Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 January 2006 at 22:37:25 GMT

Premiership   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2006, Manchester_C vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         21   58  +36      98.92     4.81    65.89    99.06    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    21   45  +23      78.86     5.64    41.15     0.57    55.34    96.02    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   41  +17      76.68     6.43    31.18     0.35    35.78    89.19    98.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   40  +13      68.98     6.00    21.62     0.01     4.88    53.08    90.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   34  +12      66.82     6.25    24.14     0.00     3.24    39.32    84.20     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           21   34   -1      57.71     6.06    -0.27     0.00     0.05     3.58    25.89     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          19   32   +5      62.00     6.63    11.47     0.00     0.70    14.13    57.24     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +1      56.87     6.47     4.57     0.00     0.07     3.62    24.95     0.04R    0.00  
Manchester_C    21   28   +3      51.52     6.13     3.20     0.00     0.01     0.49     7.04     0.14R    0.00  
West_Ham        21   26   -3      48.25     5.91    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.04     0.79R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -3      50.14     6.51    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.33     4.82     0.49R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -5      48.06     6.02    -5.61     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.87     0.96R    0.01  
Charlton        19   25   -6      45.44     6.20   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.89     3.25R    0.01  
Fulham          21   23   -5      43.71     5.99    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.43     4.24R    0.01  
Everton         21   23  -17      38.53     5.56   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    20.66R    0.24  
Middlesbrough   20   22   -5      45.03     6.41    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.04     3.52R    0.05  
West_Bromwich   21   19  -11      35.69     5.61   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    33.78R    0.81  
Portsmouth      21   17  -17      31.80     5.41   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.05R    3.71  
Birmingham      20   16  -14      31.66     5.68   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.79R    4.23  
Sunderland      20    6  -23      18.31     5.31   -44.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.31R   90.92  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2006, Hull vs Sheffield_U; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          28   69  +44     109.76     5.24    70.06    92.64    99.91   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      28   62  +27      98.01     6.05    45.58     7.32    92.36   100.00    94.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   51  +15      84.38     6.49    25.99     0.04     6.30    97.43    33.55P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   46  +11      75.03     6.12    17.95     0.00     0.29    73.66    14.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   44  +14      76.68     6.76    22.19     0.00     0.99    80.04    20.80P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   41  +11      73.22     6.40    19.88     0.00     0.13    64.08    18.46P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   39   +7      68.74     6.24    14.50     0.00     0.01    34.92     8.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          28   39   +4      66.09     6.42     7.59     0.00     0.01    20.09     3.88P    0.03R    0.00  
Luton            28   38   +1      62.51     6.20     0.48     0.00     0.00     7.88     1.27P    0.18R    0.01  
Cardiff          28   38   +1      63.13     6.31     1.53     0.00     0.00     9.32     1.56P    0.10R    0.01  
Norwich          28   38   -4      59.53     6.14    -8.86     0.00     0.00     3.12     0.57P    0.46R    0.01  
Stoke            28   38   -5      58.85     6.11   -11.64     0.00     0.00     2.50     0.30P    0.62R    0.03  
Queens_PR        28   36   -6      57.58     6.10   -11.67     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.23P    1.33R    0.06  
Southampton      27   34   +0      59.88     6.51    -0.40     0.00     0.00     4.18     0.82P    0.57R    0.04  
Ipswich          28   33  -12      53.38     6.07   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    6.39R    0.46  
Coventry         28   32   -7      53.00     6.13   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    6.53R    0.64  
Hull             28   30   -7      51.55     6.16   -11.20     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P    9.32R    0.89  
Derby            28   29   -6      51.33     6.23   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   10.47R    1.12  
Plymouth         26   28  -10      51.92     6.68   -14.16     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   11.34R    1.19  
Sheffield_W      28   27  -11      45.36     5.84   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.53R    7.71  
Leicester        27   26   -8      48.03     6.30   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    23.80R    3.52  
Brighton         28   25  -16      44.42     6.04   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.70R   11.49  
Millwall         28   25  -18      43.58     5.92   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.85R   14.47  
Crewe            28   22  -25      37.57     5.51   -42.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.75R   58.37  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, Swansea vs Milton_Keynes; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea         26   47  +22      84.91     6.71    38.80    49.03    71.72    97.49    79.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        27   47  +13      79.56     6.55    23.08    15.69    36.70    89.19    51.31P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   44  +11      77.82     7.18    18.42    11.99    28.21    81.38    41.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    27   44   +5      72.59     6.69     8.63     2.29     7.83    54.85    17.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester      25   43  +12      78.98     7.28    22.94    15.10    34.61    84.73    48.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        26   42  +12      73.58     6.92    18.19     3.88    12.25    63.71    27.04P    0.03R    0.01  
Chesterfield    27   42   +5      71.08     6.72     9.73     1.40     5.38    47.33    14.69P    0.06R    0.00  
Oldham          27   40   -3      65.81     6.71    -3.35     0.17     0.83    18.20     3.91P    0.99R    0.04  
Bournemouth     26   36   +2      63.55     6.98     2.33     0.12     0.59    13.59     3.62P    2.40R    0.07  
Yeovil          27   36   -7      60.56     6.65    -9.50     0.01     0.11     5.08     0.97P    6.03R    0.36  
Nottingham      25   35   +3      65.00     7.10     4.99     0.23     1.10    18.07     5.30P    1.70R    0.07  
