Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 January 2006 at 23:54:03 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2006, Manchester_C vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         21   58  +36      98.84     4.82    65.80    99.13    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    21   45  +23      78.95     5.57    41.34     0.56    56.41    95.99    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   41  +17      76.58     6.37    31.02     0.30    34.27    88.44    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   40  +13      69.11     5.98    21.88     0.01     5.09    53.09    90.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   34  +12      67.03     6.23    24.43     0.00     3.35    39.71    84.88     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           21   34   -1      57.59     6.13    -0.46     0.00     0.10     3.31    25.43     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          19   32   +5      62.31     6.74    11.95     0.01     0.73    15.15    58.14     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +1      57.06     6.51     4.85     0.00     0.09     3.48    25.11     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    21   28   +3      51.26     6.03     2.81     0.00     0.01     0.37     5.91     0.12R    0.00  
West_Ham        21   26   -3      48.52     5.96    -5.17     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.19     0.64R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -3      50.40     6.43    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.24     4.73     0.41R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -5      47.97     6.02    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.78     0.82R    0.00  
Charlton        19   25   -6      45.24     6.23   -17.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.89     3.25R    0.01  
Fulham          21   23   -5      43.70     5.97    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     4.04R    0.01  
Everton         21   23  -17      38.50     5.54   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    20.45R    0.18  
Middlesbrough   20   22   -5      44.68     6.52    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.04     4.17R    0.04  
West_Bromwich   21   19  -11      35.54     5.64   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.87R    0.91  
Portsmouth      21   17  -17      31.74     5.44   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.84R    4.17  
Birmingham      20   16  -14      31.61     5.53   -27.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.18R    4.00  
Sunderland      20    6  -23      18.33     5.32   -44.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.19R   90.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2006, Hull vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          28   69  +44     109.81     5.30    69.97    92.33    99.91   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      28   62  +27      98.08     6.01    45.82     7.60    92.56   100.00    94.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   51  +15      84.23     6.48    25.69     0.07     6.07    97.14    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   46  +11      75.30     6.14    18.35     0.00     0.39    75.41    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   44  +14      76.31     6.89    21.72     0.01     0.94    77.83    20.29P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   41  +11      73.09     6.40    19.75     0.00     0.13    63.37    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   39   +7      68.63     6.25    14.35     0.00     0.01    34.53     8.93P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   39   +4      66.19     6.36     7.72     0.00     0.00    20.59     3.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Luton            28   38   +1      62.58     6.30     0.52     0.00     0.00     8.48     1.40P    0.11R    0.01  
Cardiff          28   38   +1      62.99     6.31     1.26     0.00     0.01     9.19     1.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          28   38   -4      59.48     6.00    -8.96     0.00     0.00     2.90     0.33P    0.45R    0.01  
Stoke            28   38   -5      59.01     6.10   -11.32     0.00     0.00     2.62     0.31P    0.51R    0.01  
Queens_PR        28   36   -6      57.68     6.08   -11.56     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.25P    1.15R    0.04  
Southampton      27   34   +0      60.09     6.52    -0.02     0.00     0.00     4.62     0.96P    0.61R    0.04  
Ipswich          28   33  -12      53.45     6.14   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.04P    6.14R    0.42  
Coventry         28   32   -7      52.88     6.19   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.04P    7.30R    0.64  
Hull             28   30   -7      51.33     6.18   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P   10.06R    1.11  
Derby            28   29   -6      51.49     6.24   -10.12     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P   10.11R    1.14  
Plymouth         26   28  -10      51.73     6.69   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P   11.46R    1.22  
Sheffield_W      28   27  -11      45.29     5.82   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.83R    8.09  
Leicester        27   26   -8      48.51     6.38   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   21.82R    2.98  
Brighton         28   25  -16      44.42     6.10   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.40R   11.84  
Millwall         28   25  -18      43.45     5.91   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.03R   14.46  
Crewe            28   22  -25      37.57     5.49   -42.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.94R   58.00  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, Swansea vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea         26   47  +22      84.88     6.76    38.86    49.51    71.53    97.28    79.38P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        27   47  +13      79.24     6.49    22.58    14.38    34.67    88.58    49.64P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   44  +11      77.83     7.12    18.46    11.90    28.00    81.51    41.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    27   44   +5      72.43     6.68     8.43     2.43     7.95    54.37    17.25P    0.07R    0.00  
Colchester      25   43  +12      79.14     7.15    23.20    15.20    36.02    85.61    50.23P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley        26   42  +12      73.74     6.96    18.46     4.19    12.77    64.51    27.55P    0.06R    0.00  
Chesterfield    27   42   +5      70.92     6.73     9.44     1.73     5.58    46.13    14.36P    0.12R    0.01  
Oldham          27   40   -3      65.53     6.69    -3.80     0.12     0.94    16.88     3.81P    1.13R    0.04  
Bournemouth     26   36   +2      63.78     6.99     2.70     0.20     0.76    14.38     3.87P    2.05R    0.06  
Yeovil          27   36   -7      60.39     6.72    -9.65     0.01     0.11     4.95     0.99P    6.79R    0.57  
Nottingham      25   35   +3      65.05     7.10     5.07     0.23     1.04    18.34     5.09P    1.71R    0.08  
