Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 14 January 2006 at 23:54:35 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Portsmouth vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         21   58  +36      99.10     4.70    66.20    99.61    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    22   45  +21      76.07     5.35    37.10     0.12    37.38    90.28    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   44  +18      77.49     6.14    30.92     0.28    48.34    91.10    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       22   40  +12      67.59     5.85    20.43     0.00     3.29    37.62    85.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   37  +19      70.07     5.78    33.92     0.01     9.89    60.35    93.58     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           21   34   -1      57.64     6.20    -0.43     0.00     0.14     3.46    23.92     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          20   33   +5      62.51     6.39    12.75     0.00     0.93    13.97    58.08     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    22   31   +5      54.53     5.76     7.47     0.00     0.01     0.88    12.35     0.02R    0.00  
Blackburn       21   31   +1      56.66     6.15     4.90     0.00     0.06     2.08    20.13     0.02R    0.00  
West_Ham        22   29   -2      51.05     5.60    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.14     3.56     0.13R    0.00  
Charlton        20   28   -4      47.10     5.84   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.04     0.82R    0.00  
Fulham          22   26   -4      45.26     5.61    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40     1.47R    0.01  
Newcastle       21   26   -4      48.56     6.10    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.00     0.48R    0.01  
Everton         22   26  -16      40.80     5.30   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.54R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     22   25   -6      45.56     5.68    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     1.60R    0.01  
Middlesbrough   21   22  -12      41.95     6.07   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     7.54R    0.08  
West_Bromwich   21   19  -11      35.76     5.68   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    29.80R    0.83  
Portsmouth      22   17  -18      29.68     5.10   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.23R    6.36  
Birmingham      21   16  -16      30.43     5.29   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.27R    4.74  
Sunderland      20    6  -23      18.43     5.27   -44.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.05R   87.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Watford vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          29   72  +46     110.03     5.13    69.50    95.80    99.97   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      29   63  +27      96.63     5.74    43.99     4.18    93.49   100.00    95.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            28   51  +14      81.45     6.15    22.80     0.03     3.61    93.86    27.65P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +12      76.40     5.91    18.58     0.00     0.68    78.12    16.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      78.23     6.56    23.25     0.00     1.90    84.30    22.96P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   44  +13      74.90     6.07    22.04     0.00     0.32    71.79    22.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    29   42   +8      69.88     5.93    14.88     0.00     0.03    37.15     9.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   41   +4      65.74     6.00     6.02     0.00     0.01    14.15     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          29   39   +1      63.59     6.12     2.94     0.00     0.00     8.41     1.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          29   39   -4      59.24     5.85    -8.78     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.34P    0.47R    0.00  
Queens_PR        29   39   -5      59.53     5.78   -10.10     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.26P    0.51R    0.00  
Luton            29   38   +0      61.39     6.05    -0.20     0.00     0.00     4.41     0.78P    0.27R    0.00  
Stoke            29   38   -6      58.10     5.81   -11.34     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.20P    0.80R    0.00  
Southampton      28   34   -1      58.26     6.12    -1.68     0.00     0.00     1.78     0.40P    0.96R    0.04  
Ipswich          29   34  -12      53.92     5.83   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.01P    5.00R    0.17  
Derby            29   32   -2      53.42     5.95    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    5.46R    0.20  
Coventry         29   32   -9      52.74     6.01   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    7.39R    0.41  
Hull             29   30   -8      50.08     5.85   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   14.52R    1.17  
Sheffield_W      29   30  -10      47.43     5.76   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   28.15R    3.26  
Plymouth         27   29  -10      51.34     6.38   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   12.84R    0.97  
Brighton         29   28  -15      47.21     5.88   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   31.47R    4.04  
Leicester        28   26   -9      46.57     6.03   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.61R    3.94  
Millwall         29   25  -20      42.42     5.70   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.86R   16.32  
Crewe            29   22  -29      36.16     5.20   -47.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.63R   69.50  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Walsall vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Southend        28   50  +16      82.00     6.11    27.54    24.59    49.59    95.76    63.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea         27   48  +22      84.23     6.51    38.46    42.00    66.05    97.12    75.75P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    28   47   +7      74.41     6.37    10.94     3.15     9.95    66.66    21.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester      26   46  +14      81.17     6.77    25.76    20.56    44.73    91.87    58.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       26   44   +8      75.62     6.94    14.21     6.24    16.41    71.56    28.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield    28   43   +5      70.64     6.39     9.62     0.96     4.00    44.17    12.85P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley        27   42  +11      71.10     6.71    15.65     1.56     5.51    49.23    17.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Oldham          28   40   -6      63.65     6.40    -7.66     0.05     0.28    10.05     1.84P    1.74R    0.04  
Bournemouth     27   39   +4      65.50     6.76     4.78     0.30     1.10    19.12     5.79P    0.75R    0.03  
Nottingham      26   38   +6      67.64     6.92     9.36     0.52     2.01    29.08     8.85P    0.52R    0.03  
Yeovil          28   37   -7      59.98     6.23    -9.77     0.01     0.06     3.42     0.70P    5.62R    0.28  
