.95     5.61P    0.00     0.00  
York            25   37  +11      66.14     6.13    19.99     0.26    18.62     4.45P    0.00     0.00  
Gravesend       24   35   +0      60.43     6.36     1.12     0.03     3.81     0.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Woking          24   33   +7      60.11     6.40    10.67     0.03     4.32     0.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       25   33   +1      54.74     6.02    -2.05     0.00     0.47     0.06P    0.47R    0.01  
Aldershot       23   33   -6      57.22     6.62    -9.91     0.00     1.51     0.20P    0.38R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     25   32   -5      53.74     6.13    -7.33     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.97R    0.01  
Burton          24   31   -5      51.26     6.15   -12.10     0.00     0.07     0.02P    2.40R    0.09  
Canvey_Island   25   30   -6      51.66     6.09    -8.66     0.00     0.10     0.03P    2.17R    0.08  
Kidderminster   26   30   -8      47.37     5.64   -14.38     0.00     0.01     0.01P    6.51R    0.32  
Altrincham      26   27  -23      40.18     5.11   -36.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.04R    6.71  
Forest_Green    25   26   -4      47.51     5.97    -7.46     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.14R    0.49  
Scarborough     26   24  -15      40.15     5.50   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.41R    6.74  
Crawley         24   22   -9      44.30     6.35   -13.71     0.00     0.01     0.01P   20.41R    2.88  
Tamworth        24   20  -18      35.25     5.56   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.48R   29.88  
Southport       24   19  -25      33.02     5.41   -43.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.53R   52.79