Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 January 2006 at 23:53:23 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2006, Manchester_C vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         21   58  +36      98.94     4.76    65.84    99.23    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    21   45  +23      78.92     5.63    41.30     0.42    56.89    95.96    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   41  +17      76.46     6.38    30.83     0.34    33.88    88.72    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   40  +13      69.03     6.03    21.75     0.00     5.18    53.63    90.67     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   34  +12      66.85     6.22    24.18     0.00     3.20    39.19    84.40     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           21   34   -1      57.74     6.15    -0.24     0.00     0.04     3.65    26.66     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          19   32   +5      61.97     6.71    11.44     0.01     0.76    14.49    56.83     0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +1      56.83     6.46     4.43     0.00     0.07     3.44    24.45     0.03R    0.00  
Manchester_C    21   28   +3      51.29     6.13     2.91     0.00     0.00     0.37     6.65     0.15R    0.00  
West_Ham        21   26   -3      48.57     5.96    -5.12     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.32     0.72R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -3      50.28     6.46    -3.45     0.00     0.01     0.30     5.11     0.45R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -5      48.02     6.03    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.94     0.94R    0.01  
Charlton        19   25   -6      45.40     6.31   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.98     3.37R    0.01  
Fulham          21   23   -5      43.80     5.97    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     3.90R    0.02  
Everton         21   23  -17      38.43     5.52   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    21.40R    0.26  
Middlesbrough   20   22   -5      44.88     6.42    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.04     3.79R    0.03  
West_Bromwich   21   19  -11      35.72     5.67   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.12R    0.85  
Portsmouth      21   17  -17      31.70     5.49   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.52R    3.88  
Birmingham      20   16  -14      31.66     5.67   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.36R    4.17  
Sunderland      20    6  -23      18.44     5.24   -44.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.22R   90.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2006, Hull vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          28   69  +44     109.73     5.34    69.85    92.70    99.88   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      28   62  +27      97.74     6.10    45.13     7.21    91.84   100.00    94.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   51  +15      84.24     6.48    25.69     0.07     6.72    97.03    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   46  +11      75.34     6.08    18.41     0.01     0.42    75.31    15.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   44  +14      76.58     6.80    22.18     0.00     0.97    78.85    20.96P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   41  +11      73.09     6.42    19.81     0.00     0.14    63.40    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   39   +7      68.72     6.23    14.43     0.00     0.01    34.42     8.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   39   +4      66.13     6.36     7.63     0.00     0.01    20.36     3.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton            28   38   +1      62.76     6.26     0.84     0.00     0.00     8.81     1.46P    0.08R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   38   +1      62.97     6.23     1.22     0.00     0.00     8.74     1.52P    0.09R    0.00  
Norwich          28   38   -4      59.81     6.09    -8.45     0.00     0.00     3.22     0.60P    0.43R    0.01  
Stoke            28   38   -5      58.95     6.07   -11.48     0.00     0.01     2.50     0.41P    0.53R    0.01  
Queens_PR        28   36   -6      57.48     6.12   -11.84     0.00     0.00     1.42     0.20P    1.38R    0.04  
Southampton      27   34   +0      60.12     6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71     0.89P    0.55R    0.04  
Ipswich          28   33  -12      53.22     6.08   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P    6.20R    0.49  
Coventry         28   32   -7      53.04     6.14   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.02P    6.55R    0.53  
Hull             28   30   -7      51.30     6.17   -11.62     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   10.36R    0.99  
Derby            28   29   -6      51.34     6.24   -10.29     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   10.43R    1.21  
Plymouth         26   28  -10      51.50     6.66   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   12.12R    1.49  
Sheffield_W      28   27  -11      45.22     5.82   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.74R    8.33  
Leicester        27   26   -8      48.44     6.34   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   22.22R    3.04  
Brighton         28   25  -16      44.46     6.00   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.95R   11.58  
Millwall         28   25  -18      43.53     5.95   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.34R   15.35  
Crewe            28   22  -25      37.76     5.52   -42.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.05R   56.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, Swansea vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea         26   47  +22      84.70     6.74    38.46    47.19    70.10    97.33    78.40P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        27   47  +13      79.45     6.49    22.95    15.42    35.99    89.28    50.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       25   44  +11      78.09     7.21    18.86    13.29    29.67    81.78    42.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    27   44   +5      72.61     6.66     8.74     2.43     8.06    55.60    17.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester      25   43  +12      79.10     7.17    23.06    15.39    35.09    85.50    49.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        26   42  +12      73.86     6.90    18.60     4.01    12.57    64.82    27.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Chesterfield    27   42   +5      70.89     6.70     9.41     1.58     5.08    45.98    13.84P    0.09R    0.01  
Oldham          27   40   -3      65.56     6.64    -3.82     0.20     0.87    16.92     3.58P    0.98R    0.02  
Bournemouth     26   36   +2      63.76     6.95     2.67     0.16     0.69    13.81     3.83P    2.33R    0.07  
Yeovil          27   36   -7      60.46     6.65    -9.56     0.00     0.14     4.88     1.01P    6.20R    0.45  
Nottingham      25   35   +3      64.76     7.17     4.68     0.20     1.10    17.32     4.76P    2.02R    0.12  