Port_Vale       28   36   -4      57.15     6.11    -8.79     0.00     0.01     1.34     0.28P   11.12R    0.55  
Bradford        28   35   +2      61.09     6.29     4.34     0.01     0.06     5.97     1.50P    3.00R    0.12  
Tranmere        28   34   +1      60.49     6.36     3.92     0.01     0.07     5.20     1.38P    4.18R    0.20  
Doncaster       26   34   -2      59.19     6.84    -5.15     0.02     0.12     4.25     1.03P    8.05R    0.54  
Walsall         27   34   -5      56.52     6.41   -11.20     0.00     0.01     1.39     0.33P   14.84R    1.07  
Gillingham      27   34   -7      54.91     6.39   -14.42     0.01     0.01     0.80     0.15P   22.01R    2.23  
Scunthorpe      27   33   -5      57.94     6.66    -7.76     0.01     0.06     2.29     0.47P   11.78R    1.07  
Hartlepool      28   32   -7      52.73     6.16   -12.87     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   32.08R    3.98  
Bristol_City    27   31  -10      52.06     6.42   -18.69     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.06P   38.00R    6.54  
Blackpool       27   28  -10      51.68     6.56   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   38.61R    6.51  
Rotherham       28   27   -8      49.05     6.28   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   53.41R   11.97  
Swindon_Town    27   25  -12      45.85     6.24   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    73.14R   26.33  
Milton_Keynes   27   24  -13      44.10     6.24   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    81.06R   38.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Wycombe vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          27   51  +21      86.41     6.46    36.98    43.09    88.80    99.36    91.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          26   49  +19      85.62     6.83    32.59    37.27    84.11    98.90    88.65P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         27   47  +15      80.58     6.65    26.62    12.99    61.79    95.27    71.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    27   46   +8      73.17     6.70     9.62     2.06    16.89    71.17    28.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      26   42  +11      75.47     6.71    20.32     3.74    28.88    83.13    45.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       28   42   +2      66.05     6.29     1.16     0.06     2.28    29.53     7.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Peterborough     28   39   +9      68.09     6.41    15.67     0.24     4.47    45.84    16.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          27   38   +9      68.36     6.71    15.59     0.29     5.75    47.33    16.93P    0.01R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   27   38   -7      62.65     6.61    -9.73     0.04     0.81    15.57     3.18P    0.14R    0.01  
Darlington       27   37   +4      62.84     6.67     3.84     0.04     1.09    18.09     5.16P    0.09R    0.01  
Boston           27   36   +1      62.09     6.56     1.25     0.04     0.82    14.25     3.88P    0.14R    0.01  
Notts_County     27   36   -8      57.88     6.48   -13.73     0.01     0.17     4.54     0.91P    0.65R    0.07  
Lincoln_C        28   35   +1      60.95     6.36     3.03     0.01     0.38    10.54     2.77P    0.24R    0.03  
Shrewsbury       26   35   +1      63.49     6.95     2.68     0.05     1.35    20.91     5.63P    0.10R    0.03  
Rochdale         26   34   +0      62.28     7.07     1.00     0.04     1.07    16.74     4.37P    0.28R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd       28   34   -5      57.28     6.37    -6.68     0.00     0.09     3.58     0.89P    0.95R    0.12  
Chester          26   33   +4      62.01     6.87     6.55     0.04     1.08    16.36     5.01P    0.16R    0.02  
Macclesfield     27   32   -5      54.73     6.64   -10.45     0.00     0.04     1.90     0.43P    3.07R    0.56  
Barnet           28   31  -10      50.72     6.07   -17.01     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P    7.72R    1.57  
Bury             25   30   -7      57.41     7.11    -9.05     0.01     0.12     5.31     1.17P    1.93R    0.36  
Mansfield        26   28   -4      52.67     6.90    -8.80     0.00     0.01     1.34     0.28P    5.22R    1.03  
Torquay          26   23  -16      43.81     6.70   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.44R   18.00  
Rushden_&_D      27   22  -21      38.85     5.99   -35.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.79R   45.96  
Stockport        25   21  -22      41.27     6.74   -37.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    61.03R   32.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2006, Southport vs Scarborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.55     6.33    29.40    50.46    94.50    58.31P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.34     5.97    31.83    13.88    78.80    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      73.03     6.26    22.67     4.37    52.33    14.14P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.42     6.50    34.56    12.97    73.80    26.91P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.15     6.19    31.88     8.38    67.86    27.48P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      70.65     6.45    15.59     1.77    36.45     9.30P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.61     6.44    24.63     7.08    61.87    23.13P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.38     6.38    22.44     1.01    26.39     7.62P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.53     6.74    10.76     0.05     4.51     1.11P    0.07R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.61     6.68    -1.24     0.02     2.02     0.41P    0.20R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.24     6.30    -7.93     0.00     0.28     0.06P    0.93R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.46     6.35    -2.53     0.00     0.24     0.03P    1.22R    0.04  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.45     6.31    -6.08     0.00     0.23     0.04P    1.31R    0.03  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.64     6.40   -12.19     0.00     0.12     0.02P    2.50R    0.03  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      54.24     6.99   -14.19     0.01     0.59     0.06P    1.77R    0.09  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      46.04     5.84   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.76R    0.49  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.25     5.57   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.28R    2.11  
Scarborough     25   24  -14      41.15     5.71   -24.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.19R    3.08  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.84     6.12   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.53R    1.19  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.85     6.41   -13.95     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.41R    1.46  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      35.82     5.69   -32.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.96R   17.64  
Southport       23   16  -26      29.49     5.48   -49.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.86R   73.84