Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 January 2006 at 00:16:42 GMT

Premiership

               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Chelsea         21   58  +36      98.91     4.80    65.89    99.19    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Manchester_U    21   45  +23      78.93     5.63    41.23     0.54    57.42    96.06    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   41  +17      76.26     6.47    30.56     0.27    33.01    87.97    98.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   40  +13      69.13     5.96    21.89     0.00     5.57    54.13    91.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   34  +12      66.75     6.24    23.97     0.01     3.14    39.19    83.81     0.00     0.00  
Wigan           21   34   -1      57.79     6.14    -0.09     0.00     0.13     3.67    26.71     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          19   32   +5      61.85     6.80    11.17     0.00     0.73    14.45    55.91     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       20   30   +1      56.93     6.47     4.62     0.00     0.04     3.56    25.91     0.01R    0.00  
Manchester_C    21   28   +3      51.42     6.09     3.07     0.00     0.01     0.43     6.50     0.15R    0.00  
West_Ham        21   26   -3      48.47     5.87    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.09     0.69R    0.00  
Newcastle       20   26   -3      50.10     6.47    -3.70     0.00     0.00     0.28     4.67     0.52R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     21   25   -5      48.29     6.05    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.17     0.94R    0.00  
Charlton        19   25   -6      45.61     6.24   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.00     2.92R    0.01  
Fulham          21   23   -5      43.69     5.96    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     3.92R    0.02  
Everton         21   23  -17      38.35     5.47   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    20.93R    0.24  
Middlesbrough   20   22   -5      44.82     6.48    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.21     3.90R    0.03  
West_Bromwich   21   19  -11      35.65     5.67   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.77R    1.00  
Portsmouth      21   17  -17      31.56     5.46   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.10R    4.50  
Birmingham      20   16  -14      31.80     5.73   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.18R    4.46  
Sunderland      20    6  -23      18.59     5.41   -44.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.96R   89.72  


Championship

                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Reading          28   69  +44     109.91     5.30    70.44    92.62    99.86   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Sheffield_U      28   62  +27      98.09     6.00    45.70     7.31    92.31   100.00    94.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds            27   51  +15      84.41     6.42    26.04     0.07     6.44    97.39    34.13P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   46  +11      75.26     6.18    18.23     0.00     0.34    74.97    15.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   44  +14      76.47     6.75    21.99     0.00     0.89    79.38    20.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          27   41  +11      73.05     6.42    19.69     0.00     0.14    62.92    17.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton    28   39   +7      68.77     6.17    14.55     0.00     0.01    34.81     8.38P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   39   +4      65.97     6.41     7.41     0.00     0.01    19.73     3.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton            28   38   +1      62.55     6.29     0.53     0.00     0.00     8.13     1.27P    0.12R    0.00  
Cardiff          28   38   +1      63.13     6.29     1.48     0.00     0.00     9.50     1.60P    0.07R    0.00  
Norwich          28   38   -4      59.54     6.04    -8.95     0.00     0.00     2.98     0.42P    0.38R    0.01  
Stoke            28   38   -5      58.63     6.09   -11.94     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.31P    0.63R    0.01  
Queens_PR        28   36   -6      57.58     6.08   -11.80     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.18P    1.30R    0.06  
Southampton      27   34   +0      60.14     6.56     0.01     0.00     0.00     5.08     1.07P    0.60R    0.01  
Ipswich          28   33  -12      53.49     6.09   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    5.76R    0.39  
Coventry         28   32   -7      53.17     6.09   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P    6.17R    0.48  
Hull             28   30   -7      51.39     6.22   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    9.93R    0.86  
Derby            28   29   -6      51.47     6.14   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    9.85R    1.04  
Plymouth         26   28  -10      51.75     6.64   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   11.52R    1.25  
Sheffield_W      28   27  -11      45.13     5.77   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.52R    8.03  
Leicester        27   26   -8      48.36     6.37   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    22.41R    3.10  
Brighton         28   25  -16      44.38     6.05   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.87R   11.40  
Millwall         28   25  -18      43.52     5.94   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.30R   14.35  
Crewe            28   22  -25      37.40     5.41   -43.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.56R   59.02  


