Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 18 January 2006 at 23:53:08 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 January 2006, Wigan vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         22   61  +37      98.89     4.67    63.73    99.59    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    22   45  +21      75.95     5.41    36.87     0.12    37.41    90.16    99.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   44  +18      77.56     6.16    31.06     0.28    48.66    91.19    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   40  +12      67.47     5.77    20.24     0.01     3.14    37.76    87.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   37  +19      70.03     5.80    33.81     0.00     9.84    61.98    94.22     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           22   34   -2      54.97     5.74    -3.38     0.00     0.02     1.00    13.37     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          20   33   +5      62.59     6.46    12.90     0.00     0.88    14.49    62.15     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   31   +5      54.33     5.76     7.18     0.00     0.00     0.81    13.32     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       21   31   +1      56.49     6.23     4.62     0.00     0.08     2.31    21.43     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      50.84     5.60    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.14     3.82     0.14R    0.00  
Charlton        20   28   -4      46.83     5.91   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.47     1.29R    0.00  
Fulham          22   26   -4      45.46     5.67    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58     1.63R    0.00  
Newcastle       21   26   -4      48.90     6.17    -4.35     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.60     0.67R    0.00  
Everton         22   26  -16      40.91     5.29   -26.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.77R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     22   25   -6      45.91     5.61    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.56     1.61R    0.00  
West_Bromwich   22   22  -10      38.54     5.45   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.25R    0.20  
Middlesbrough   21   22  -12      41.81     6.06   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     8.68R    0.11  
Portsmouth      22   17  -18      29.66     5.06   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.53R    7.11  
Birmingham      21   16  -16      30.23     5.28   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.12R    6.16  
Sunderland      21    6  -24      18.93     5.26   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.28R   86.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Watford vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          29   72  +46     110.32     5.21    69.88    96.06    99.95   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      29   63  +27      96.44     5.86    43.62     3.92    92.92   100.00    95.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   51  +14      81.51     6.24    22.90     0.01     4.03    93.42    28.31P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +12      76.30     5.90    18.43     0.00     0.76    78.51    17.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      77.97     6.55    22.88     0.00     2.06    83.36    22.41P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   44  +13      74.74     6.10    21.84     0.00     0.26    71.22    21.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   42   +8      70.02     5.95    15.00     0.00     0.01    38.73     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   41   +4      65.64     5.98     5.83     0.00     0.00    14.38     2.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   39   +1      63.45     6.14     2.67     0.00     0.00     8.32     1.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Norwich          29   39   -4      58.98     5.81    -9.22     0.00     0.01     1.60     0.31P    0.54R    0.01  
Queens_PR        29   39   -5      59.60     5.87    -9.85     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.32P    0.46R    0.01  
Luton            29   38   +0      61.47     5.97    -0.07     0.00     0.00     4.45     0.69P    0.18R    0.00  
Stoke            29   38   -6      58.14     5.78   -11.28     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.13P    0.68R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34   -1      58.34     6.15    -1.47     0.00     0.00     1.81     0.26P    0.93R    0.03  
Ipswich          29   34  -12      53.87     5.83   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.01P    5.43R    0.28  
Derby            29   32   -2      53.80     6.08    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    5.08R    0.23  
Coventry         29   32   -9      52.72     6.06   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    7.84R    0.41  
Hull             29   30   -8      50.02     5.81   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   14.83R    1.26  
Sheffield_W      29   30  -10      47.34     5.62   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.54R    3.06  
Plymouth         27   29  -10      51.31     6.41   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   12.99R    1.24  
Brighton         29   28  -15      47.49     5.97   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    30.00R    3.74  
Leicester        28   26   -9      46.52     6.06   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.92R    4.07  
Millwall         29   25  -20      42.52     5.73   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.58R   15.66  
Crewe            29   22  -29      36.12     5.15   -47.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.94R   70.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2006, Colchester vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        28   50  +16      81.88     6.21    27.34    23.39    48.86    95.16    62.58P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      27   49  +15      81.99     6.60    25.55    24.15    49.22    94.13    62.07P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         27   48  +22      84.40     6.47    38.64    42.40    68.08    97.36    77.44P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    28   47   +7      74.26     6.42    10.75     3.32    10.20    66.42    22.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       27   45   +8      74.40     6.71    12.90     3.85    11.81    67.09    23.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    28   43   +5      70.35     6.39     9.19     0.72     3.25    43.78    12.32P    0.10R    0.00  
Barnsley        27   42  +11      71.13     6.64    15.63     1.52     5.50    50.13    17.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham          28   40   -6      63.46     6.27    -7.97     0.01     0.17     9.31     1.62P    1.60R    0.04  
Nottingham      27   39   +6      67.79     6.62    10.18     0.33     1.59    29.70     8.80P    0.32R    0.02  
Bournemouth     27   39   +4      65.82     6.77     5.26     0.25     1.02    21.20     5.79P    0.78R    0.02  
Yeovil          28   37   -7      59.90     6.37    -9.95     0.01     0.07     3.68     0.67P    5.98R    0.33  
