Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 9 January 2006 at 22:59:58 GMT
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 21 58 +36 98.94 4.79 65.91 99.12 99.92 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Manchester_U 21 45 +23 79.03 5.62 41.44 0.56 57.24 96.31 99.80 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 19 41 +17 76.60 6.41 31.03 0.30 34.34 89.23 98.95 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 40 +13 69.03 5.97 21.71 0.01 4.83 54.27 91.10 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 34 +12 66.40 6.29 23.55 0.00 2.83 37.12 82.64 0.00 0.00 Wigan 21 34 -1 57.76 6.14 -0.16 0.00 0.10 3.88 27.04 0.00 0.00 Bolton 19 32 +5 61.79 6.75 11.11 0.00 0.66 14.28 55.99 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 20 30 +1 56.96 6.51 4.66 0.00 0.07 3.88 26.14 0.02R 0.00 Manchester_C 21 28 +3 51.37 6.10 2.99 0.00 0.01 0.47 7.08 0.09R 0.00 West_Ham 21 26 -3 48.58 5.94 -5.20 0.00 0.01 0.14 2.35 0.76R 0.00 Newcastle 20 26 -3 50.01 6.46 -3.82 0.00 0.00 0.27 4.54 0.42R 0.00 Aston_Villa 21 25 -5 48.00 6.04 -5.72 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.95 1.10R 0.00 Charlton 19 25 -6 45.46 6.30 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.95 3.28R 0.01 Fulham 21 23 -5 43.60 6.00 -9.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 4.37R 0.01 Everton 21 23 -17 38.52 5.47 -28.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 20.46R 0.31 Middlesbrough 20 22 -5 44.95 6.45 -8.74 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.11 3.98R 0.05 West_Bromwich 21 19 -11 35.87 5.79 -20.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 34.44R 0.88 Portsmouth 21 17 -17 31.70 5.47 -30.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.36R 4.13 Birmingham 20 16 -14 31.78 5.72 -27.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.55R 4.23 Sunderland 20 6 -23 18.50 5.37 -44.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.16R 90.38
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Reading 28 69 +44 109.96 5.23 70.45 93.21 99.93 100.00 99.97P 0.00 0.00 Sheffield_U 28 62 +27 98.00 6.01 45.50 6.73 92.13 100.00 94.63P 0.00 0.00 Leeds 27 51 +15 84.37 6.43 25.99 0.06 6.50 97.49 34.18P 0.00 0.00 Watford 28 46 +11 75.31 6.16 18.33 0.00 0.39 75.25 15.20P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 44 +14 76.49 6.83 21.95 0.00 0.88 79.06 20.60P 0.00 0.00 Preston 27 41 +11 73.10 6.34 19.78 0.00 0.14 63.69 18.40P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 39 +7 68.58 6.23 14.24 0.00 0.01 33.72 8.32P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 28 39 +4 66.15 6.39 7.68 0.00 0.00 20.66 3.85P 0.04R 0.00 Luton 28 38 +1 62.60 6.18 0.54 0.00 0.00 8.03 1.33P 0.15R 0.01 Cardiff 28 38 +1 62.90 6.24 1.12 0.00 0.01 8.87 1.39P 0.07R 0.00 Norwich 28 38 -4 59.51 6.11 -8.94 0.00 0.00 3.13 0.52P 0.35R 0.01 Stoke 28 38 -5 58.61 6.03 -11.99 0.00 0.00 2.35 0.24P 0.65R 0.01 Queens_PR 28 36 -6 57.63 6.01 -11.65 0.00 0.00 1.44 0.12P 1.12R 0.09 Southampton 27 34 +0 60.26 6.52 0.21 0.00 0.01 4.93 1.05P 0.66R 0.04 Ipswich 28 33 -12 53.39 6.14 -18.71 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.10P 6.39R 0.55 Coventry 28 32 -7 53.04 6.11 -13.25 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.03P 6.50R 0.61 Hull 28 30 -7 51.33 6.13 -11.54 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.01P 10.25R 0.95 Derby 28 29 -6 51.43 6.22 -10.26 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 10.34R 1.13 Plymouth 26 28 -10 51.56 6.53 -14.70 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.04P 11.31R 1.28 Sheffield_W 28 27 -11 45.32 5.88 -19.