Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 17 January 2006 at 23:53:05 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 January 2006, Wigan vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         22   61  +37      98.86     4.76    63.65    99.54    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    22   45  +21      76.10     5.43    37.04     0.15    38.64    90.75    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   44  +18      77.35     6.19    30.73     0.30    46.87    91.14    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   40  +12      67.46     5.79    20.22     0.00     3.31    37.92    87.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   37  +19      70.15     5.80    33.95     0.01    10.34    62.35    94.48     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           22   34   -2      54.91     5.78    -3.42     0.00     0.03     0.94    13.06     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          20   33   +5      62.35     6.33    12.49     0.00     0.77    13.25    60.83     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    22   31   +5      54.58     5.83     7.53     0.00     0.00     0.88    14.47     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       21   31   +1      56.48     6.27     4.54     0.00     0.09     2.40    21.59     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      50.86     5.63    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.16     3.99     0.19R    0.00  
Charlton        20   28   -4      47.06     5.95   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.25     1.34R    0.00  
Fulham          22   26   -4      45.37     5.75    -8.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.73     1.68R    0.01  
Newcastle       21   26   -4      48.58     6.12    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.46     0.82R    0.00  
Everton         22   26  -16      40.86     5.20   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.80R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     22   25   -6      45.77     5.67    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.56     1.81R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   22   22  -10      38.65     5.57   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.56R    0.20  
Middlesbrough   21   22  -12      41.85     6.15   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     9.28R    0.10  
Portsmouth      22   17  -18      29.67     5.07   -32.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.33R    7.39  
Birmingham      21   16  -16      30.55     5.33   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.93R    6.11  
Sunderland      21    6  -24      18.96     5.40   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   86.12  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Watford vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          29   72  +46     110.19     5.20    69.67    95.72    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      29   63  +27      96.52     5.79    43.78     4.26    93.25    99.98    95.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   51  +14      81.62     6.21    23.04     0.01     3.93    93.83    28.93P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +12      76.09     5.93    18.12     0.00     0.56    77.00    15.63P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      78.25     6.49    23.28     0.01     2.02    84.25    23.29P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   44  +13      74.62     6.05    21.70     0.00     0.26    70.70    21.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   42   +8      70.12     5.89    15.19     0.00     0.01    38.94     9.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   41   +4      65.67     5.98     5.93     0.00     0.01    14.29     2.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          29   39   +1      63.62     6.15     2.98     0.00     0.00     8.61     1.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          29   39   -4      59.14     5.86    -8.94     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.27P    0.47R    0.00  
Queens_PR        29   39   -5      59.44     5.83   -10.24     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.33P    0.41R    0.01  
Luton            29   38   +0      61.49     6.07    -0.06     0.00     0.00     4.67     0.82P    0.22R    0.00  
Stoke            29   38   -6      57.95     5.90   -11.58     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.15P    0.92R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34   -1      58.39     6.24    -1.41     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.40P    0.90R    0.02  
Ipswich          29   34  -12      54.02     5.87   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    5.21R    0.21  
Derby            29   32   -2      53.64     5.95    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    5.18R    0.20  
Coventry         29   32   -9      52.72     6.07   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    8.02R    0.45  
Hull             29   30   -8      50.23     5.94   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   14.15R    1.18  
Sheffield_W      29   30  -10      47.43     5.66   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.59R    2.92  
Plymouth         27   29  -10      51.18     6.31   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   13.33R    1.03  
Brighton         29   28  -15      47.36     5.98   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   30.68R    3.83  
Leicester        28   26   -9      46.51     6.16   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   33.87R    4.24  
Millwall         29   25  -20      42.36     5.70   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.03R   16.64  
Crewe            29   22  -29      36.12     5.20   -47.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.92R   69.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2006, Colchester vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        28   50  +16      82.03     6.18    27.61    24.55    50.27    95.56    63.91P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester      27   49  +15      81.82     6.63    25.21    23.55    48.03    93.34    60.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         27   48  +22      84.18     6.48    38.25    41.26    66.45    97.09    76.19P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    28   47   +7      74.19     6.44    10.71     3.10     9.74    65.45    21.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       27   45   +8      74.63     6.68    13.27     4.29    12.49    68.52    25.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    28   43   +5      70.37     6.42     9.16     0.94     3.56    43.20    12.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley        27   42  +11      71.13     6.74    15.70     1.61     5.87    50.05    18.18P    0.04R    0.00  
Oldham          28   40   -6      63.44     6.41    -7.94     0.04     0.24     9.73     1.80P    1.82R    0.06  
Nottingham      27   39   +6      67.87     6.68    10.25     0.39     1.75    30.16     9.12P    0.32R    0.01  
Bournemouth     27   39   +4      65.95     6.70     5.45     0.23     1.17    21.18     5.88P    0.64R    0.01  
