Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 16 January 2006 at 23:53:09 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 January 2006, Wigan vs West_Bromwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         22   61  +37      98.86     4.73    63.63    99.49    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    22   45  +21      76.09     5.36    37.09     0.10    38.09    91.07    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   44  +18      77.51     6.15    30.94     0.41    48.08    91.23    99.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   40  +12      67.53     5.76    20.27     0.01     3.23    38.12    87.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   37  +19      69.91     5.87    33.63     0.00     9.71    60.97    94.14     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           22   34   -2      55.00     5.72    -3.25     0.00     0.03     1.18    13.23     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          20   33   +5      62.35     6.42    12.49     0.00     0.84    13.92    60.61     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_C    22   31   +5      54.51     5.78     7.52     0.00     0.01     0.88    13.86     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       21   31   +1      56.69     6.15     4.94     0.00     0.06     2.33    22.02     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      51.04     5.66    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.17     4.36     0.17R    0.00  
Charlton        20   28   -4      47.15     5.91   -14.94     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.35     1.25R    0.00  
Fulham          22   26   -4      45.44     5.66    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.65     1.83R    0.01  
Newcastle       21   26   -4      48.36     6.12    -5.18     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.23     0.74R    0.00  
Everton         22   26  -16      40.95     5.29   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     9.35R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     22   25   -6      45.67     5.61    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55     1.83R    0.01  
West_Bromwich   22   22  -10      38.68     5.52   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    16.00R    0.17  
Middlesbrough   21   22  -12      41.72     6.04   -19.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     9.47R    0.09  
Portsmouth      22   17  -18      29.75     5.08   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.93R    6.90  
Birmingham      21   16  -16      30.51     5.37   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.06R    5.57  
Sunderland      21    6  -24      18.68     5.31   -42.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.32R   87.22  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Watford vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          29   72  +46     110.29     5.11    69.79    96.36    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      29   63  +27      96.33     5.75    43.50     3.62    92.98   100.00    95.11P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   51  +14      81.76     6.15    23.31     0.02     4.12    94.26    28.77P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +12      76.14     5.92    18.16     0.00     0.74    77.66    16.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      78.21     6.52    23.20     0.00     1.89    84.59    23.43P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   44  +13      74.54     6.13    21.64     0.00     0.27    70.20    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   42   +8      69.87     5.98    14.83     0.00     0.01    37.61     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   41   +4      65.74     6.03     6.00     0.00     0.01    14.77     2.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   39   +1      63.47     6.09     2.76     0.00     0.00     8.31     1.46P    0.10R    0.00  
Norwich          29   39   -4      59.14     5.78    -8.99     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.29P    0.43R    0.01  
Queens_PR        29   39   -5      59.80     5.88    -9.65     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.30P    0.41R    0.01  
Luton            29   38   +0      61.39     5.99    -0.23     0.00     0.01     4.36     0.74P    0.27R    0.00  
Stoke            29   38   -6      57.98     5.84   -11.61     0.00     0.00     1.14     0.21P    0.86R    0.01  
Southampton      28   34   -1      58.30     6.22    -1.61     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.34P    1.21R    0.03  
Ipswich          29   34  -12      54.33     5.91   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    4.57R    0.20  
Derby            29   32   -2      53.26     6.01    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    5.92R    0.26  
Coventry         29   32   -9      52.74     6.00   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    7.49R    0.52  
Hull             29   30   -8      50.20     5.87   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   13.91R    1.07  
Sheffield_W      29   30  -10      47.25     5.62   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.27R    3.06  
Plymouth         27   29  -10      51.43     6.36   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P   12.49R    1.13  
Brighton         29   28  -15      47.45     5.95   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   30.36R    3.73  
Leicester        28   26   -9      46.50     6.09   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.10R    4.28  
Millwall         29   25  -20      42.50     5.65   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.64R   15.32  
Crewe            29   22  -29      36.00     5.20   -47.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.94R   70.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Walsall vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        28   50  +16      81.82     6.14    27.27    23.13    48.10    95.07    62.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         27   48  +22      84.25     6.47    38.41    41.57    66.66    97.23    76.58P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    28   47   +7      74.16     6.40    10.59     2.82     9.51    65.62    21.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester      26   46  +14      81.61     6.84    26.45    23.16    47.21    92.57    60.68P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   44   +8      75.61     7.03    14.18     6.00    15.94    71.97    28.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    28   43   +5      70.43     6.36     9.22     0.95     3.65    42.88    11.96P    0.07R    0.00  
Barnsley        27   42  +11      71.15     6.70    15.69     1.53     5.42    49.95    17.93P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham          28   40   -6      63.68     6.33    -7.57     0.07     0.30     9.83     1.81P    1.61R    0.06  
Bournemouth     27   39   +4      65.71     6.74     5.11     0.26     0.98    20.30     5.61P    0.73R    0.01  
Nottingham      26   38   +6      67.59     6.86     9.31     0.47     1.91    28.86     8.22P    0.51R    0.01  