League 1

               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Swansea         26   47  +22      85.01     6.91    39.04    49.62    71.39    97.20    79.53P    0.00     0.00  
Southend        27   47  +13      79.58     6.47    23.14    15.51    36.92    89.54    51.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   44  +11      77.90     7.16    18.56    11.79    28.41    81.65    41.41P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    27   44   +5      72.70     6.75     8.85     2.40     8.39    56.27    18.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester      25   43  +12      79.04     7.26    22.96    14.65    34.88    85.40    49.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley        26   42  +12      73.74     6.96    18.43     4.04    12.36    63.97    27.34P    0.04R    0.01  
Chesterfield    27   42   +5      70.95     6.60     9.55     1.41     4.78    46.37    13.69P    0.07R    0.00  
Oldham          27   40   -3      65.66     6.70    -3.58     0.18     0.85    17.75     3.65P    1.22R    0.03  
Bournemouth     26   36   +2      63.35     6.99     2.07     0.10     0.56    13.09     3.52P    2.65R    0.10  
Yeovil          27   36   -7      60.39     6.63    -9.72     0.01     0.11     4.96     0.96P    6.32R    0.43  
Nottingham      25   35   +3      64.64     7.16     4.50     0.20     0.79    17.33     4.57P    1.98R    0.15  
Bradford        27   34   +2      60.88     6.54     3.48     0.03     0.14     5.87     1.61P    4.44R    0.29  
Walsall         26   34   -3      58.76     6.71    -7.59     0.03     0.10     3.48     0.69P    9.86R    0.78  
Tranmere        27   33   +1      60.83     6.60     3.87     0.01     0.14     6.32     1.75P    4.75R    0.23  
Doncaster       25   33   -2      59.17     7.05    -5.77     0.01     0.12     4.70     1.00P    9.70R    0.80  
Port_Vale       27   33   -5      54.91     6.39   -10.47     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.18P   21.81R    2.25  
Scunthorpe      26   32   -5      58.35     6.95    -7.90     0.01     0.06     3.21     0.62P   12.32R    1.38  
Hartlepool      27   31   -7      53.33     6.47   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P   30.70R    4.82  
Gillingham      26   31  -10      51.85     6.41   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.01P   41.38R    7.83  
Bristol_City    26   30  -10      52.43     6.71   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P   38.28R    7.51  
Blackpool       26   28   -8      52.80     6.93   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.17P   34.42R    6.66  
Rotherham       27   27   -6      50.76     6.52    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   43.58R    9.35  
Swindon_Town    26   25   -9      48.50     6.67   -14.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   58.21R   17.73  
Milton_Keynes   26   23  -13      44.72     6.55   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   78.22R   39.66  