Bradford        27   34   +2      60.88     6.49     3.57     0.01     0.12     5.70     1.51P    4.22R    0.25  
Walsall         26   34   -3      59.00     6.85    -7.32     0.03     0.13     3.84     0.74P    9.65R    0.85  
Tranmere        27   33   +1      60.92     6.66     4.01     0.03     0.11     6.16     1.61P    4.50R    0.27  
Doncaster       25   33   -2      59.15     7.04    -5.83     0.01     0.15     4.54     1.14P    9.56R    0.76  
Port_Vale       27   33   -5      55.08     6.48   -10.16     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.17P   21.07R    2.27  
Scunthorpe      26   32   -5      58.28     7.04    -7.92     0.01     0.10     3.31     0.69P   12.60R    1.51  
Hartlepool      27   31   -7      53.01     6.39   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   31.59R    4.83  
Gillingham      26   31  -10      51.84     6.56   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.08P   41.23R    7.83  
Bristol_City    26   30  -10      52.26     6.74   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P   38.98R    7.51  
Blackpool       26   28   -8      52.68     6.96   -12.84     0.01     0.01     0.62     0.15P   35.13R    6.46  
Rotherham       27   27   -6      50.70     6.57    -9.81     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.04P   43.55R    9.83  
Swindon_Town    26   25   -9      48.37     6.72   -14.91     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.03P   58.89R   18.04  
Milton_Keynes   26   23  -13      44.72     6.64   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.81R   39.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, Barnet vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          26   48  +19      85.44     6.70    36.33    38.39    83.58    98.92    87.92P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   47  +16      82.57     6.80    28.55    21.22    70.22    96.78    77.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          25   46  +18      84.67     7.06    32.61    33.01    79.25    98.16    84.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   46   +9      74.87     6.91    11.18     3.41    23.33    77.13    34.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   42   +3      68.42     6.59     3.81     0.33     4.80    42.48    12.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     27   39  +10      70.12     6.49    17.62     0.50     7.69    56.70    22.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      25   39  +10      73.18     7.09    18.49     2.53    19.08    70.95    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     26   36   -6      58.60     6.64   -12.99     0.00     0.20     5.58     1.20P    0.60R    0.05  
Wrexham          26   35   +7      66.30     7.09    12.86     0.20     3.61    34.84    11.99P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   26   35   -8      59.91     6.82   -12.39     0.01     0.30     8.46     1.61P    0.48R    0.05  
Darlington       26   34   +3      60.59     6.83     2.00     0.05     0.50    11.05     3.04P    0.29R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   34   +1      66.38     7.25     6.92     0.20     3.43    34.16     9.80P    0.09R    0.01  
Chester          25   33   +5      64.72     7.25     9.84     0.11     2.58    27.23     8.63P    0.06R    0.01  
Boston           26   33   +0      58.72     6.87    -2.49     0.01     0.27     6.62     1.64P    0.69R    0.10  
Oxford_Utd       27   33   -5      57.50     6.63    -6.94     0.00     0.07     4.18     0.85P    1.14R    0.14  
Shrewsbury       25   32   +0      60.87     7.20     0.15     0.04     0.78    11.98     3.35P    0.59R    0.10  
Lincoln_C        27   32   -2      58.50     6.59    -1.13     0.00     0.09     5.22     1.31P    0.69R    0.10  
Macclesfield     26   31   -5      55.74     6.95    -9.52     0.00     0.09     3.11     0.72P    2.53R    0.44  
Barnet           27   31   -7      52.81     6.35   -12.71     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.14P    4.46R    0.81  
Mansfield        25   28   -3      53.43     7.24    -8.87     0.00     0.03     1.88     0.48P    4.96R    0.83  
Bury             24   27   -8      55.74     7.46    -9.97     0.00     0.08     3.77     0.87P    3.81R    0.89  
Torquay          25   23  -15      44.97     6.85   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    36.00R   13.79  
Rushden_&_D      26   22  -19      40.41     6.27   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.89R   30.80  
Stockport        24   18  -23      38.03     6.90   -42.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.69R   51.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2006, York vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.83     6.40    29.85    52.24    94.63    60.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.36     5.96    31.88    13.53    78.72    31.24P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      73.31     6.25    23.12     4.70    54.01    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.27     6.43    34.25    11.99    73.17    26.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.24     6.25    32.01     8.68    68.53    28.57P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      70.88     6.38    15.89     1.90    38.07     9.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.25     6.44    24.06     6.12    60.09    21.41P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.02     6.39    21.91     0.81    24.80     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.59     6.64    10.86     0.04     4.17     0.95P    0.07R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.86     6.73    -0.92     0.01     2.35     0.41P    0.17R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.07     6.31    -8.23     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.80R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.58     6.30    -2.31     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.99R    0.02  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.23     6.31    -6.51     0.00     0.15     0.01P    1.40R    0.04  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.56     6.45   -12.31     0.00     0.15     0.03P    2.44R    0.07  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      54.30     6.94   -14.15     0.01     0.61     0.12P    1.47R    0.09  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      45.92     5.81   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.96R    0.58  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.70     5.59   -29.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.00R    2.58  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.50     6.16   -14.66     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.66R    1.82  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.60     6.48   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.40R    2.39  
Scarborough     24   21  -16      38.68     5.93   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.01R   11.52  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      36.03     5.83   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.16R   22.16  
Southport       22   16  -24      31.80     5.93   -45.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.46R   58.69