Yeovil          28   37   -7      59.95     6.34    -9.78     0.01     0.08     3.79     0.72P    5.92R    0.28  
Port_Vale       28   36   -4      57.38     6.22    -8.43     0.01     0.04     1.74     0.37P   10.71R    0.47  
Bradford        28   35   +2      60.83     6.37     4.02     0.01     0.07     5.67     1.53P    3.77R    0.16  
Tranmere        28   34   +1      60.48     6.47     3.98     0.01     0.07     5.25     1.38P    4.53R    0.25  
Doncaster       26   34   -2      59.06     6.84    -5.47     0.01     0.12     3.92     0.74P    8.42R    0.53  
Walsall         27   34   -5      56.91     6.49   -10.57     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.29P   13.74R    1.06  
Gillingham      27   34   -7      54.98     6.36   -14.30     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.14P   21.29R    2.17  
Scunthorpe      27   33   -5      57.88     6.57    -7.89     0.00     0.03     2.20     0.47P   11.10R    0.89  
Hartlepool      28   32   -7      52.98     6.20   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P   30.34R    4.04  
Bristol_City    28   31  -11      51.45     6.14   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   40.59R    6.92  
Blackpool       27   28  -10      51.35     6.52   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   40.91R    7.14  
Rotherham       28   27   -8      48.97     6.24   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00    53.62R   12.29  
Swindon_Town    27   25  -12      46.01     6.25   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   72.18R   26.37  
Milton_Keynes   27   24  -13      44.29     6.17   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.00R   37.37  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2006, Darlington vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          27   51  +21      86.11     6.53    36.48    45.87    88.05    99.31    91.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          27   50  +19      84.61     6.47    31.57    32.90    82.56    98.75    87.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   47  +15      80.33     6.59    26.27    13.69    61.02    95.20    70.10P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   46   +8      73.04     6.72     9.45     1.95    17.30    70.58    27.79P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      26   42  +11      75.54     6.68    20.49     4.45    30.14    83.67    46.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       28   42   +2      66.37     6.28     1.70     0.14     2.65    31.99     8.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   39   +9      68.33     6.32    15.97     0.40     5.24    47.66    17.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          27   38   +9      68.44     6.75    15.69     0.33     6.47    48.16    18.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington       28   38   +4      62.97     6.39     4.59     0.03     0.88    17.86     4.79P    0.09R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   27   38   -7      62.39     6.67   -10.11     0.03     0.79    15.26     3.04P    0.13R    0.01  
Shrewsbury       27   36   +1      62.59     6.71     1.93     0.04     1.04    16.62     4.69P    0.09R    0.01  
Boston           27   36   +1      61.86     6.66     0.93     0.03     0.92    14.25     4.11P    0.14R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   36   -8      57.76     6.48   -13.84     0.01     0.17     4.26     0.83P    0.81R    0.09  
Lincoln_C        28   35   +1      61.19     6.34     3.45     0.01     0.37    10.96     3.17P    0.18R    0.02  
Rochdale         26   34   +0      62.28     7.10     0.96     0.07     1.15    17.41     4.37P    0.28R    0.06  
Oxford_Utd       28   34   -5      57.40     6.41    -6.58     0.00     0.10     3.83     0.91P    0.96R    0.12  
Chester          26   33   +4      61.79     6.87     6.32     0.07     0.99    15.38     4.62P    0.20R    0.03  
Macclesfield     27   32   -5      54.76     6.60   -10.40     0.00     0.04     1.75     0.33P    3.12R    0.55  
Barnet           28   31  -10      50.58     5.97   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    7.86R    1.68  
Bury             25   30   -7      57.18     7.22    -9.38     0.01     0.14     5.45     1.08P    2.19R    0.46  
Mansfield        27   29   -4      53.21     6.70    -7.26     0.00     0.01     1.40     0.28P    4.55R    0.86  
Torquay          26   23  -16      43.59     6.72   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   44.67R   19.86  
Rushden_&_D      27   22  -21      39.06     5.96   -35.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.27R   45.41  
Stockport        25   21  -22      41.60     6.75   -37.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.41R   30.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Southport vs Scarborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.82     6.34    29.89    52.30    94.87    60.03P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.49     5.94    32.07    14.07    80.03    32.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      72.98     6.17    22.69     4.08    51.88    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.31     6.48    34.39    12.44    73.23    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.15     6.20    31.89     8.27    68.47    27.75P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      70.70     6.33    15.63     1.62    36.28     8.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.51     6.39    24.47     6.21    61.20    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.30     6.32    22.40     0.92    25.59     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.90     6.74    11.38     0.09     4.89     1.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.74     6.72    -1.16     0.01     2.20     0.41P    0.22R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.27     6.29    -7.84     0.01     0.32     0.05P    0.97R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.57     6.24    -2.36     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.94R    0.01  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.47     6.32    -6.06     0.00     0.20     0.03P    1.22R    0.03  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.51     6.39   -12.46     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.54R    0.05  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      53.89     6.86   -14.73     0.00     0.48     0.05P    1.76R    0.04  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      46.24     5.97   -14.65     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.31R    0.47  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.32     5.49   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.94R    1.93  
Scarborough     25   24  -14      41.19     5.77   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.96R    2.90  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.64     6.11   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.70R    1.18  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.54     6.49   -14.50     0.00     0.01     0.01P   19.75R    1.68  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      35.59     5.65   -33.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.02R   18.77  
Southport       23   16  -26      29.57     5.43   -49.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.66R   72.94