Bradford        27   34   +2      60.85     6.57     3.49     0.04     0.17     6.00     1.68P    4.62R    0.22  
Walsall         26   34   -3      58.87     6.86    -7.46     0.03     0.07     3.92     0.98P    9.61R    0.71  
Tranmere        27   33   +1      60.99     6.69     4.12     0.03     0.17     6.73     1.90P    4.78R    0.28  
Doncaster       25   33   -2      59.05     7.00    -5.95     0.01     0.12     4.78     1.14P    9.68R    0.78  
Port_Vale       27   33   -5      54.83     6.38   -10.59     0.01     0.01     0.80     0.14P   22.36R    2.50  
Scunthorpe      26   32   -5      58.16     6.86    -8.20     0.01     0.07     3.08     0.55P   12.88R    1.32  
Hartlepool      27   31   -7      53.26     6.36   -12.77     0.01     0.01     0.46     0.10P   30.99R    4.66  
Gillingham      26   31  -10      52.09     6.61   -19.07     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.05P   39.97R    7.88  
Bristol_City    26   30  -10      52.28     6.70   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.06P   38.86R    7.57  
Blackpool       26   28   -8      53.01     6.86   -12.26     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.15P   33.30R    6.06  
Rotherham       27   27   -6      50.78     6.53    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   44.20R    9.33  
Swindon_Town    26   25   -9      48.53     6.66   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P   58.15R   17.26  
Milton_Keynes   26   23  -13      44.61     6.66   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.69R   40.68  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, Barnet vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          26   48  +19      85.29     6.65    35.91    37.52    83.71    98.94    87.67P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   47  +16      82.65     6.88    28.74    22.20    70.27    96.84    77.65P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          25   46  +18      84.46     7.12    32.35    32.52    78.37    97.76    84.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   46   +9      74.82     7.01    11.08     3.46    23.59    76.42    34.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   42   +3      68.81     6.74     4.38     0.57     5.62    45.30    13.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   39  +10      70.28     6.49    17.81     0.74     8.31    57.91    23.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton      25   39  +10      72.94     7.14    18.07     2.33    18.02    69.97    33.66P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     26   36   -6      58.58     6.71   -12.93     0.01     0.25     5.74     1.24P    0.69R    0.04  
Wrexham          26   35   +7      66.44     7.12    13.08     0.23     3.79    35.60    12.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   35   -8      59.79     6.88   -12.58     0.00     0.30     8.12     1.49P    0.54R    0.06  
Darlington       26   34   +3      60.82     6.88     2.34     0.01     0.59    11.94     3.29P    0.22R    0.03  
Rochdale         25   34   +1      65.97     7.40     6.23     0.20     3.58    32.20     9.46P    0.10R    0.02  
Chester          25   33   +5      64.40     7.24     9.22     0.12     2.25    25.80     8.30P    0.11R    0.01  
Boston           26   33   +0      59.06     6.86    -1.95     0.01     0.24     7.29     1.96P    0.72R    0.10  
Oxford_Utd       27   33   -5      57.24     6.62    -7.36     0.00     0.09     3.95     0.88P    1.16R    0.09  
Shrewsbury       25   32   +0      60.72     7.12    -0.13     0.03     0.64    11.46     3.06P    0.52R    0.07  
Lincoln_C        27   32   -2      58.41     6.56    -1.25     0.01     0.19     5.09     1.33P    0.78R    0.09  
Macclesfield     26   31   -5      56.09     6.95    -8.85     0.01     0.10     3.25     0.78P    2.50R    0.39  
Barnet           27   31   -7      52.52     6.29   -13.08     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.15P    4.79R    0.88  
Mansfield        25   28   -3      53.63     7.15    -8.55     0.00     0.06     1.90     0.42P    4.45R    0.80  
Bury             24   27   -8      55.81     7.50    -9.83     0.00     0.03     3.78     0.77P    4.24R    0.94  
Torquay          25   23  -15      45.09     6.90   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   35.59R   13.88  
Rushden_&_D      26   22  -19      40.73     6.33   -32.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.66R   29.43  
Stockport        24   18  -23      37.99     6.89   -42.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.89R   53.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, York vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.82     6.35    29.80    51.97    94.90    59.99P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.46     5.92    32.02    13.99    79.96    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      73.07     6.26    22.73     4.30    52.85    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.42     6.43    34.53    12.78    74.42    26.76P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.18     6.16    31.96     8.60    68.37    28.21P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      70.69     6.50    15.64     1.77    36.75     9.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.09     6.49    23.89     5.75    59.37    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.20     6.30    22.18     0.77    25.23     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.71     6.78    10.98     0.07     4.83     1.27P    0.07R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.43     6.62    -1.53     0.01     1.76     0.34P    0.17R    0.00  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.41     6.25    -7.61     0.00     0.28     0.01P    0.70R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.71     6.38    -2.07     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.98R    0.03  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.58     6.43    -5.90     0.00     0.21     0.05P    1.10R    0.05  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.45     6.44   -12.48     0.00     0.10     0.01P    2.42R    0.06  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      54.18     6.98   -14.37     0.00     0.65     0.10P    1.48R    0.06  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      45.90     5.83   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.36R    0.63  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.30     5.58   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.19R    2.91  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.41     6.17   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.80R    1.95  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.84     6.50   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.46R    2.00  
Scarborough     24   21  -16      38.86     5.97   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.10R   10.51  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      35.95     5.77   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.51R   22.08  
Southport       22   16  -24      31.71     5.89   -45.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.66R   59.73