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 40.33R 8.27 Leicester 27 26 -8 48.23 6.31 -12.81 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 22.96R 3.06 Brighton 28 25 -16 44.48 6.06 -23.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 47.52R 11.71 Millwall 28 25 -18 43.71 6.00 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.70R 14.03 Crewe 28 22 -25 37.59 5.49 -42.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.66R 58.27
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Southend 27 47 +13 79.44 6.53 22.94 16.50 36.99 88.55 51.12P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 25 44 +20 84.10 7.11 38.17 45.23 67.17 95.72 76.34P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 25 44 +11 77.83 7.18 18.50 12.71 28.91 81.05 41.30P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 25 43 +12 78.97 7.26 22.91 15.74 35.38 84.38 49.61P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 26 43 +5 72.88 7.08 8.45 3.43 9.96 56.26 19.52P 0.04R 0.00 Chesterfield 27 42 +5 70.89 6.66 9.45 1.65 5.62 45.41 14.38P 0.07R 0.00 Oldham 26 40 -2 67.52 7.00 -1.99 0.54 2.10 26.50 6.42P 0.72R 0.03 Barnsley 25 39 +11 72.55 7.23 18.10 3.63 10.78 56.99 23.98P 0.07R 0.01 Bournemouth 26 36 +2 63.52 7.04 2.38 0.14 0.88 13.42 3.69P 2.34R 0.09 Yeovil 27 36 -7 60.57 6.70 -9.33 0.03 0.14 5.11 0.98P 6.51R 0.39 Nottingham 25 35 +3 65.00 7.26 4.92 0.28 1.27 18.46 5.58P 1.76R 0.11 Bradford 27 34 +2 60.95 6.53 3.60 0.03 0.17 5.86 1.72P 4.22R 0.26 Walsall 26 34 -3 58.82 6.80 -7.54 0.02 0.07 3.55 0.69P 9.84R 0.71 Tranmere 27 33 +1 60.95 6.61 4.02 0.03 0.14 6.26 1.63P 4.54R 0.23 Doncaster 25 33 -2 59.33 7.16 -5.58 0.01 0.18 5.16 1.32P 9.51R 0.72 Port_Vale 26 32 -5 54.63 6.64 -11.39 0.00 0.01 0.90 0.20P 24.21R 3.06 Scunthorpe 25 31 -5 58.76 7.27 -7.86 0.03 0.16 4.17 1.04P 12.30R 1.54 Hartlepool 27 31 -7 53.18 6.45 -12.78 0.00 0.01 0.43 0.09P 31.16R 4.66 Gillingham 25 31 -9 52.58 6.78 -19.50 0.00 0.01 0.56 0.10P 37.22R 7.62 Bristol_City 26 30 -10 52.53 6.80 -18.74 0.01 0.01 0.41 0.07P 37.44R 7.33 Rotherham 26 26 -6 51.56 6.86 -9.07 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.09P 39.85R 8.48 Blackpool 25 25 -9 51.10 7.20 -13.93 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.11P 43.76R 11.08 Swindon_Town 26 25 -9 48.21 6.61 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 60.07R 18.32 Milton_Keynes 25 23 -11 45.44 6.83 -20.62 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 74.34R 35.40
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 26 48 +19 85.41 6.69 36.19 37.42 82.81 98.67 87.25P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 26 47 +16 82.78 6.86 28.91 22.29 70.11 96.91 77.86P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 25 46 +18 84.59 7.14 32.62 32.19 77.94 97.84 84.11P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 26 46 +9 74.83 7.03 11.12 3.73 22.62 75.50 33.58P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 26 41 +3 69.21 6.96 4.42 0.49 6.34 46.57 14.63P 0.01R 0.01 Northampton 25 39 +10 72.83 7.07 17.93 2.23 17.40 