League 2

                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Wycombe          26   48  +19      85.06     6.72    35.63    35.27    82.25    98.67    86.83P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         26   47  +16      82.79     6.81    28.89    22.71    71.14    97.12    78.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          25   46  +18      84.75     7.08    32.69    34.22    79.42    98.04    84.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    26   46   +9      74.97     6.93    11.29     3.68    23.48    77.42    34.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham       27   42   +3      68.66     6.68     4.13     0.37     5.18    44.11    13.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough     27   39  +10      70.25     6.52    17.84     0.58     8.14    57.69    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton      25   39  +10      73.00     7.12    18.22     2.40    18.35    69.69    33.51P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     26   36   -6      58.66     6.57   -12.79     0.01     0.26     5.39     1.08P    0.54R    0.04  
Wrexham          26   35   +7      66.54     7.01    13.24     0.29     3.65    36.03    12.01P    0.03R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers   26   35   -8      59.76     6.82   -12.68     0.01     0.23     7.84     1.41P    0.59R    0.07  
Darlington       26   34   +3      60.66     6.89     2.05     0.03     0.54    11.27     3.17P    0.24R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   34   +1      66.11     7.33     6.47     0.22     3.41    33.05     9.63P    0.10R    0.01  
Chester          25   33   +5      64.70     7.30     9.63     0.17     2.52    27.17     8.54P    0.09R    0.01  
Boston           26   33   +0      59.04     6.83    -1.96     0.01     0.22     7.12     1.76P    0.68R    0.09  
Oxford_Utd       27   33   -5      57.22     6.62    -7.34     0.00     0.08     3.81     0.77P    1.10R    0.15  
Shrewsbury       25   32   +0      60.77     7.15     0.00     0.03     0.71    11.31     3.28P    0.47R    0.06  
Lincoln_C        27   32   -2      58.35     6.58    -1.36     0.01     0.15     4.90     1.37P    0.82R    0.09  
Macclesfield     26   31   -5      55.62     6.88    -9.73     0.00     0.04     2.78     0.59P    2.52R    0.39  
Barnet           27   31   -7      52.67     6.36   -12.88     0.00     0.01     0.74     0.17P    4.67R    0.82  
Mansfield        25   28   -3      53.74     7.16    -8.36     0.00     0.08     2.08     0.50P    4.33R    0.72  
Bury             24   27   -8      55.54     7.52   -10.30     0.01     0.12     3.71     0.81P    4.12R    0.98  
Torquay          25   23  -15      45.12     6.83   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   35.27R   13.12  
Rushden_&_D      26   22  -19      40.54     6.28   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.92R   30.86  
Stockport        24   18  -23      38.04     6.91   -42.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.50R   52.56  


Conference

               -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Accrington      24   52  +18      83.53     6.40    29.36    50.80    94.28    59.01P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter          25   46  +19      77.30     5.98    31.73    13.96    78.71    31.79P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   42  +12      73.06     6.24    22.70     4.29    53.27    14.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grays           23   41  +18      76.42     6.43    34.43    13.04    74.36    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe       24   41  +18      75.27     6.11    32.10     8.66    69.62    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax         24   41   +8      70.60     6.41    15.49     1.84    36.41     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hereford        23   40  +12      74.16     6.48    23.96     6.37    59.48    21.20P    0.00     0.00  
York            24   37  +12      68.21     6.38    22.19     0.96    25.91     7.24P    0.00     0.00  
Woking          23   32   +7      60.63     6.81    10.86     0.06     4.54     1.18P    0.06R    0.00  
Gravesend       23   32   -2      58.44     6.66    -1.62     0.01     1.98     0.28P    0.26R    0.01  
Cambridge_U     24   32   -4      54.30     6.33    -7.82     0.01     0.33     0.04P    0.83R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red       24   30   +0      53.76     6.24    -2.07     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.98R    0.02  
Canvey_Island   24   30   -4      53.17     6.32    -6.47     0.00     0.13     0.03P    1.29R    0.04  
Burton          23   30   -5      51.53     6.46   -12.40     0.00     0.09     0.01P    2.72R    0.12  
Aldershot       22   30   -8      54.14     6.96   -14.39     0.01     0.68     0.06P    1.52R    0.07  
Kidderminster   25   27   -9      45.90     5.93   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.02R    0.86  
Altrincham      25   27  -18      42.46     5.54   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.97R    3.08  
Forest_Green    24   23   -9      44.42     6.10   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.11R    2.02  
Crawley         23   22   -8      44.76     6.50   -14.13     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.28R    2.42  
Scarborough     24   21  -16      39.08     5.95   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.74R   11.18  
Tamworth        23   20  -17      36.09     5.74   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.88R   22.88  
Southport       22   16  -24      32.16     5.95   -44.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.33R   57.28