Yeovil          28   37   -7      60.13     6.41    -9.53     0.00     0.03     4.28     0.81P    5.60R    0.24  
Port_Vale       28   36   -4      57.39     6.12    -8.46     0.00     0.01     1.43     0.30P   10.34R    0.47  
Bradford        28   35   +2      61.00     6.22     4.21     0.01     0.04     5.28     1.37P    3.35R    0.12  
Tranmere        28   34   +1      60.69     6.38     4.18     0.00     0.07     5.33     1.36P    3.90R    0.19  
Doncaster       26   34   -2      59.03     6.90    -5.47     0.02     0.12     4.16     0.96P    8.62R    0.54  
Walsall         27   34   -5      56.78     6.50   -10.81     0.01     0.02     1.68     0.34P   14.01R    1.04  
Gillingham      27   34   -7      54.85     6.40   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.14P   22.39R    2.22  
Scunthorpe      27   33   -5      57.66     6.64    -8.27     0.01     0.04     2.00     0.29P   12.39R    1.06  
Hartlepool      28   32   -7      52.97     6.20   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.08P   29.98R    3.69  
Bristol_City    27   31  -10      51.76     6.34   -19.12     0.00     0.01     0.15     0.03P   39.88R    6.57  
Blackpool       27   28  -10      51.61     6.62   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P   39.23R    6.71  
Rotherham       28   27   -8      49.09     6.27   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   52.83R   11.61  
Swindon_Town    27   25  -12      45.75     6.31   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   73.47R   27.68  
Milton_Keynes   27   24  -13      44.13     6.24   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.99R   37.78  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Wycombe vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          27   51  +21      86.28     6.41    36.78    43.13    88.38    99.47    91.33P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +19      85.59     6.81    32.61    37.14    84.33    98.84    88.92P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   47  +15      80.68     6.54    26.85    12.87    62.06    95.61    71.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   46   +8      73.09     6.72     9.48     1.82    16.90    70.59    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      26   42  +11      75.50     6.77    20.35     4.09    28.36    83.06    44.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       28   42   +2      66.05     6.32     1.14     0.10     2.11    29.48     7.56P    0.01R    0.01  
Peterborough     28   39   +9      68.17     6.39    15.74     0.25     4.87    46.28    17.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          27   38   +9      68.41     6.79    15.64     0.38     6.10    47.53    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   27   38   -7      62.63     6.57    -9.78     0.01     0.81    15.13     2.88P    0.09R    0.01  
Darlington       27   37   +4      62.98     6.74     4.03     0.05     1.10    18.73     5.47P    0.07R    0.01  
Boston           27   36   +1      61.75     6.54     0.70     0.02     0.74    12.77     3.42P    0.17R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   36   -8      57.57     6.44   -14.14     0.01     0.10     3.88     0.68P    0.82R    0.09  
Lincoln_C        28   35   +1      60.84     6.40     2.94     0.01     0.29    10.12     2.58P    0.18R    0.02  
Shrewsbury       26   35   +1      63.75     6.89     2.98     0.06     1.63    21.71     6.16P    0.14R    0.01  
Rochdale         26   34   +0      62.28     7.15     0.96     0.03     0.94    17.34     4.22P    0.34R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd       28   34   -5      57.46     6.44    -6.52     0.00     0.06     3.95     0.94P    0.84R    0.04  
Chester          26   33   +4      61.99     6.93     6.51     0.03     1.01    16.61     5.01P    0.16R    0.03  
Macclesfield     27   32   -5      54.82     6.64   -10.35     0.00     0.03     1.88     0.41P    2.98R    0.56  
Barnet           28   31  -10      50.61     5.97   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    7.83R    1.58  
Bury             25   30   -7      57.16     7.25    -9.40     0.01     0.15     5.26     1.10P    2.17R    0.36  
Mansfield        26   28   -4      53.09     6.95    -8.12     0.00     0.03     1.52     0.33P    4.87R    0.88  
Torquay          26   23  -16      43.85     6.63   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    42.60R   18.16  
Rushden_&_D      27   22  -21      38.81     5.95   -35.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.11R   46.66  
Stockport        25   21  -22      41.43     6.76   -37.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.63R   31.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Southport vs Scarborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.67     6.31    29.49    52.06    94.61    60.06P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.27     5.90    31.80    13.42    79.34    31.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      73.00     6.25    22.67     4.40    52.61    14.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.14     6.49    34.03    12.29    72.27    25.66P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.16     6.24    31.87     8.35    68.50    28.30P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      71.03     6.41    16.13     1.94    38.41     9.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.31     6.50    24.22     6.62    60.23    21.75P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.26     6.35    22.37     0.85    25.73     7.26P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.86     6.78    11.26     0.06     4.79     1.11P    0.07R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.52     6.71    -1.47     0.01     2.04     0.36P    0.23R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.18     6.35    -8.02     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.90R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.66     6.39    -2.19     0.00     0.29     0.05P    1.20R    0.01  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.29     6.37    -6.25     0.00     0.20     0.01P    1.62R    0.01  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.65     6.42   -12.12     0.00     0.14     0.02P    2.60R    0.01  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      54.02     6.94   -14.65     0.00     0.54     0.09P    1.76R    0.04  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      46.00     5.90   -15.04     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.51R    0.53  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.38     5.58   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.49R    2.23  
Scarborough     25   24  -14      41.27     5.74   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.39R    3.12  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.55     6.14   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.83R    1.31  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.71     6.52   -14.20     0.00     0.01     0.00    19.77R    1.53  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      36.22     5.84   -32.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.61R   16.82  
Southport       23   16  -26      29.50     5.41   -49.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.03R   74.36