68.57 32.41P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 26 38 +10 71.26 6.83 18.75 1.06 11.11 62.02 26.40P 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 26 36 -6 58.54 6.58 -13.03 0.01 0.20 4.99 1.00P 0.56R 0.05 Wrexham 26 35 +7 66.89 7.07 13.80 0.24 3.83 37.14 12.79P 0.04R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 26 35 -8 59.59 6.73 -12.97 0.01 0.27 7.53 1.40P 0.51R 0.04 Darlington 26 34 +3 60.77 6.88 2.19 0.04 0.59 11.28 3.17P 0.29R 0.04 Rochdale 25 34 +1 65.85 7.36 6.04 0.15 3.19 30.79 8.74P 0.12R 0.03 Chester 25 33 +5 64.44 7.28 9.14 0.12 2.24 25.52 7.80P 0.12R 0.01 Boston 26 33 +0 59.05 6.83 -1.96 0.00 0.27 6.63 1.59P 0.56R 0.07 Shrewsbury 25 32 +0 60.85 7.11 0.14 0.01 0.65 11.43 3.12P 0.42R 0.07 Lincoln_C 27 32 -2 58.36 6.52 -1.30 0.00 0.09 4.62 1.05P 0.81R 0.09 Oxford_Utd 26 32 -5 57.02 6.91 -8.29 0.00 0.12 4.25 0.98P 1.38R 0.23 Macclesfield 26 31 -5 55.96 6.99 -9.14 0.00 0.05 2.90 0.57P 2.42R 0.36 Barnet 26 30 -7 52.89 6.55 -13.13 0.00 0.01 0.84 0.18P 4.75R 0.88 Mansfield 25 28 -3 53.80 7.16 -8.27 0.01 0.03 1.89 0.41P 4.21R 0.79 Bury 24 27 -8 55.97 7.55 -9.60 0.00 0.13 4.08 0.94P 3.63R 0.87 Torquay 25 23 -15 44.71 6.95 -27.62 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 37.23R 14.16 Rushden_&_D 26 22 -19 40.47 6.34 -33.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.74R 30.72 Stockport 24 18 -23 38.04 6.81 -42.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.21R 51.59
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Accrington 23 49 +17 82.84 6.54 29.76 47.62 93.14 56.48P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 25 46 +19 77.25 5.96 31.87 14.86 79.07 32.65P 0.00 0.00 Grays 23 41 +18 76.19 6.39 34.05 13.53 73.23 26.99P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 24 41 +18 75.26 6.18 32.03 9.75 69.59 29.50P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 24 41 +8 70.53 6.47 15.39 1.91 36.53 8.75P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 23 40 +12 74.10 6.39 23.90 6.56 59.93 21.41P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 23 39 +11 70.72 6.58 20.57 2.83 39.55 10.41P 0.00 0.00 York 23 37 +13 70.67 6.66 25.04 2.84 40.74 12.06P 0.00 0.00 Woking 23 32 +7 60.84 6.63 11.25 0.07 4.75 1.15P 0.10R 0.00 Gravesend 23 32 -2 58.51 6.63 -1.48 0.01 1.92 0.38P 0.17R 0.01 Cambridge_U 24 32 -4 54.31 6.29 -7.84 0.01 0.34 0.06P 0.70R 0.02 Dag_&_Red 24 30 +0 53.87 6.34 -1.87 0.00 0.32 0.04P 1.05R 0.03 Canvey_Island 24 30 -4 53.36 6.40 -6.23 0.00 0.23 0.03P 1.41R 0.05 Burton 23 30 -5 51.58 6.43 -12.32 0.00 0.15 0.01P 2.42R 0.09 Aldershot 22 30 -8 54.06 6.84 -14.52 0.01 0.47 0.09P 1.46R 0.07 Kidderminster 25 27 -9 45.97 5.83 -15.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.52R 0.89 Altrincham 25 27 -18 42.51 5.58 -29.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.29R 3.01 Forest_Green 24 23 -9 44.39 6.05 -14.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.64R 1.73 Crawley 23 22 -8 44.79 6.52 -14.06 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.36R 2.10 Scarborough 24 21 -16 38.76 5.94 -27.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.52R 11.59 Tamworth 22 20 -16 36.48 6.09 -32.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.19R 22.07 Southport 22 16 -24 31.97 5.91 -45.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.18R 58.35