Bradford        27   34   +2      61.00     6.48     3.66     0.03     0.13     5.83     1.43P    3.92R    0.23  
Walsall         26   34   -3      58.57     6.83    -7.95     0.01     0.08     3.50     0.70P   10.63R    0.77  
Tranmere        27   33   +1      61.11     6.70     4.34     0.01     0.18     6.92     1.84P    4.54R    0.33  
Doncaster       25   33   -2      59.21     7.08    -5.75     0.04     0.14     4.89     1.07P    9.36R    0.74  
Port_Vale       27   33   -5      54.92     6.43   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.14P   21.75R    2.24  
Scunthorpe      26   32   -5      57.98     6.95    -8.45     0.01     0.09     2.92     0.64P   13.43R    1.51  
Hartlepool      27   31   -7      53.05     6.38   -13.01     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P   31.93R    4.83  
Gillingham      26   31  -10      52.10     6.58   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P   39.83R    8.07  
Bristol_City    26   30  -10      52.39     6.71   -18.90     0.01     0.01     0.36     0.08P   38.34R    7.33  
Blackpool       26   28   -8      52.75     6.91   -12.76     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.09P   34.62R    6.70  
Rotherham       27   27   -6      50.72     6.53    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   44.24R    9.70  
Swindon_Town    26   25   -9      48.65     6.73   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   57.44R   17.16  
Milton_Keynes   26   23  -13      44.71     6.57   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   78.27R   39.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, Barnet vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          26   48  +19      85.11     6.72    35.64    35.98    82.81    98.71    87.06P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   47  +16      82.47     6.87    28.44    21.85    69.29    96.74    76.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          25   46  +18      84.64     7.10    32.58    34.30    78.68    97.87    84.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   46   +9      75.21     6.88    11.68     3.80    24.77    78.92    36.09P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   42   +3      68.92     6.64     4.58     0.47     5.65    45.33    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     27   39  +10      70.28     6.66    17.88     0.69     9.20    56.93    23.85P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      25   39  +10      72.96     7.03    18.12     2.19    17.59    70.16    33.41P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     26   36   -6      58.43     6.69   -13.18     0.00     0.30     5.68     1.18P    0.66R    0.07  
Wrexham          26   35   +7      66.49     7.04    13.13     0.21     3.73    35.23    12.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   35   -8      59.70     6.82   -12.75     0.01     0.29     7.88     1.54P    0.65R    0.09  
Darlington       26   34   +3      60.62     6.89     1.95     0.01     0.51    11.25     3.12P    0.26R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   34   +1      66.06     7.41     6.34     0.26     3.62    32.33     9.57P    0.09R    0.01  
Chester          25   33   +5      64.48     7.09     9.32     0.16     2.06    25.47     7.75P    0.10R    0.01  
Boston           26   33   +0      59.08     6.87    -2.03     0.02     0.34     6.62     1.90P    0.67R    0.10  
Oxford_Utd       27   33   -5      57.57     6.58    -6.87     0.01     0.09     3.96     0.77P    1.08R    0.13  
Shrewsbury       25   32   +0      61.06     7.20     0.41     0.03     0.71    12.48     3.36P    0.56R    0.07  
Lincoln_C        27   32   -2      58.28     6.63    -1.41     0.01     0.17     4.72     1.20P    0.86R    0.11  
Macclesfield     26   31   -5      55.83     6.92    -9.42     0.00     0.04     3.00     0.54P    2.42R    0.39  
Barnet           27   31   -7      52.71     6.38   -12.82     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.21P    4.60R    0.87  
Mansfield        25   28   -3      53.61     7.14    -8.46     0.00     0.04     1.87     0.39P    4.65R    0.88  
Bury             24   27   -8      55.67     7.57   -10.03     0.01     0.10     3.96     0.91P    4.17R    0.94  
Torquay          25   23  -15      44.83     6.94   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   36.69R   14.17  
Rushden_&_D      26   22  -19      40.45     6.38   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.19R   30.50  
Stockport        24   18  -23      38.14     6.91   -42.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.31R   51.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, York vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.58     6.36    29.42    51.28    94.49    59.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.10     5.87    31.48    13.04    78.29    30.24P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      73.00     6.22    22.68     4.29    52.35    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.53     6.41    34.68    13.19    74.89    27.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.16     6.22    31.92     8.71    68.41    28.45P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      70.94     6.40    15.97     1.88    37.96     9.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.21     6.48    24.00     6.64    59.79    21.96P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.26     6.35    22.29     0.88    25.83     7.40P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.84     6.74    11.21     0.08     4.59     1.06P    0.05R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.75     6.61    -1.11     0.01     2.02     0.33P    0.12R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.08     6.32    -8.20     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.90R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.94     6.32    -1.75     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.80R    0.01  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.42     6.34    -6.13     0.00     0.21     0.03P    1.22R    0.03  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.51     6.40   -12.36     0.00     0.15     0.01P    2.32R    0.07  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      54.12     6.88   -14.44     0.00     0.41     0.06P    1.40R    0.04  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      45.87     5.85   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.47R    0.75  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.20     5.54   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.84R    3.15  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.50     6.14   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.53R    1.77  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.84     6.48   -14.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   17.54R    2.08  
Scarborough     24   21  -16      38.78     5.97   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.76R   11.07  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      36.03     5.82   -32.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.55R   22.04  
Southport       22   16  -24      31.77     5.90   -45.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.50R   58.96