Port_Vale       28   36   -4      57.52     6.18    -8.33     0.00     0.02     1.57     0.32P   10.28R    0.60  
Bradford        28   35   +2      60.72     6.28     3.82     0.00     0.04     5.22     1.38P    3.55R    0.15  
Tranmere        28   34   +1      60.52     6.40     3.94     0.01     0.07     5.33     1.40P    4.50R    0.26  
Doncaster       26   34   -2      58.90     6.90    -5.62     0.03     0.10     4.07     0.92P    9.06R    0.52  
Walsall         27   34   -5      57.09     6.50   -10.21     0.00     0.01     1.95     0.32P   13.35R    0.93  
Gillingham      27   34   -7      54.98     6.40   -14.29     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.18P   21.68R    2.12  
Scunthorpe      27   33   -5      57.86     6.65    -7.94     0.01     0.01     2.23     0.53P   11.69R    0.91  
Hartlepool      28   32   -7      52.77     6.20   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.05P   31.38R    4.18  
Bristol_City    28   31  -11      51.55     6.25   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   40.69R    6.87  
Blackpool       27   28  -10      51.71     6.65   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   38.58R    6.76  
Rotherham       28   27   -8      48.99     6.25   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   53.66R   12.04  
Swindon_Town    27   25  -12      45.88     6.22   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.79R   26.66  
Milton_Keynes   27   24  -13      44.27     6.33   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.99R   37.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2006, Darlington vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          27   51  +21      86.34     6.41    36.78    45.46    88.88    99.47    91.83P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          27   50  +19      84.95     6.53    32.03    34.58    83.43    98.85    88.24P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   47  +15      80.49     6.65    26.50    13.21    61.53    95.44    70.97P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   46   +8      73.32     6.71     9.77     2.06    18.12    71.97    29.41P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      26   42  +11      75.24     6.76    20.06     3.75    28.43    82.25    44.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       28   42   +2      66.27     6.42     1.47     0.15     2.81    31.58     9.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   39   +9      68.14     6.35    15.75     0.21     4.64    46.60    16.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          27   38   +9      68.26     6.78    15.46     0.41     6.14    47.31    17.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington       28   38   +4      62.95     6.41     4.56     0.02     0.85    18.14     5.09P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   38   -7      62.58     6.60    -9.90     0.04     0.78    15.58     3.17P    0.12R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   36   +1      62.51     6.68     1.83     0.01     0.81    16.70     4.48P    0.14R    0.02  
Boston           27   36   +1      61.73     6.63     0.77     0.01     0.76    13.56     3.48P    0.17R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   36   -8      57.65     6.42   -13.98     0.00     0.10     4.21     0.85P    0.80R    0.10  
Lincoln_C        28   35   +1      61.09     6.36     3.35     0.01     0.40    11.22     3.07P    0.15R    0.03  
Rochdale         26   34   +0      62.42     7.09     1.32     0.04     1.06    17.98     4.53P    0.26R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd       28   34   -5      57.24     6.32    -6.80     0.00     0.06     3.68     0.81P    0.77R    0.07  
Chester          26   33   +4      61.99     6.94     6.53     0.04     1.02    16.95     5.05P    0.17R    0.01  
Macclesfield     27   32   -5      54.94     6.64   -10.15     0.00     0.04     2.08     0.46P    2.83R    0.55  
Barnet           28   31  -10      50.54     5.98   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    8.13R    1.66  
Bury             25   30   -7      57.30     7.12    -9.23     0.00     0.12     5.01     1.06P    2.06R    0.41  
Mansfield        27   29   -4      52.98     6.65    -7.56     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.25P    4.34R    0.76  
Torquay          26   23  -16      43.65     6.65   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.80R   19.39  
Rushden_&_D      27   22  -21      38.91     6.02   -35.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.88R   45.85  
Stockport        25   21  -22      41.46     6.72   -37.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.34R   31.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Southport vs Scarborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.58     6.37    29.32    50.73    94.43    58.66P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.49     5.89    32.08    13.99    79.81    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      73.13     6.20    22.85     4.42    52.67    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.38     6.49    34.55    12.99    73.40    26.22P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.12     6.21    31.85     8.46    67.78    28.01P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      70.96     6.44    15.99     1.93    37.71     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.44     6.41    24.38     6.56    61.09    22.10P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.20     6.32    22.32     0.86    25.16     7.27P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.84     6.68    11.21     0.03     4.47     1.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.62     6.74    -1.35     0.01     1.89     0.40P    0.24R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.26     6.28    -7.92     0.00     0.36     0.04P    0.82R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.67     6.36    -2.17     0.00     0.28     0.06P    1.14R    0.01  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.38     6.37    -6.18     0.01     0.23     0.04P    1.31R    0.02  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.16     6.39   -12.93     0.00     0.12     0.01P    3.01R    0.09  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      54.24     6.88   -14.15     0.01     0.58     0.07P    1.51R    0.04  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      45.97     5.86   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.01R    0.52  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.35     5.52   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.17R    2.04  
Scarborough     25   24  -14      41.23     5.76   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.44R    2.95  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.68     6.16   -14.42     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.10R    1.27  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.68     6.57   -14.18     0.00     0.01     0.01P   19.96R    1.57  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      35.89     5.81   -32.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.33R   17.93  
Southport       23   16  -26      29.49     5.41   -49.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.89R   73.55